Heat vs. Clippers prediction and picks, November 4, 2026
Miami Heat (2-5) at Los Angeles Clippers (1-6), , Intuit Dome in Inglewood on ClipperVision.
On the board since November 4, 2026 · numbers refreshed Nov 5, 3:33 AM ET
Our picks for Heat-Clippers
- SpreadClippers +5.5 −111Model 68.6% vs 52.6% to break evenWide edge +16.0Posted
- TotalOver 233.5 −114Model 50.9% vs 53.3% to break evenNo edge −2.4Posted
- MoneylineClippers to win +171Model 53.7% vs 36.9% to break evenWide edge +16.8Posted
| Market | Open | Now | Model fair | Model minus market |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clippers spread | +4.5 | +5.5 | −1.3 | −6.8 |
| Total points | 233.5 | 233.5 | 233.9 | +0.4 |
| Moneyline | MIA −205 / LAC +171 | MIA +116 / LAC −116 | ||
A look ahead at Heat vs. Clippers
- With a 2-5 record and a 2-3 mark over their last 5, the Heat score 118.1 and allow 123.9 a game.
- The Clippers sit at 1-6 and have gone 0-5 in their last 5, putting up 108.1 and giving up 115.4 per game.
- Possessions per game: Heat 105.9 (3rd in the league), Clippers 103.4 (13th). Our 233.9 total is 0.4 points higher than the 233.5 listed on the board.
- The Clippers put up 108.1 points a game with a field-goal rate of 45.0%, while the Heat allow 123.9.
- Yanic Konan Niederhauser, Brandon Ingram, Bradley Beal and Jordan Miller are the 4 Clippers listed as out.
- The model gives the Clippers 1.3-point favorite status along with a 53.7% chance to win.
Injury status
Heat injuries
- Day-To-Day Myron Gardner F · quadriceps · expected return Nov 4
- Day-To-Day Giannis Antetokounmpo F · wrist · expected return Nov 4
Clippers injuries
- Out Yanic Konan Niederhauser C · foot · expected return Nov 8
- Out Brandon Ingram F · achilles · expected return Nov 8
- Out Bradley Beal G · knee · expected return Nov 8
- Out Jordan Miller G · shoulder · expected return Mar 2, 2027
Official league injury report: 12:45 PM ET, Nov 4 PDF.
This season's team stats
| Per game | MIA | LAC |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 118.1 9th | 108.1 24th |
| Rebounds | 42.3 22nd | 40.7 26th |
| Assists | 28.7 4th | 25.0 23rd |
| Field goal | 47.8% 5th | 45.0% 22nd |
| 3-point | 34.8% 14th | 38.4% 5th |
| Free throw | 73.0% 28th | 81.3% 7th |
| Turnovers | 15.6 14th | 20.1 30th |
| Possessions | 105.9 3rd | 103.4 13th |
Small type shows the league rank (7 and 7 games played). The better side is shown in bold.
Where the teams stand
| MIA | LAC | |
|---|---|---|
| Conference rank | 10th East | 13th West |
| Record | 2-5 | 1-6 |
| Games back | 4.5 | 5.5 |
| Home / road | 1-3 / 1-2 | 1-2 / 0-4 |
| Last 10, streak | 2-5, L1 | 1-6, L6 |
| Point differential | −5.7 | −7.3 |
| Projected wins | 36.8 | 34.0 |
| Playoff chance | 51.0% | 18.2% |
These projections come from 10,000 simulations of the remaining season; the full table is on NBA futures.
