Hawks vs. Wizards prediction and picks, November 4, 2026
Atlanta Hawks (5-4) at Washington Wizards (4-4), , Capital One Arena in Washington on MNMT.
On the board since November 4, 2026 · numbers refreshed Nov 5, 7:29 AM ET
Hawks-Wizards picks we made
- SpreadHawks -2.5 −104Model 54.7% vs 51.0% to break evenClear edge +3.7Posted · Won+0.96u · CLV −1.0
- TotalUnder 232.5 −110Model 62.5% vs 52.4% to break evenWide edge +10.1Posted · Won+0.91u · CLV +3.0
- MoneylineHawks to win −142Model 61.7% vs 58.7% to break evenClear edge +3.0Posted · Won+0.70u
| Market | Open | Now | Model fair | Model minus market |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wizards spread | +1.5 | +1.5 | +4.2 | +2.7 |
| Total points | 234.5 | 229.5 | 226.7 | −2.8 |
Final score, quarter by quarter
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 37 | 31 | 25 | 27 | 120 | |
| 32 | 29 | 24 | 20 | 105 |
Report on injuries
Hawks injuries
- Day-To-Day Asa Newell F · toe · expected return Nov 6
- Out Jalen Johnson F · ankle · expected return Nov 6
- Out Jock Landale C · hip · expected return Nov 6
- Out Mouhamed Gueye F · foot · expected return Nov 20
- Out Henri Veesaar C · knee · expected return Jul 1, 2027
Wizards injuries
- Out Reece Beekman G · shoulder · expected return Dec 3
- Out Tristan Vukcevic F · hip · expected return Nov 9
- Out Justin Champagnie F · foot · expected return Feb 25, 2027
- Out Jamir Watkins G · knee · expected return Apr 2, 2027
Official league injury report: 12:45 AM ET, Nov 5 PDF.
Stats for the teams this season
| Per game | ATL | WSH |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 115.8 12th | 108.9 26th |
| Rebounds | 44.7 12th | 41.0 26th |
| Assists | 31.0 1st | 24.8 24th |
| Field goal | 44.5% 23rd | 47.6% 7th |
| 3-point | 35.1% 14th | 29.4% 29th |
| Free throw | 75.1% 22nd | 81.4% 7th |
| Turnovers | 14.8 8th | 14.6 6th |
| Possessions | 105.4 4th | 100.5 25th |
Small type shows the league rank (9 and 8 games played). Bold shows which side is better.
A snapshot of the standings
| ATL | WSH | |
|---|---|---|
| Conference rank | 4th East | 8th East |
| Record | 5-4 | 4-4 |
| Games back | 3 | 3.5 |
| Home / road | 1-2 / 4-2 | 2-2 / 2-2 |
| Last 10, streak | 5-4, W2 | 4-4, L1 |
| Point differential | +2.8 | −0.1 |
| Projected wins | 45.4 | 30.8 |
| Playoff chance | 86.3% | 20.9% |
These numbers come from 10,000 simulations covering what is left of the season; the whole table is on NBA futures.
Leaders of the season
Hawks leaders
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker | G | 9 | 30.3 | 21.7 | 3.3 | 2.7 | 43.9 | 40.7 | 82.4 |
| Jalen Johnsonout | F | 7 | 32.7 | 18.3 | 9.0 | 7.9 | 42.1 | 25.8 | 83.3 |
| CJ McCollum | G | 9 | 26.6 | 14.3 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 44.3 | 36.0 | 81.0 |
| Aaron Wiggins | G | 9 | 26.0 | 13.9 | 3.7 | 1.9 | 45.7 | 40.7 | 62.5 |
| Onyeka Okongwu | F | 9 | 29.1 | 12.2 | 8.4 | 2.8 | 46.2 | 29.3 | 75.0 |
Wizards leaders
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Davis | F | 8 | 33.1 | 23.4 | 9.2 | 2.1 | 50.0 | 35.0 | 82.9 |
| Trae Young | G | 8 | 35.9 | 19.6 | 3.4 | 9.5 | 40.6 | 27.8 | 84.8 |
| Kyshawn George | F | 8 | 32.8 | 17.2 | 4.2 | 4.8 | 51.5 | 34.1 | 77.3 |
| AJ Dybantsa | F | 4 | 30.5 | 16.5 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 46.2 | 25.0 | 78.9 |
| Alex Sarr | C | 7 | 25.1 | 9.6 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 52.1 | 22.2 | 76.5 |
