Timberwolves vs. Rockets prediction and picks, November 4, 2026

Minnesota Timberwolves (6-3) at Houston Rockets (7-2), 8:30 PM ET, Toyota Center (Houston) in Houston on DAZN MIN.

Minnesota Timberwolves6-3

Houston Rockets7-2

Timberwolves 117Final107 Rockets

40.8% TimberwolvesRockets 59.2%

DraftKings moneyline without the margin: 27.4% / 72.6%

On the board since November 4, 2026 · numbers refreshed Nov 5, 7:29 AM ET

Our picks for Timberwolves-Rockets

SpreadTimberwolves +8.5 −112Model 64.6% vs 52.8% to break evenWide edge +11.8Posted Nov 4, 3:16 AM ET · Won+0.89u · CLV +1.0
TotalOver 220.5 −106Model 57.8% vs 51.5% to break evenWide edge +6.3Posted Nov 4, 3:16 AM ET · Won+0.94u · CLV −1.0
MoneylineTimberwolves to win +251Model 40.8% vs 28.5% to break evenWide edge +12.3Posted Nov 4, 3:16 AM ET · Won+2.51u

DraftKings market line against the model's fair line
Market	Open	Now	Model fair	Model minus market
Rockets spread	−8.5	−7.5	−3.3	+4.2
Total points	223.5	219.5	224.1	+4.6

Final score, quarter by quarter

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	T
Timberwolves	33	24	25	35	117
Rockets	30	27	27	23	107

Report on injuries

Timberwolves injuries

Out Terrence Shannon Jr. G · hip · expected return Nov 6
Out Anthony Edwards G · knee · expected return Dec 21
Out Donte DiVincenzo G · achilles · expected return Apr 2, 2027

Rockets injuries

Out Steven Adams C · calf · expected return Nov 9
Out Clint Capela C · ankle · expected return Nov 7

Official league injury report: 12:45 AM ET, Nov 5 PDF.

This season's team stats

Per game	MIN	HOU
Points	118.8 6th	117.9 8th
Rebounds	49.2 2nd	43.8 17th
Assists	26.8 13th	28.0 4th
Field goal	47.6% 5th	49.0% 3rd
3-point	38.0% 6th	38.6% 4th
Free throw	63.4% 30th	81.4% 6th
Turnovers	15.4 12th	15.9 18th
Possessions	104.1 13th	100.0 28th

Small type shows the league rank (9 and 9 games played). The better side is shown in bold.

Snapshot of the standings

	MIN	HOU
Conference rank	7th West	2nd West
Record	6-3	7-2
Games back	1	0
Home / road	3-1 / 3-2	4-1 / 3-1
Last 10, streak	6-3, W2	7-2, L1
Point differential	+11.2	+10.3
Projected wins	54.4	55.9
Playoff chance	94.9%	96.5%

NBA standings

The projections rely on 10,000 simulations covering the remainder of the season; you can see the full table on NBA futures.

Leaders of the season

Timberwolves leaders

Player	Pos	GP	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG%	3P%	FT%
Anthony Edwardsout	G	4	33.8	33.2	4.8	3.5	48.1	40.0	75.0
LaMelo Ball	G	9	26.8	17.2	3.4	5.9	43.8	38.5	76.0
Jaden McDaniels	F	9	33.3	16.4	6.2	3.6	52.5	30.8	66.7
Ayo Dosunmu	G	9	30.7	16.3	5.3	4.3	51.3	38.2	80.0
Jonathan Kuminga	F	9	30.9	12.7	5.7	2.9	44.1	46.3	54.2

Rockets leaders

Player	Pos	GP	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG%	3P%	FT%
Alperen Sengun	C	7	35.1	22.4	9.1	8.1	54.1	50.0	74.4
Kevin Durant	F	9	33.8	20.8	5.2	3.0	52.7	40.6	83.6
Jabari Smith Jr.	F	9	34.6	17.6	6.1	2.3	50.0	49.1	86.2
Amen Thompson	G	9	32.6	15.4	6.3	3.3	51.0	22.2	77.5
Fred VanVleet	G	7	30.0	13.0	3.6	6.3	39.0	34.0	86.7

