Mavericks vs. Spurs prediction and picks, November 4, 2026

Dallas Mavericks (4-4) at San Antonio Spurs (6-2), 9:30 PM ET, Frost Bank Center in San Antonio on ESPN.

Dallas Mavericks4-4

San Antonio Spurs6-2

Mavericks 111Final112 Spurs

25.8% MavericksSpurs 74.2%

DraftKings moneyline without the margin: 18.8% / 81.2%

On the board since November 4, 2026 · numbers refreshed Nov 5, 8:06 AM ET

Our picks for Mavericks-Spurs

SpreadMavericks +11.5 −115Model 56.9% vs 53.5% to break evenClear edge +3.4Posted Nov 4, 3:16 AM ET · Won+0.87u · CLV −1.0
TotalUnder 227.5 −111Model 52.7% vs 52.6% to break evenSlim edge +0.1Posted Nov 4, 3:16 AM ET · Won+0.90u · CLV +1.0
MoneylineMavericks to win +411Model 25.9% vs 19.6% to break evenWide edge +6.3Posted Nov 4, 3:16 AM ET · Lost−1.00u

Market line at DraftKings compared with the model's fair line
Market	Open	Now	Model fair	Model minus market
Spurs spread	+12.5	−12.5	−9.1	+3.4
Total points	229.5	226.5	226.3	−0.2

The final score for each quarter

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	T
Mavericks	26	25	29	31	111
Spurs	32	36	22	22	112

Report on injuries

Mavericks injuries

Out Santi Aldama F · knee · expected return Nov 6
Out Max Christie G · hip · expected return Nov 6
Out Tarik Biberovic F · heel · expected return Nov 12
Out Dereck Lively II C · foot · expected return Nov 12
Out Sergio de Larrea F · knee · expected return Nov 6

Spurs injuries

Out Tobias Harris F · calf · expected return Nov 9
Out Jayden Quaintance F · knee · expected return Dec 3

Official league injury report: 12:45 AM ET, Nov 5 PDF.

Team stats for the season

Per game	DAL	SA
Points	112.1 16th	116.9 11th
Rebounds	43.4 18th	48.5 4th
Assists	26.2 16th	26.5 15th
Field goal	47.0% 10th	45.5% 17th
3-point	33.7% 19th	32.2% 24th
Free throw	77.0% 16th	80.1% 11th
Turnovers	15.9 17th	13.0 2nd
Possessions	101.9 18th	104.3 11th

Games played: 8 and 8, with league rank in small type. The better side is marked in bold.

Where the teams stand

	DAL	SA
Conference rank	11th West	5th West
Record	4-4	6-2
Games back	2.5	0.5
Home / road	2-2 / 2-2	4-2 / 2-0
Last 10, streak	4-4, L2	6-2, W6
Point differential	−0.1	+8.2
Projected wins	38.3	52.0
Playoff chance	31.6%	89.7%

NBA standings

We project the remaining games across 10,000 simulations; the full table is on NBA futures.

Top performers this season

Mavericks leaders

Player	Pos	GP	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG%	3P%	FT%
Cooper Flagg	F	7	34.6	24.3	6.3	6.3	46.8	21.2	86.5
Kyrie Irving	G	6	30.0	22.7	4.0	4.8	47.5	38.2	90.5
P.J. Washington	F	8	34.9	14.5	8.0	1.4	39.8	30.8	73.3
Naji Marshall	F	5	26.6	13.6	3.4	5.4	50.0	31.6	50.0
Daniel Gafford	F	8	23.2	9.1	6.6	2.0	67.4	100.0	62.5

Spurs leaders

Player	Pos	GP	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG%	3P%	FT%
Victor Wembanyama	F	8	31.6	29.0	12.4	3.1	48.6	24.0	76.9
Dylan Harper	G	8	32.9	18.6	5.6	4.6	50.0	37.0	88.5
De'Aaron Fox	G	8	30.9	15.1	4.2	6.1	54.5	36.4	80.6
Stephon Castle	G	8	29.6	15.0	6.1	4.8	39.0	32.2	75.0
Devin Vassell	G	8	31.8	10.6	4.2	3.2	37.2	25.7	94.7

