Raptors vs. Nuggets prediction and picks, November 4, 2026

Toronto Raptors (4-4) at Denver Nuggets (4-3), 9:00 PM ET, Ball Arena in Denver.

Toronto Raptors4-4

Denver Nuggets4-3

Raptors 109Final128 Nuggets

53.6% RaptorsNuggets 46.4%

DraftKings moneyline without the margin: 36.9% / 63.1%

On the board since November 4, 2026 · numbers refreshed Nov 5, 8:06 AM ET

Our picks for Raptors-Nuggets

SpreadRaptors +4.5 −110Model 66.0% vs 52.4% to break evenWide edge +13.6Posted Nov 4, 3:16 AM ET · Lost−1.00u · CLV 0.0
TotalUnder 230.5 −115Model 51.4% vs 53.5% to break evenNo edge −2.1Posted Nov 4, 3:16 AM ET · Lost−1.00u · CLV 0.0
MoneylineRaptors to win +160Model 53.6% vs 38.5% to break evenWide edge +15.1Posted Nov 4, 3:16 AM ET · Lost−1.00u

DraftKings market line set against what the model thinks is fair
Market	Open	Now	Model fair	Model minus market
Nuggets spread	−5.5	−4.5	+1.3	+5.8
Total points	231.5	230.5	229.9	−0.6

Quarter-by-quarter final scoring

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	T
Raptors	35	32	15	27	109
Nuggets	33	31	41	23	128

Report on player injuries

Raptors injuries

Out Kawhi Leonard F · knee · expected return Nov 23
Out Nate Bittle C · foot · expected return Nov 9

Nuggets injuries

Out DeMar DeRozan G · back · expected return Nov 7
Out Spencer Jones F · hamstring · expected return Nov 11
Out Julian Strawther G · knee · expected return Nov 29

Official league injury report: 12:45 AM ET, Nov 5 PDF.

This season's team stats

Per game	TOR	DEN
Points	117.9 9th	115.4 13th
Rebounds	42.1 22nd	41.6 24th
Assists	28.8 3rd	27.6 6th
Field goal	46.2% 15th	49.0% 2nd
3-point	31.9% 25th	37.2% 9th
Free throw	73.8% 28th	80.9% 8th
Turnovers	14.4 5th	15.7 14th
Possessions	105.0 6th	99.9 29th

Small type shows the league rank (8 and 7 games played). The better side appears in bold.

Where each team stands

	TOR	DEN
Conference rank	6th East	9th West
Record	4-4	4-3
Games back	3.5	2
Home / road	2-1 / 2-3	2-2 / 2-1
Last 10, streak	4-4, L1	4-3, W1
Point differential	+4.4	+0.7
Projected wins	45.0	44.2
Playoff chance	85.3%	61.2%

NBA standings

These projections come from 10,000 simulations of the remaining season; the full table appears under NBA futures.

Leaders this season

Raptors leaders

Player	Pos	GP	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG%	3P%	FT%
Scottie Barnes	F	8	33.4	23.5	7.6	5.1	47.5	15.4	68.0
RJ Barrett	F	8	32.5	20.9	6.0	3.9	48.1	31.8	59.5
Kawhi Leonardout	F	2	26.0	19.5	7.5	1.5	32.4	28.6	100.0
Immanuel Quickley	G	8	31.8	17.4	3.5	5.8	40.9	33.3	84.8
Ja'Kobe Walter	G	8	29.1	11.4	3.8	2.5	44.1	36.0	61.9

Nuggets leaders

Player	Pos	GP	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG%	3P%	FT%
Jamal Murray	G	7	36.9	25.4	5.4	5.9	47.4	50.9	83.0
Nikola Jokic	C	7	35.9	23.4	9.7	9.3	50.4	21.9	87.9
Christian Braun	G	7	35.0	14.6	3.9	2.3	54.9	42.4	83.3
Aaron Gordon	F	7	29.4	12.3	5.3	2.4	41.9	35.7	85.7
DeMar DeRozanout	G	6	25.2	10.7	2.0	2.7	40.4	22.2	83.3

