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Houston Rockets predictions, picks and odds

Record
7-1
West rank
1
Model rating
+8.4 1st of 30
Projected wins
57.6
Playoff chance
97.6%
Title chance
19.5%

Rockets schedule: upcoming games and our win chance

DateOpponentTipRockets win chancePrediction
Nov 7@ Suns9:00 PM ET74.9%Picks and preview
Nov 9vs Nuggets8:30 PM ET74.5%Opens 3 days before tip
Nov 11vs Warriors9:30 PM ET71.2%Opens 3 days before tip
Nov 13vs Jazz8:30 PM ET88.9%Opens 3 days before tip
Nov 15@ Wizards7:00 PM ET78.3%Opens 3 days before tip
Nov 162nd night@ Heat7:30 PM ET67.0%Opens 3 days before tip
Nov 18@ Pacers7:00 PM ET80.7%Opens 3 days before tip
Nov 20@ Nuggets10:00 PM ET65.9%Opens 3 days before tip
Nov 23vs Clippers8:30 PM ET80.7%Opens 3 days before tip
Nov 25vs Suns8:30 PM ET82.1%Opens 3 days before tip

Rockets results vs the spread

Against the closing spread, the Rockets are 7-1 in the games listed.

DateOpponentResultClosing spreadATS
Nov 2vs CelticsW 109-93−4.5W
Oct 31vs ThunderW 119-98−2.5W
Oct 30@ MavericksL 111-116−5.5L
Oct 28@ BucksW 132-100−8.5W
Oct 26vs HawksW 120-110−4.5W
Oct 24@ HawksW 121-114−1.5W
Oct 23@ SpursW 114-110+4.5W
Oct 21vs MavericksW 128-110−9.5W

Rockets 2025-26 season

52-30, 5th in the West. Out in the first round.

Win pct
.634
Home
30-11
Road
22-19
vs West
29-23
Within 5 pts
14-12
Points
115.2
Allowed
110.0
Margin
+5.2
RoundOpponentGamesResult
1st RoundLakers2-4L

Standings and projections for the Western Conference

Western Conference
#TeamWLPCTGBPPGOPPGDiffHomeRoadStrkL10Proj. WSeedPlayoffsTitle
1Rockets71.8750119.2106.4+12.94-03-1W27-157.6 48–66297.6%19.5%
2Grizzlies61.8570.5123.0110.1+12.92-14-0L16-145.8 36–56768.2%1.8%
3Trail Blazers51.8331120.2109.3+10.81-14-0W25-148.7 38–59579.0%4.2%
4Lakers62.7501122.5115.2+7.24-12-1W26-249.1 39–59582.0%4.0%
5Spurs52.7141.5117.6108.3+9.33-22-0W55-252.6 43–62490.9%9.5%
6Thunder52.7141.5108.0107.7+0.33-02-2W15-250.1 40–60584.2%5.1%
7Timberwolves53.6252119.0107.6+11.43-12-2W15-352.8 44–62492.3%10.9%
8Warriors53.6252117.5114.6+2.93-12-2W55-345.3 35–55766.9%1.5%
9Mavericks43.5712.5112.3112.30.02-22-1L14-337.6 28–481029.7%0.2%
10Nuggets33.5003113.3115.7−2.31-22-1L13-341.2 31–52948.4%0.9%
11Pelicans34.4293.5121.9120.1+1.72-21-2W33-435.7 26–461123.1%0.2%
12Suns14.2004.5112.2122.8−10.61-10-3L31-433.1 22–441217.4%0.1%
13Clippers16.1435.5108.1115.4−7.31-20-4L61-634.0 24–441118.2%0.2%
14Jazz16.1435.5107.0118.9−11.91-40-2L51-624.1 15–33141.5%<0.1%
15Kings16.1435.5110.1124.3−14.10-21-4W11-621.5 13–31140.7%<0.1%

Our ratings feed into 10,000 simulations covering every remaining game. Those runs give projected wins, seed and chances, and the range spans the middle 80% of outcomes. See NBA futures for both conferences.

Team stats for the Rockets

Points
119.2
6th
Rebounds
44.1
14th
Assists
28.8
3rd
Field goal
49.8%
2nd
3-point
39.1%
3rd
Free throw
81.6%
5th
Turnovers
15.1
8th
Possessions
99.6
29th

Rockets leaders for the season

PlayerPosGPMINPTSREBASTFG%3P%FT%
Alperen SengunC634.523.38.77.857.453.873.5
Kevin DurantF833.620.85.23.153.140.783.6
Jabari Smith Jr.F834.518.46.42.449.048.188.0
Amen ThompsonG832.616.06.13.652.628.676.5
Fred VanVleetG630.012.23.76.836.931.884.6
Marcus SmartG524.011.03.22.847.440.788.9
Tari EasonF824.610.45.91.247.028.093.3
Reed SheppardG522.010.02.44.038.330.6100.0

Injuries for the Rockets

  • Out Steven Adams C · calf · expected return Nov 9
  • Out Clint Capela C · ankle · expected return Nov 7

NBA injury report lists every team.

The Rockets roster

No.PlayerPosHeightAgeSeasons
12Steven AdamsC6' 11"3314
31Bogdan BogdanovicG6' 5"3410
30Clint CapelaC6' 10"3213
25Quadir CopelandG6' 6"230
27Isaiah CrawfordF6' 6"253
7Kevin DurantF6' 11"3820
17Tari EasonF6' 8"255
3Julian PhillipsF6' 6"224
28Alperen SengunC6' 11"246
15Reed SheppardG6' 2"223
36Marcus SmartG6' 3"3213
10Jabari Smith Jr.F6' 11"235
8Jae'Sean TateF6' 4"317
1Amen ThompsonG6' 7"234
2Bruce ThorntonG6' 0"230
9Oscar TshiebweC6' 8"264
5Fred VanVleetG6' 0"3211