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New Orleans Pelicans predictions, picks and odds

Record
3-4
West rank
11
Model rating
−1.4 18th of 30
Projected wins
35.7
Playoff chance
23.1%
Title chance
0.2%

Pelicans schedule: upcoming games and our win chance

DateOpponentTipPelicans win chancePrediction
Nov 6vs Timberwolves8:00 PM ET32.0%Picks and preview
Nov 8@ Clippers9:00 PM ET46.8%Opens 3 days before tip
Nov 92nd night@ Warriors10:00 PM ET29.6%Opens 3 days before tip
Nov 11vs Nets8:00 PM ET69.3%Opens 3 days before tip
Nov 13vs Grizzlies8:00 PM ET43.9%Opens 3 days before tip
Nov 142nd nightvs Nuggets7:00 PM ET42.4%Opens 3 days before tip
Nov 16vs Warriors8:00 PM ET44.4%Opens 3 days before tip
Nov 18vs Pistons8:00 PM ET35.8%Opens 3 days before tip
Nov 20@ Thunder8:00 PM ET29.2%Opens 3 days before tip
Nov 212nd night@ Spurs8:00 PM ET20.6%Opens 3 days before tip

Spread results for the Pelicans

Closing spread results put the Pelicans at 5-2 across the games shown.

DateOpponentResultClosing spreadATS
Nov 2@ GrizzliesW 135-134+5.5W
Oct 31vs HawksW 121-99+5.5W
Oct 29vs KingsW 132-120−6.5W
Oct 28vs NuggetsL 91-104+4.5L
Oct 24@ NuggetsL 135-141+11.5W
Oct 23@ JazzL 119-120+1.5W
Oct 21vs PacersL 120-123+2.5L

Pelicans 2025-26 season

26-56, 11th in the West. Missed the postseason.

Win pct
.317
Home
17-24
Road
9-32
vs West
17-34
Within 5 pts
6-13
Points
115.5
Allowed
120.0
Margin
−4.5

Western Conference projections and standings

Western Conference
#TeamWLPCTGBPPGOPPGDiffHomeRoadStrkL10Proj. WSeedPlayoffsTitle
1Rockets71.8750119.2106.4+12.94-03-1W27-157.6 48–66297.6%19.5%
2Grizzlies61.8570.5123.0110.1+12.92-14-0L16-145.8 36–56768.2%1.8%
3Trail Blazers51.8331120.2109.3+10.81-14-0W25-148.7 38–59579.0%4.2%
4Lakers62.7501122.5115.2+7.24-12-1W26-249.1 39–59582.0%4.0%
5Spurs52.7141.5117.6108.3+9.33-22-0W55-252.6 43–62490.9%9.5%
6Thunder52.7141.5108.0107.7+0.33-02-2W15-250.1 40–60584.2%5.1%
7Timberwolves53.6252119.0107.6+11.43-12-2W15-352.8 44–62492.3%10.9%
8Warriors53.6252117.5114.6+2.93-12-2W55-345.3 35–55766.9%1.5%
9Mavericks43.5712.5112.3112.30.02-22-1L14-337.6 28–481029.7%0.2%
10Nuggets33.5003113.3115.7−2.31-22-1L13-341.2 31–52948.4%0.9%
11Pelicans34.4293.5121.9120.1+1.72-21-2W33-435.7 26–461123.1%0.2%
12Suns14.2004.5112.2122.8−10.61-10-3L31-433.1 22–441217.4%0.1%
13Clippers16.1435.5108.1115.4−7.31-20-4L61-634.0 24–441118.2%0.2%
14Jazz16.1435.5107.0118.9−11.91-40-2L51-624.1 15–33141.5%<0.1%
15Kings16.1435.5110.1124.3−14.10-21-4W11-621.5 13–31140.7%<0.1%

With our ratings, we ran 10,000 simulations of every remaining game to project wins, seed and chances. The range covers the middle 80% of results. Both conferences covered in NBA futures.

Pelicans team statistics

Points
121.9
3rd
Rebounds
44.4
13th
Assists
25.7
21st
Field goal
49.6%
3rd
3-point
32.4%
25th
Free throw
80.8%
8th
Turnovers
17.1
23rd
Possessions
108.4
2nd

Pelicans leaders this season

PlayerPosGPMINPTSREBASTFG%3P%FT%
Zion WilliamsonF732.321.35.32.763.642.973.9
Dejounte MurrayG432.217.85.86.046.820.090.9
Saddiq BeyF726.115.63.91.748.735.388.5
Trey Murphy IIIF733.014.94.63.445.538.582.6
Jeremiah FearsG727.112.94.34.941.124.169.2
Derik QueenC723.712.47.72.652.742.986.7
Karlo MatkovicF618.310.04.50.864.752.660.0
Yves MissiC219.59.57.52.588.975.0

Injuries affecting the Pelicans

  • Out Trey Murphy III F · knee · expected return Nov 6
  • Out Yves Missi C · knee · expected return Nov 8

All teams: NBA injury report.

The Pelicans roster

No.PlayerPosHeightAgeSeasons
41Saddiq BeyF6' 8"276
8Malik DiaF6' 9"220
0Jeremiah FearsG6' 3"202
14AJ JohnsonG6' 5"213
2Herbert JonesF6' 7"286
6DeAndre JordanC6' 11"3819
24Bennedict MathurinG6' 5"245
17Karlo MatkovicF6' 10"253
11Bryce McGowensG6' 6"235
21Yves MissiC6' 11"223
25Trey Murphy IIIF6' 8"266
5Dejounte MurrayG6' 4"3010
10Jaron Pierre Jr.G6' 6"240
3Jordan PooleG6' 4"278
22Derik QueenC6' 9"212
13Julian ReeseF6' 9"232
9Trendon WatfordF6' 8"256
1Zion WilliamsonF6' 6"267