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Bucks vs. Celtics prediction and picks, November 4, 2026

Milwaukee Bucks (1-7) at Boston Celtics (6-2), , TD Garden in Boston on Bucks App.

Milwaukee Bucks logoMilwaukee Bucks1-7Boston Celtics logoBoston Celtics6-2
Milwaukee Bucks logoBucks 102Final109 CelticsBoston Celtics logo

On the board since November 4, 2026 · numbers refreshed Nov 5, 8:06 AM ET

The Bucks-Celtics picks we made

  • SpreadCeltics -11.5 −112Model 58.4% vs 52.8% to break evenClear edge +5.6Posted · Lost−1.00u · CLV +1.0
  • TotalUnder 225.5 −115Model 50.7% vs 53.5% to break evenNo edge −2.7Posted · Won+0.87u · CLV +3.0
  • MoneylineCeltics to win −567Model 85.0% vs 85.0% to break evenNo edge 0.0Posted · Won+0.18u
DraftKings market line compared with the model's fair line
MarketOpenNowModel fairModel minus market
Celtics spread−14.5−12.5−14.5−2.0
Total points225.5222.5225.2+2.7

Final score for each quarter

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4T
Milwaukee Bucks logoBucks14273823102
Boston Celtics logoCeltics28342522109

The injury report

Milwaukee Bucks logoBucks injuries

  • Out Kam Jones G · ankle · expected return Nov 6

Boston Celtics logoCeltics injuries

  • Day-To-Day Payton Pritchard G · eye · expected return Nov 6
  • Out Devin Carter G · illness · expected return Nov 8
  • Out Jayson Tatum F · rest · expected return Nov 6

Official league injury report: 12:45 AM ET, Nov 5 PDF.

This season's team stats

Per gameMILBOS
Points110.0 21st114.2 14th
Rebounds49.0 3rd43.9 14th
Assists26.0 18th26.5 14th
Field goal43.1% 25th45.1% 22nd
3-point34.3% 16th35.3% 12th
Free throw70.9% 29th78.1% 14th
Turnovers16.5 22nd15.0 9th
Possessions104.2 12th101.1 22nd

Small type shows league rank (8 and 8 games played). Bold text shows the better side.

A snapshot of the standings

MILBOS
Conference rank14th East3rd East
Record1-76-2
Games back6.51.5
Home / road1-3 / 0-45-0 / 1-2
Last 10, streak1-7, L46-2, W1
Point differential−12.2+6.0
Projected wins24.149.9
Playoff chance5.1%94.7%

NBA standings

These projections use 10,000 simulations covering the remainder of the season. The complete table is available under NBA futures.

The season leaders

Milwaukee Bucks logoBucks leaders

PlayerPosGPMINPTSREBASTFG%3P%FT%
Tyler HerroG830.622.25.03.946.042.675.0
Jaime Jaquez Jr.F828.416.86.62.849.548.465.4
Ryan RollinsG824.911.24.84.536.129.357.1
Kel'el WareC818.910.28.20.841.923.173.7
Kyle KuzmaF826.49.56.23.043.729.450.0

Boston Celtics logoCeltics leaders

PlayerPosGPMINPTSREBASTFG%3P%FT%
Jayson TatumoutF735.127.06.07.941.822.987.0
Paul GeorgeF731.621.35.65.046.041.480.8
Payton PritchardG826.813.02.83.641.831.086.2
Derrick WhiteG830.812.83.25.142.529.3100.0
Neemias QuetaC822.59.86.21.458.366.762.5

Starters and rosters we project

Milwaukee Bucks logoBucks starters

  1. F Kyle Kuzma
  2. F Jaime Jaquez Jr.
  3. C Myles Turner
  4. G Tyler Herro
  5. G Brayden Burries
Full Bucks roster (18)
No.PlayerPosHeightAge
15Nate AmentF6' 10"19
0Brayden BurriesG6' 4"21
21Ousmane DiengF6' 9"23
20AJ GreenG6' 4"27
11Tyler HerroG6' 5"26
25Kasparas JakucionisG6' 5"20
24Jaime Jaquez Jr.F6' 6"25
19Kam JonesG6' 4"24
18Kyle KuzmaF6' 8"31
12Caris LeVertG6' 7"32
23Bogoljub MarkovicF6' 11"21
35Pete NanceF6' 9"26
13Ryan RollinsG6' 3"24
30Cormac RyanG6' 5"28
00Jericho SimsC6' 10"28
5Gary Trent Jr.G6' 5"27
3Myles TurnerC6' 11"30
9Kel'el WareC7' 0"22

Boston Celtics logoCeltics starters

  1. F Paul George
  2. F Sam Hauser
  3. C Neemias Queta
  4. G Derrick White
  5. G Hugo Gonzalez

Both starting fives come from each team's Nov 4 game, and about 30 minutes before tip the confirmed lineups post.

Full Celtics roster (17)
No.PlayerPosHeightAge
99Devin CarterG6' 2"24
12Chris Cenac Jr.F6' 11"19
45Mike ConleyG6' 1"39
52Luka GarzaC6' 10"27
13Paul GeorgeF6' 8"36
28Hugo GonzalezG6' 6"20
8Ron Harper Jr.G6' 5"26
30Sam HauserF6' 8"28
20Dillon MitchellF6' 8"23
11Payton PritchardG6' 2"28
88Neemias QuetaC7' 0"27
4Mitchell RobinsonC7' 0"28
55Baylor ScheiermanG6' 6"26
0Jayson TatumF6' 8"28
27Jordan WalshG6' 7"22
9Derrick WhiteG6' 4"32
77Amari WilliamsF7' 0"24

The season series plus the last five games

Head-to-head games this season

  • Nov 4 Bucks at Celtics, 102-109 (Celtics won)
  • Nov 8 Celtics at Bucks

2025-26 meetings

Regular season
Bucks 1, Celtics 3
Points per game
Bucks 94.2, Celtics 112.2
DateGameMatchupScoreWinner and margin
Apr 3, 2026Regular seasonCeltics at Bucks133-101Celtics by 32
Mar 2, 2026Regular seasonCeltics at Bucks108-81Celtics by 27
Feb 1, 2026Regular seasonBucks at Celtics79-107Celtics by 28
Dec 11, 2025Regular seasonCeltics at Bucks101-116Bucks by 15

Milwaukee Bucks logoBucks last five

DateOpponentResultClosing spreadATS
Nov 4@ CelticsL 102-109+12.5W
Nov 2@ TimberwolvesL 100-112+11.5L
Oct 31vs CavaliersL 111-136+8.5L
Oct 28vs RocketsL 100-132+8.5L
Oct 26vs PacersW 110-102+3.5W

Boston Celtics logoCeltics last five

DateOpponentResultClosing spreadATS
Nov 4vs BucksW 109-102−12.5L
Nov 2@ RocketsL 93-109+4.5L
Nov 1@ MagicW 108-97−6.5W
Oct 30vs BullsW 125-111−14.5L
Oct 27vs NetsW 125-124−13.5L

Officials

James Capers, Dedric Taylor, Julian Scott