Expected starters and team rosters

Mavericks starters

F Daniel Gafford
F P.J. Washington
F Cooper Flagg
F Zaccharie Risacher
G Kyrie Irving

Full Mavericks roster (18)

No.	Player	Pos	Height	Age
34	Santi Aldama	F	7' 0"	25
13	Tarik Biberovic	F	6' 7"	25
0	Max Christie	G	6' 5"	23
30	Moussa Cisse	C	6' 11"	24
1	Walter Clayton Jr.	G	6' 4"	23
55	Sergio de Larrea	F	6' 7"	20
32	Cooper Flagg	F	6' 9"	19
21	Daniel Gafford	F	6' 10"	28
9	Jett Howard	G	6' 8"	23
11	Kyrie Irving	G	6' 2"	34
14	Morez Johnson Jr.	F	6' 9"	20
33	Tobi Lawal	F	6' 8"	23
2	Dereck Lively II	C	7' 1"	22
3	Naji Marshall	F	6' 6"	28
16	Caleb Martin	F	6' 5"	31
10	Zaccharie Risacher	F	6' 8"	21
8	Marcus Sasser	G	6' 1"	26
25	P.J. Washington	F	6' 7"	28

Spurs starters

F Victor Wembanyama
G De'Aaron Fox
G Devin Vassell
G Stephon Castle
G Dylan Harper

Starting fives for both teams come from the Nov 4 games; confirmed lineups appear about 30 minutes before tipoff.

Full Spurs roster (17)

No.	Player	Pos	Height	Age
40	Harrison Barnes	F	6' 8"	34
15	Maliq Brown	F	6' 9"	22
11	Carter Bryant	F	6' 7"	20
5	Stephon Castle	G	6' 6"	22
30	Julian Champagnie	F	6' 7"	25
4	De'Aaron Fox	G	6' 3"	28
17	Ja'Kobi Gillespie	G	6' 1"	22
2	Dylan Harper	G	6' 5"	20
23	Tobias Harris	F	6' 8"	34
3	Keldon Johnson	F	6' 6"	27
25	David Jones Garcia	F	6' 4"	24
7	Luke Kornet	C	7' 1"	31
0	Jordan McLaughlin	G	6' 0"	30
22	Jayden Quaintance	F	6' 10"	19
10	Tarris Reed Jr.	C	6' 10"	23
24	Devin Vassell	G	6' 5"	26
1	Victor Wembanyama	F	7' 4"	22

Season meetings plus the latest five games

Season matchups to date

Oct 24 Spurs at Mavericks, 122-106 (Spurs won)
Nov 4 Mavericks at Spurs, 111-112 (Spurs won)

2025-26 meetings

Regular season: Mavericks 0, Spurs 4
Points per game: Mavericks 115.0, Spurs 134.2

Date	Game	Matchup	Score	Winner and margin
Apr 10, 2026	Regular season	Mavericks at Spurs	120-139	Spurs by 19
Feb 7, 2026	Regular season	Mavericks at Spurs	125-138	Spurs by 13
Feb 5, 2026	Regular season	Spurs at Mavericks	135-123	Spurs by 12
Oct 22, 2025	Regular season	Spurs at Mavericks	125-92	Spurs by 33

Mavericks last five

Date	Opponent	Result	Closing spread	ATS
Nov 4	@ Spurs	L 111-112	+12.5	W
Nov 2	vs Kings	L 100-115	−7.5	L
Oct 30	vs Rockets	W 116-111	+5.5	W
Oct 28	vs Thunder	W 120-96	+4.5	W
Oct 26	@ Heat	W 113-109	+7.5	W

Spurs last five

Date	Opponent	Result	Closing spread	ATS
Nov 4	vs Mavericks	W 112-111	−12.5	L
Nov 2	vs Jazz	W 119-97	−16.5	W
Oct 31	vs Timberwolves	W 121-111	−12.5	L
Oct 28	@ Jazz	W 117-111	−13.5	L
Oct 27	vs Kings	W 130-103	−19.5	W

Officials

Brent Barnaky, Curtis Blair, Simone Jelks