Heat vs. Clippers prediction and picks, November 4, 2026
Miami Heat (3-5) at Los Angeles Clippers (1-7), , Intuit Dome in Inglewood on ClipperVision.
Heat 117Final116 Clippers
On the board since November 4, 2026 · numbers refreshed Nov 5, 8:06 AM ET
Our picks for Heat-Clippers
- SpreadClippers +5.5 −111Model 68.6% vs 52.6% to break evenWide edge +16.0Posted · Won+0.90u · CLV −1.0
- TotalOver 233.5 −114Model 50.9% vs 53.3% to break evenNo edge −2.4Posted · Lost−1.00u · CLV 0.0
- MoneylineClippers to win +171Model 53.7% vs 36.9% to break evenWide edge +16.8Posted · Lost−1.00u
| Market | Open | Now | Model fair | Model minus market |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clippers spread | +4.5 | +6.5 | −1.3 | −7.8 |
| Total points | 233.5 | 233.5 | 233.9 | +0.4 |
Final score, quarter by quarter
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heat | 33 | 19 | 26 | 29 | 10 | 117 |
| Clippers | 24 | 43 | 20 | 20 | 9 | 116 |
Injury status report
Heat injuries
The Heat injury list names no one.
Clippers injuries
- Out Yanic Konan Niederhauser C · foot · expected return Nov 8
- Out Brandon Ingram F · achilles · expected return Nov 8
- Out Bradley Beal G · knee · expected return Nov 8
- Out Jordan Miller G · shoulder · expected return Mar 2, 2027
Official league injury report: 12:45 AM ET, Nov 5 PDF.
This season's team stats
| Per game | MIA | LAC |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 118.0 7th | 109.1 25th |
| Rebounds | 43.2 19th | 41.5 25th |
| Assists | 29.5 2nd | 25.6 21st |
| Field goal | 47.2% 9th | 45.3% 18th |
| 3-point | 33.5% 20th | 38.2% 5th |
| Free throw | 73.9% 26th | 80.1% 9th |
| Turnovers | 15.1 11th | 20.1 30th |
| Possessions | 106.6 3rd | 104.6 9th |
In small type, league rank appears (8 and 8 games played). Bold shows which side ranks better.
Standings at a glance
| MIA | LAC | |
|---|---|---|
| Conference rank | 9th East | 13th West |
| Record | 3-5 | 1-7 |
| Games back | 4.5 | 5.5 |
| Home / road | 1-3 / 2-2 | 1-3 / 0-4 |
| Last 10, streak | 3-5, W1 | 1-7, L7 |
| Point differential | −4.9 | −6.5 |
| Projected wins | 37.8 | 33.3 |
| Playoff chance | 55.1% | 14.2% |
These projections come from 10,000 simulations of the season's remaining games; the NBA futures page has the complete table.
Leading players this season
Heat leaders
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giannis Antetokounmpo | F | 8 | 33.0 | 28.2 | 12.5 | 5.8 | 56.2 | 21.1 | 65.8 |
| Bam Adebayo | C | 8 | 32.6 | 18.6 | 8.2 | 3.5 | 53.3 | 19.2 | 76.2 |
| Davion Mitchell | G | 8 | 34.6 | 15.4 | 1.5 | 8.2 | 50.0 | 40.0 | 73.3 |
| Klay Thompson | G | 8 | 23.4 | 14.1 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 45.5 | 42.5 | 100.0 |
| Pelle Larsson | G | 8 | 30.4 | 10.9 | 3.4 | 3.8 | 44.4 | 35.0 | 88.9 |
Clippers leaders
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darius Garland | G | 8 | 33.8 | 20.9 | 1.6 | 6.6 | 46.5 | 36.4 | 84.4 |
| Rui Hachimura | F | 6 | 31.2 | 14.7 | 6.5 | 1.7 | 37.3 | 34.2 | 68.4 |
| Brook Lopez | C | 8 | 23.6 | 13.5 | 5.1 | 1.0 | 56.0 | 42.3 | 68.4 |
| Keaton Wagler | G | 8 | 23.9 | 12.0 | 4.1 | 3.2 | 30.9 | 35.1 | 85.4 |
| Derrick Jones Jr. | F | 7 | 30.0 | 11.6 | 5.3 | 1.4 | 51.7 | 50.0 | 66.7 |