Starters and rosters we project

Raptors starters

F RJ Barrett
F Scottie Barnes
F Collin Murray-Boyles
G Immanuel Quickley
G Ja'Kobe Walter

Full Raptors roster (16)

No.	Player	Pos	Height	Age
12	Kyle Anderson	F	6' 8"	33
4	Scottie Barnes	F	6' 8"	25
9	RJ Barrett	F	6' 6"	26
77	Jamison Battle	F	6' 7"	25
unlisted	Nate Bittle	C	7' 0"	23
8	Jaden Bradley	G	6' 3"	23
22	Allen Graves	F	6' 8"	20
32	Trayce Jackson-Davis	F	6' 9"	26
2	Kawhi Leonard	F	6' 6"	35
55	Alijah Martin	G	6' 2"	24
30	Collin Murray-Boyles	F	6' 7"	21
19	Jakob Poeltl	C	7' 0"	31
5	Immanuel Quickley	G	6' 2"	27
23	Jamal Shead	G	6' 1"	24
18	Malachi Smith	G	6' 4"	26
14	Ja'Kobe Walter	G	6' 4"	22

Nuggets starters

F Aaron Gordon
F Cameron Johnson
C Nikola Jokic
G Jamal Murray
G Christian Braun

Each team's starting five comes from its Nov 4 game; confirmed lineups come out about 30 minutes before tip.

Full Nuggets roster (17)

No.	Player	Pos	Height	Age
3	Marvin Bagley III	F	6' 10"	27
0	Christian Braun	G	6' 6"	25
7	Trevon Brazile	F	6' 10"	23
10	DeMar DeRozan	G	6' 6"	37
11	Alpha Diallo	F	6' 7"	29
32	Aaron Gordon	F	6' 8"	31
14	DaRon Holmes II	F	6' 9"	24
13	Bryce Hopkins	F	6' 7"	24
23	Cameron Johnson	F	6' 8"	30
15	Nikola Jokic	C	6' 11"	31
21	Spencer Jones	F	6' 7"	25
5	Tyus Jones	G	6' 0"	30
27	Jamal Murray	G	6' 4"	29
9	Ryan Nembhard	G	5' 11"	23
22	Zeke Nnaji	F	6' 10"	25
1	Julian Strawther	G	6' 6"	24
00	Cam Whitmore	F	6' 6"	22

The last five games and the season series

Head-to-head this season

Nov 4 Raptors at Nuggets, 109-128 (Nuggets won)

2025-26 meetings

Regular season: Raptors 0, Nuggets 2
Points per game: Raptors 109.0, Nuggets 113.5

Date	Game	Matchup	Score	Winner and margin
Mar 20, 2026	Regular season	Raptors at Nuggets	115-121	Nuggets by 6
Dec 31, 2025	Regular season	Nuggets at Raptors	106-103	Nuggets by 3

Raptors last five

Date	Opponent	Result	Closing spread	ATS
Nov 4	@ Nuggets	L 109-128	+4.5	L
Nov 2	@ Clippers	W 125-118	−6.5	W
Nov 1	@ Lakers	L 125-131	+3.5	L
Oct 30	vs Magic	L 114-121	−5.5	L
Oct 28	vs Magic	W 129-99	−5.5	W

Nuggets last five

Date	Opponent	Result	Closing spread	ATS
Nov 4	vs Raptors	W 128-109	−4.5	W
Nov 2	vs Trail Blazers	L 110-118	−4.5	L
Oct 30	@ Suns	W 127-120	−4.5	W
Oct 28	@ Pelicans	W 104-91	−4.5	W
Oct 26	vs Warriors	L 114-134	−6.5	L

Officials

Kevin Cutler, Karl Lane, Dannica Baroody