Cavaliers vs. Thunder prediction and picks, November 4, 2026
Cleveland Cavaliers (4-4) at Oklahoma City Thunder (6-2), , Paycom Center in Oklahoma City on KSBI, Thunder App, DAZN CLE.
Cavaliers 116Final124 Thunder
On the board since November 4, 2026 · numbers refreshed Nov 5, 7:29 AM ET
Our picks for Cavaliers-Thunder
- SpreadThunder -2.5 −105Model 54.2% vs 51.2% to break evenClear edge +3.0Posted · Won+0.95u · CLV +1.0
- TotalUnder 228.5 −115Model 54.4% vs 53.5% to break evenSlim edge +0.9Posted · Lost−1.00u · CLV +2.0
- MoneylineThunder to win −135Model 61.2% vs 57.4% to break evenClear edge +3.8Posted · Won+0.74u
| Market | Open | Now | Model fair | Model minus market |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thunder spread | −2.5 | −3.5 | −4 | −0.5 |
| Total points | 227.5 | 226.5 | 226.5 | 0.0 |
Score by quarter after the game
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cavaliers | 20 | 24 | 30 | 42 | 116 |
| Thunder | 37 | 23 | 28 | 36 | 124 |
Player injury status
Cavaliers injuries
- Day-To-Day Jarrett Allen C · knee · expected return Nov 6
- Day-To-Day Tyrese Proctor G · ankle · expected return Nov 6
- Out Jaylon Tyson G · ankle · expected return Nov 6
- Out Peyton Watson G · hamstring · expected return Nov 6
Thunder injuries
- Out Jaylin Williams F · back · expected return Nov 6
- Out Nikola Topic G · back · expected return Nov 13
- Out Thomas Sorber C · knee · expected return Nov 13
- Out Cason Wallace G · shoulder · expected return Mar 2, 2027
- Out Chet Holmgren C · knee · expected return Jan 2, 2027
Official league injury report: 12:45 AM ET, Nov 5 PDF.
Team statistics for this season
| Per game | CLE | OKC |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 119.2 5th | 110.0 23rd |
| Rebounds | 47.5 6th | 46.6 8th |
| Assists | 27.8 5th | 21.6 29th |
| Field goal | 46.4% 13th | 44.0% 24th |
| 3-point | 37.2% 8th | 33.3% 21st |
| Free throw | 76.1% 19th | 85.8% 1st |
| Turnovers | 14.0 4th | 13.2 3rd |
| Possessions | 104.8 7th | 101.8 20th |
Small type shows league rank (8 and 8 games played). The better side is shown in bold.
Current standings overview
| CLE | OKC | |
|---|---|---|
| Conference rank | 7th East | 6th West |
| Record | 4-4 | 6-2 |
| Games back | 3.5 | 0.5 |
| Home / road | 3-1 / 1-3 | 4-0 / 2-2 |
| Last 10, streak | 4-4, L2 | 6-2, W2 |
| Point differential | +2.1 | +1.2 |
| Projected wins | 44.8 | 50.9 |
| Playoff chance | 84.3% | 86.4% |
These projections come from running the rest of the season 10,000 times. You'll find the full table on NBA futures.
Leaders for the season
Cavaliers leaders
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan Mitchell | G | 8 | 33.1 | 22.5 | 5.0 | 5.5 | 48.4 | 41.1 | 82.5 |
| Evan Mobley | C | 8 | 32.9 | 18.8 | 8.2 | 3.5 | 56.0 | 48.6 | 63.6 |
| James Harden | G | 8 | 33.6 | 16.6 | 5.2 | 6.2 | 37.9 | 36.2 | 82.9 |
| Jarrett Allen | C | 8 | 25.1 | 13.2 | 7.8 | 1.2 | 62.1 | 66.7 | 68.8 |
| Meleek Thomas | G | 5 | 21.2 | 13.0 | 2.6 | 0.8 | 46.3 | 46.4 | 100.0 |
Thunder leaders
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | G | 8 | 33.8 | 30.1 | 4.2 | 4.5 | 44.7 | 35.6 | 84.7 |
| Ajay Mitchell | G | 8 | 27.5 | 17.8 | 4.0 | 3.5 | 50.5 | 20.8 | 89.3 |
| Jalen Williams | G | 3 | 31.7 | 13.7 | 4.7 | 3.3 | 38.5 | 33.3 | 80.0 |
| Chet Holmgrenout | C | 3 | 30.0 | 12.0 | 9.3 | 1.3 | 40.7 | 33.3 | 100.0 |