Starters and rosters we project
Heat starters
- F Giannis Antetokounmpo
- F Andrew Wiggins
- C Bam Adebayo
- G Klay Thompson
- G Davion Mitchell
Full Heat roster (17)
| No. | Player | Pos | Height | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Bam Adebayo | C | 6' 9" | 29 |
| 7 | Giannis Antetokounmpo | F | 6' 11" | 31 |
| 4 | Ryan Conwell | G | 6' 3" | 22 |
| 24 | Tre Donaldson | G | 6' 2" | 22 |
| 0 | Simone Fontecchio | F | 6' 7" | 30 |
| 15 | Myron Gardner | F | 6' 5" | 25 |
| 50 | Vladislav Goldin | C | 7' 0" | 25 |
| 10 | Tim Hardaway Jr. | G | 6' 5" | 34 |
| 16 | Keshad Johnson | F | 6' 6" | 25 |
| 5 | Nikola Jovic | F | 6' 10" | 23 |
| 9 | Pelle Larsson | G | 6' 5" | 25 |
| 2 | Davion Mitchell | G | 6' 0" | 28 |
| 95 | Bobby Portis | F | 6' 9" | 31 |
| 8 | Nick Richards | C | 6' 11" | 28 |
| 12 | Dru Smith | G | 6' 2" | 28 |
| 11 | Klay Thompson | G | 6' 5" | 36 |
| 22 | Andrew Wiggins | F | 6' 7" | 31 |
Clippers starters
- F Derrick Jones Jr.
- F Rui Hachimura
- C Brook Lopez
- G Kris Dunn
- G Darius Garland
The Nov 4 games provide both teams' starting fives; confirmed lineups post roughly 30 minutes before the opening tipoff.
Full Clippers roster (19)
| No. | Player | Pos | Height | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Bradley Beal | G | 6' 4" | 33 |
| 24 | Cam Christie | G | 6' 5" | 21 |
| 9 | Gradey Dick | G | 6' 7" | 22 |
| 8 | Kris Dunn | G | 6' 3" | 32 |
| 10 | Darius Garland | G | 6' 1" | 26 |
| 28 | Rui Hachimura | F | 6' 8" | 28 |
| 7 | Brandon Ingram | F | 6' 8" | 29 |
| 23 | Isaiah Jackson | F | 6' 8" | 24 |
| 5 | Derrick Jones Jr. | F | 6' 6" | 29 |
| 11 | Brook Lopez | C | 7' 1" | 38 |
| 12 | Nick Martinelli | F | 6' 7" | 22 |
| 18 | Baba Miller | F | 6' 11" | 22 |
| 22 | Jordan Miller | G | 6' 5" | 26 |
| 14 | Yanic Konan Niederhauser | C | 6' 11" | 23 |
| 21 | Jalen Pickett | G | 6' 2" | 27 |
| 4 | Kobe Sanders | G | 6' 8" | 24 |
| 31 | Max Strus | G | 6' 5" | 30 |
| 1 | Keaton Wagler | G | 6' 5" | 19 |
| 20 | Blake Wesley | G | 6' 4" | 23 |
Five most recent games and the season series
Head-to-head games this season
- Nov 4 Heat at Clippers, 117-116 (Heat won)
2025-26 meetings
- Regular season
- Heat 2, Clippers 0
- Points per game
- Heat 130.0, Clippers 121.0
| Date | Game | Matchup | Score | Winner and margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2025 | Regular season | Clippers at Heat | 123-140 | Heat by 17 |
| Nov 3, 2025 | Regular season | Heat at Clippers | 120-119 | Heat by 1 |
Heat last five
| Date | Opponent | Result | Closing spread | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | @ Clippers | W 117-116 | −6.5 | L |
| Nov 2 | @ Lakers | L 117-138 | +1.5 | L |
| Oct 30 | vs Pacers | W 145-125 | −8.5 | W |
| Oct 28 | @ Hawks | W 129-117 | +2.5 | W |
| Oct 26 | vs Mavericks | L 109-113 | −7.5 | L |
Clippers last five
| Date | Opponent | Result | Closing spread | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs Heat | L 116-117 | +6.5 | W |
| Nov 2 | vs Raptors | L 118-125 | +6.5 | L |
| Nov 1 | @ Warriors | L 112-124 | +1.5 | L |
| Oct 30 | @ Timberwolves | L 101-127 | +6.5 | L |
| Oct 28 | vs Lakers | L 87-103 | −1.5 | L |
Officials
Sean Wright, Matt Kallio, Sha'Rae Mitchell