Starters and rosters we project

Timberwolves starters

F Jaden McDaniels
F Jonathan Kuminga
C Rudy Gobert
G Ayo Dosunmu
G LaMelo Ball

Full Timberwolves roster (16)

No.	Player	Pos	Height	Age
1	LaMelo Ball	G	6' 7"	25
19	Joan Beringer	F	6' 11"	19
7	Jaylen Clark	G	6' 5"	25
0	Donte DiVincenzo	G	6' 4"	29
13	Ayo Dosunmu	G	6' 4"	26
5	Anthony Edwards	G	6' 4"	25
33	Isaiah Evans	F	6' 6"	20
27	Rudy Gobert	C	7' 1"	34
8	Bones Hyland	G	6' 2"	26
24	Jonathan Kuminga	F	6' 7"	24
41	Trey Lyles	F	6' 9"	30
3	Jaden McDaniels	F	6' 9"	26
15	Zyon Pullin	G	6' 4"	25
4	Terrence Shannon Jr.	G	6' 6"	26
9	Cody Williams	F	6' 8"	21
44	Rocco Zikarsky	C	7' 3"	20

Rockets starters

F Kevin Durant
F Jabari Smith Jr.
C Alperen Sengun
G Fred VanVleet
G Amen Thompson

For both teams, the starting five comes from the Nov 4 game; confirmed lineups arrive about 30 minutes before tip.

Full Rockets roster (17)

No.	Player	Pos	Height	Age
12	Steven Adams	C	6' 11"	33
31	Bogdan Bogdanovic	G	6' 5"	34
30	Clint Capela	C	6' 10"	32
25	Quadir Copeland	G	6' 6"	23
27	Isaiah Crawford	F	6' 6"	25
7	Kevin Durant	F	6' 11"	38
17	Tari Eason	F	6' 8"	25
3	Julian Phillips	F	6' 6"	22
28	Alperen Sengun	C	6' 11"	24
15	Reed Sheppard	G	6' 2"	22
36	Marcus Smart	G	6' 3"	32
10	Jabari Smith Jr.	F	6' 11"	23
8	Jae'Sean Tate	F	6' 4"	31
1	Amen Thompson	G	6' 7"	23
2	Bruce Thornton	G	6' 0"	23
9	Oscar Tshiebwe	C	6' 8"	26
5	Fred VanVleet	G	6' 0"	32

Last five games and the season series

Season meetings

Nov 4 Timberwolves at Rockets, 117-107 (Timberwolves won)

2025-26 meetings

Regular season: Timberwolves 2, Rockets 1
Points per game: Timberwolves 117.0, Rockets 116.7

Date	Game	Matchup	Score	Winner and margin
Apr 10, 2026	Regular season	Timberwolves at Rockets	136-132	Timberwolves by 4
Mar 25, 2026	Regular season	Rockets at Timberwolves	108-110OT	Timberwolves by 2
Jan 16, 2026	Regular season	Timberwolves at Rockets	105-110	Rockets by 5

Timberwolves last five

Date	Opponent	Result	Closing spread	ATS
Nov 4	@ Rockets	W 117-107	+7.5	W
Nov 2	vs Bucks	W 112-100	−11.5	W
Oct 31	@ Spurs	L 111-121	+12.5	W
Oct 30	vs Clippers	W 127-101	−6.5	W
Oct 28	vs Warriors	L 114-119	−3.5	L

Rockets last five

Date	Opponent	Result	Closing spread	ATS
Nov 4	vs Timberwolves	L 107-117	−7.5	L
Nov 2	vs Celtics	W 109-93	−4.5	W
Oct 31	vs Thunder	W 119-98	−2.5	W
Oct 30	@ Mavericks	L 111-116	−5.5	L
Oct 28	@ Bucks	W 132-100	−8.5	W

Officials

Justin Van Duyne, Tyler Ford, Gina Catanzariti