| Jared McCain | G | 8 | 25.0 | 10.1 | 3.0 | 1.9 | 33.7 | 26.7 | 84.6 |
Expected starters and team rosters
Cavaliers starters
- C Jarrett Allen
- C Evan Mobley
- G James Harden
- G Donovan Mitchell
- G Tyrese Proctor
Full Cavaliers roster (15)
| No. | Player | Pos | Height | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | Jarrett Allen | C | 6' 9" | 28 |
| 3 | Thomas Bryant | C | 6' 9" | 29 |
| 21 | Tristan Enaruna | F | 6' 8" | 25 |
| 1 | James Harden | G | 6' 5" | 37 |
| 33 | Mario Hezonja | F | 6' 8" | 31 |
| 5 | Sam Merrill | G | 6' 4" | 30 |
| 12 | Riley Minix | F | 6' 7" | 26 |
| 45 | Donovan Mitchell | G | 6' 2" | 30 |
| 4 | Evan Mobley | C | 6' 11" | 25 |
| 9 | Craig Porter Jr. | G | 6' 1" | 26 |
| 24 | Tyrese Proctor | G | 6' 4" | 22 |
| 15 | Meleek Thomas | G | 6' 3" | 20 |
| 20 | Jaylon Tyson | G | 6' 6" | 23 |
| 88 | Ernest Udeh Jr. | C | 6' 9" | 22 |
| 8 | Peyton Watson | G | 6' 8" | 24 |
Thunder starters
- C Isaiah Hartenstein
- C Aday Mara
- G Kenrich Williams
- G Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
- G Ajay Mitchell
Each starting five comes from its team's Nov 4 game. About 30 minutes before tip, the confirmed lineups are posted.
Full Thunder roster (18)
| No. | Player | Pos | Height | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Brooks Barnhizer | F | 6' 6" | 24 |
| 9 | Alex Caruso | G | 6' 5" | 32 |
| 21 | Josh Dix | G | 6' 5" | 22 |
| 2 | Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | G | 6' 6" | 28 |
| 55 | Isaiah Hartenstein | C | 7' 0" | 28 |
| 7 | Chet Holmgren | C | 7' 1" | 24 |
| 15 | Aday Mara | C | 7' 3" | 21 |
| 3 | Jared McCain | G | 6' 3" | 22 |
| 25 | Ajay Mitchell | G | 6' 4" | 24 |
| unlisted | Micah Peavy | G | 6' 7" | 25 |
| 12 | Thomas Sorber | C | 6' 9" | 20 |
| 14 | Bennett Stirtz | G | 6' 4" | 23 |
| unlisted | Dalen Terry | G | 6' 6" | 24 |
| 44 | Nikola Topic | G | 6' 6" | 21 |
| 22 | Cason Wallace | G | 6' 3" | 22 |
| 8 | Jalen Williams | G | 6' 5" | 25 |
| 6 | Jaylin Williams | F | 6' 9" | 24 |
| 34 | Kenrich Williams | G | 6' 7" | 31 |
The season series plus five latest games
Head-to-head games this season
- Nov 2 Thunder at Cavaliers, 117-112 (Thunder won)
- Nov 4 Cavaliers at Thunder, 116-124 (Thunder won)
2025-26 meetings
- Regular season
- Cavaliers 0, Thunder 2
- Points per game
- Cavaliers 108.5, Thunder 128.5
| Date | Game | Matchup | Score | Winner and margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2026 | Regular season | Cavaliers at Thunder | 113-121 | Thunder by 8 |
| Jan 19, 2026 | Regular season | Thunder at Cavaliers | 136-104 | Thunder by 32 |
Cavaliers last five
| Date | Opponent | Result | Closing spread | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | @ Thunder | L 116-124 | +3.5 | L |
| Nov 2 | vs Thunder | L 112-117 | −4.5 | L |
| Oct 31 | @ Bucks | W 136-111 | −8.5 | W |
| Oct 29 | @ Hawks | L 111-114 | +1.5 | L |
| Oct 28 | vs Wizards | W 121-111 | −9.5 | W |
Thunder last five
| Date | Opponent | Result | Closing spread | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs Cavaliers | W 124-116 | −3.5 | W |
| Nov 2 | @ Cavaliers | W 117-112 | +4.5 | W |
| Oct 31 | @ Rockets | L 98-119 | +2.5 | L |
| Oct 28 | @ Mavericks | L 96-120 | −4.5 | L |
| Oct 26 | vs Suns | W 125-114 | −8.5 | W |
Officials
John Goble, Jonathan Sterling, John Butler