Starters and rosters we project
Hawks starters
- F Onyeka Okongwu
- G Nickeil Alexander-Walker
- G Luguentz Dort
- G Dyson Daniels
- G Kingston Flemings
Full Hawks roster (18)
| No. | Player | Pos | Height | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Nickeil Alexander-Walker | G | 6' 5" | 28 |
| 5 | Dyson Daniels | G | 6' 7" | 23 |
| 10 | RayJ Dennis | G | 6' 2" | 25 |
| 0 | Luguentz Dort | G | 6' 4" | 27 |
| 20 | Zuby Ejiofor | F | 6' 8" | 22 |
| 8 | Dorian Finney-Smith | F | 6' 7" | 33 |
| 4 | Kingston Flemings | G | 6' 3" | 19 |
| 00 | Keshon Gilbert | G | 6' 4" | 23 |
| 18 | Mouhamed Gueye | F | 6' 11" | 23 |
| 1 | Jalen Johnson | F | 6' 8" | 24 |
| 24 | Corey Kispert | F | 6' 6" | 27 |
| 31 | Jock Landale | C | 6' 11" | 31 |
| 3 | CJ McCollum | G | 6' 3" | 35 |
| 14 | Asa Newell | F | 6' 11" | 21 |
| 17 | Onyeka Okongwu | F | 6' 10" | 25 |
| 13 | Henri Veesaar | C | 7' 0" | 22 |
| 2 | Aaron Wiggins | G | 6' 5" | 27 |
| 22 | Jalen Wilson | F | 6' 6" | 25 |
Wizards starters
- F Anthony Davis
- F AJ Dybantsa
- F Kyshawn George
- C Alex Sarr
- G Trae Young
Each starting five shown comes from that team's Nov 4 game; confirmed lineups are posted about 30 minutes ahead of tip.
Full Wizards roster (18)
| No. | Player | Pos | Height | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Deandre Ayton | C | 7' 0" | 28 |
| 26 | Reece Beekman | G | 6' 3" | 25 |
| 7 | Bub Carrington | G | 6' 4" | 21 |
| 9 | Justin Champagnie | F | 6' 6" | 25 |
| 0 | Bilal Coulibaly | G | 6' 7" | 22 |
| 23 | Anthony Davis | F | 6' 10" | 33 |
| 4 | AJ Dybantsa | F | 6' 9" | 19 |
| 18 | Kyshawn George | F | 6' 8" | 22 |
| 16 | Anthony Gill | F | 6' 7" | 34 |
| 12 | Tre Johnson | G | 6' 5" | 20 |
| 1 | Tre Mann | G | 6' 4" | 25 |
| 22 | Khris Middleton | F | 6' 7" | 35 |
| 34 | Felix Okpara | F | 6' 10" | 22 |
| 27 | Will Riley | G | 6' 9" | 20 |
| 20 | Alex Sarr | C | 7' 0" | 21 |
| 00 | Tristan Vukcevic | F | 7' 0" | 23 |
| 5 | Jamir Watkins | G | 6' 6" | 25 |
| 3 | Trae Young | G | 6' 2" | 28 |
The season series plus the last five games
Meetings between the teams this season
- Nov 4 Hawks at Wizards, 120-105 (Hawks won)
- Nov 6 Wizards at Hawks, prediction
2025-26 meetings
- Regular season
- Hawks 3, Wizards 1
- Points per game
- Hawks 122.2, Wizards 110.5
| Date | Game | Matchup | Score | Winner and margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | Regular season | Wizards at Hawks | 96-126 | Hawks by 30 |
| Feb 24, 2026 | Regular season | Wizards at Hawks | 98-119 | Hawks by 21 |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Regular season | Hawks at Wizards | 131-116 | Hawks by 15 |
| Nov 25, 2025 | Regular season | Hawks at Wizards | 113-132 | Wizards by 19 |
Hawks last five
| Date | Opponent | Result | Closing spread | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | @ Wizards | W 120-105 | −1.5 | W |
| Nov 2 | @ Pacers | W 108-104 | −10.5 | L |
| Oct 31 | @ Pelicans | L 99-121 | −5.5 | L |
| Oct 29 | vs Cavaliers | W 114-111 | −1.5 | W |
| Oct 28 | vs Heat | L 117-129 | −2.5 | L |
Wizards last five
| Date | Opponent | Result | Closing spread | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs Hawks | L 105-120 | +1.5 | L |
| Nov 2 | @ Magic | W 103-94 | +2.5 | W |
| Oct 30 | vs Hornets | W 95-79 | +1.5 | W |
| Oct 28 | @ Cavaliers | L 111-121 | +9.5 | L |
| Oct 26 | @ Hornets | L 103-110 | +2.5 | L |
Officials
Gediminas Petraitis, Andy Nagy, Brandon Adair