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Dallas Mavericks predictions, picks and odds

Record
4-3
West rank
9
Model rating
−1.0 17th of 30
Projected wins
37.6
Playoff chance
29.7%
Title chance
0.2%

Next Mavericks games and our win chance

DateOpponentTipMavericks win chancePrediction
Nov 4@ Spurs9:30 PM ET25.8%Picks and preview
Nov 6vs Jazz8:00 PM ET70.8%Picks and preview
Nov 8vs Nets7:30 PM ET75.1%Opens 3 days before tip
Nov 92nd nightvs Pacers8:00 PM ET61.4%Opens 3 days before tip
Nov 12@ Timberwolves8:00 PM ET24.5%Opens 3 days before tip
Nov 14@ Cavaliers7:30 PM ET41.6%Opens 3 days before tip
Nov 152nd night@ Celtics6:00 PM ET24.8%Opens 3 days before tip
Nov 18vs Warriors9:30 PM ET45.4%Opens 3 days before tip
Nov 21vs Clippers8:00 PM ET57.6%Opens 3 days before tip
Nov 222nd night@ Jazz7:00 PM ET56.0%Opens 3 days before tip

Mavericks results versus the spread

Against the closing spread, the Mavericks are 4-3 in the listed games.

DateOpponentResultClosing spreadATS
Nov 2vs KingsL 100-115−7.5L
Oct 30vs RocketsW 116-111+5.5W
Oct 28vs ThunderW 120-96+4.5W
Oct 26@ HeatW 113-109+7.5W
Oct 24vs SpursL 106-122+14.5L
Oct 23@ PacersW 121-105+7.5W
Oct 21@ RocketsL 110-128+9.5L

Mavericks 2025-26 season

26-56, 12th in the West. Missed the postseason.

Win pct
.317
Home
16-25
Road
10-30
vs West
14-37
Within 5 pts
8-10
Points
114.1
Allowed
119.6
Margin
−5.5

Standings and projections for the Western Conference

Western Conference
#TeamWLPCTGBPPGOPPGDiffHomeRoadStrkL10Proj. WSeedPlayoffsTitle
1Rockets71.8750119.2106.4+12.94-03-1W27-157.6 48–66297.6%19.5%
2Grizzlies61.8570.5123.0110.1+12.92-14-0L16-145.8 36–56768.2%1.8%
3Trail Blazers51.8331120.2109.3+10.81-14-0W25-148.7 38–59579.0%4.2%
4Lakers62.7501122.5115.2+7.24-12-1W26-249.1 39–59582.0%4.0%
5Spurs52.7141.5117.6108.3+9.33-22-0W55-252.6 43–62490.9%9.5%
6Thunder52.7141.5108.0107.7+0.33-02-2W15-250.1 40–60584.2%5.1%
7Timberwolves53.6252119.0107.6+11.43-12-2W15-352.8 44–62492.3%10.9%
8Warriors53.6252117.5114.6+2.93-12-2W55-345.3 35–55766.9%1.5%
9Mavericks43.5712.5112.3112.30.02-22-1L14-337.6 28–481029.7%0.2%
10Nuggets33.5003113.3115.7−2.31-22-1L13-341.2 31–52948.4%0.9%
11Pelicans34.4293.5121.9120.1+1.72-21-2W33-435.7 26–461123.1%0.2%
12Suns14.2004.5112.2122.8−10.61-10-3L31-433.1 22–441217.4%0.1%
13Clippers16.1435.5108.1115.4−7.31-20-4L61-634.0 24–441118.2%0.2%
14Jazz16.1435.5107.0118.9−11.91-40-2L51-624.1 15–33141.5%<0.1%
15Kings16.1435.5110.1124.3−14.10-21-4W11-621.5 13–31140.7%<0.1%

Our ratings feed 10,000 simulations of each remaining game, which produce a projected seed, projected wins and chances. Outcomes in the middle 80% form the range. Both conferences appear in NBA futures.

Mavericks team statistics

Points
112.3
16th
Rebounds
42.4
21st
Assists
25.9
17th
Field goal
48.4%
4th
3-point
33.1%
21st
Free throw
77.7%
14th
Turnovers
17.0
22nd
Possessions
101.7
20th

Mavericks leaders for the season

PlayerPosGPMINPTSREBASTFG%3P%FT%
Cooper FlaggF633.725.25.76.548.623.388.9
Kyrie IrvingG528.821.43.44.852.739.0100.0
P.J. WashingtonF734.313.67.71.140.029.572.0
Naji MarshallF426.811.53.06.043.518.842.9
Daniel GaffordF724.010.17.02.175.0100.066.7
Zaccharie RisacherF728.18.15.91.636.827.670.0
Caleb MartinF320.07.72.70.057.155.6100.0
Morez Johnson Jr.F715.77.33.11.360.00.064.3

Injuries for the Mavericks

  • Out Santi Aldama F · knee · expected return Nov 6
  • Out Max Christie G · hip · expected return Nov 6
  • Out Tarik Biberovic F · heel · expected return Nov 12
  • Out Dereck Lively II C · foot · expected return Nov 12
  • Out Sergio de Larrea F · knee · expected return Nov 6

All teams: NBA injury report.

Mavericks team roster

No.PlayerPosHeightAgeSeasons
34Santi AldamaF7' 0"256
13Tarik BiberovicF6' 7"250
0Max ChristieG6' 5"235
30Moussa CisseC6' 11"242
1Walter Clayton Jr.G6' 4"232
55Sergio de LarreaF6' 7"200
32Cooper FlaggF6' 9"192
21Daniel GaffordF6' 10"288
9Jett HowardG6' 8"234
11Kyrie IrvingG6' 2"3415
14Morez Johnson Jr.F6' 9"200
33Tobi LawalF6' 8"230
2Dereck Lively IIC7' 1"224
3Naji MarshallF6' 6"287
16Caleb MartinF6' 5"318
10Zaccharie RisacherF6' 8"213
8Marcus SasserG6' 1"264
25P.J. WashingtonF6' 7"288