This season's leaders
Heat leaders
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giannis Antetokounmpo | F | 7 | 31.9 | 28.4 | 12.3 | 5.7 | 58.6 | 23.5 | 61.9 |
| Bam Adebayo | C | 7 | 31.4 | 16.3 | 8.0 | 3.4 | 49.4 | 17.4 | 76.5 |
| Davion Mitchell | G | 7 | 33.4 | 16.0 | 1.4 | 8.0 | 51.8 | 45.7 | 71.4 |
| Klay Thompson | G | 7 | 21.7 | 11.9 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 43.9 | 41.1 | 100.0 |
| Pelle Larsson | G | 7 | 29.7 | 11.4 | 3.4 | 3.7 | 46.8 | 38.9 | 90.6 |
Clippers leaders
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darius Garland | G | 7 | 33.0 | 20.1 | 1.7 | 6.6 | 43.5 | 32.7 | 83.3 |
| Rui Hachimura | F | 5 | 30.0 | 13.4 | 6.0 | 0.6 | 36.9 | 38.7 | 58.3 |
| Brook Lopez | C | 7 | 22.0 | 12.6 | 4.7 | 1.0 | 53.1 | 42.9 | 78.6 |
| Keaton Wagler | G | 7 | 25.0 | 12.1 | 4.4 | 3.6 | 29.0 | 30.3 | 84.8 |
| Derrick Jones Jr. | F | 6 | 28.8 | 11.5 | 4.8 | 1.5 | 53.1 | 52.0 | 66.7 |
Expected starters and rosters
Heat starters
- F Giannis Antetokounmpo
- F Andrew Wiggins
- C Bam Adebayo
- G Klay Thompson
- G Davion Mitchell
Full Heat roster (17)
| No. | Player | Pos | Height | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Bam Adebayo | C | 6' 9" | 29 |
| 7 | Giannis Antetokounmpo | F | 6' 11" | 31 |
| 4 | Ryan Conwell | G | 6' 3" | 22 |
| 24 | Tre Donaldson | G | 6' 2" | 22 |
| 0 | Simone Fontecchio | F | 6' 7" | 30 |
| 15 | Myron Gardner | F | 6' 5" | 25 |
| 50 | Vladislav Goldin | C | 7' 0" | 25 |
| 10 | Tim Hardaway Jr. | G | 6' 5" | 34 |
| 16 | Keshad Johnson | F | 6' 6" | 25 |
| 5 | Nikola Jovic | F | 6' 10" | 23 |
| 9 | Pelle Larsson | G | 6' 5" | 25 |
| 2 | Davion Mitchell | G | 6' 0" | 28 |
| 95 | Bobby Portis | F | 6' 9" | 31 |
| 8 | Nick Richards | C | 6' 11" | 28 |
| 12 | Dru Smith | G | 6' 2" | 28 |
| 11 | Klay Thompson | G | 6' 5" | 36 |
| 22 | Andrew Wiggins | F | 6' 7" | 31 |
Clippers starters
- C Brook Lopez
- G Kris Dunn
- G Darius Garland
- G Kobe Sanders
- G Gradey Dick
Each team's starting five comes from its Nov 2 game, and confirmed lineups post about 30 minutes before the tipoff.
Full Clippers roster (19)
| No. | Player | Pos | Height | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Bradley Beal | G | 6' 4" | 33 |
| 24 | Cam Christie | G | 6' 5" | 21 |
| 9 | Gradey Dick | G | 6' 7" | 22 |
| 8 | Kris Dunn | G | 6' 3" | 32 |
| 10 | Darius Garland | G | 6' 1" | 26 |
| 28 | Rui Hachimura | F | 6' 8" | 28 |
| 7 | Brandon Ingram | F | 6' 8" | 29 |
| 23 | Isaiah Jackson | F | 6' 8" | 24 |
| 5 | Derrick Jones Jr. | F | 6' 6" | 29 |
| 11 | Brook Lopez | C | 7' 1" | 38 |
| 12 | Nick Martinelli | F | 6' 7" | 22 |
| 18 | Baba Miller | F | 6' 11" | 22 |
| 22 | Jordan Miller | G | 6' 5" | 26 |
| 14 | Yanic Konan Niederhauser | C | 6' 11" | 23 |
| 21 | Jalen Pickett | G | 6' 2" | 27 |
| 4 | Kobe Sanders | G | 6' 8" | 24 |
| 31 | Max Strus | G | 6' 5" | 30 |
| 1 | Keaton Wagler | G | 6' 5" | 19 |
| 20 | Blake Wesley | G | 6' 4" | 23 |
Season series plus the last five games
Matchups this season
- Nov 4 Heat at Clippers, prediction
2025-26 meetings
- Regular season
- Heat 2, Clippers 0
- Points per game
- Heat 130.0, Clippers 121.0
| Date | Game | Matchup | Score | Winner and margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2025 | Regular season | Clippers at Heat | 123-140 | Heat by 17 |
| Nov 3, 2025 | Regular season | Heat at Clippers | 120-119 | Heat by 1 |
Heat last five
| Date | Opponent | Result | Closing spread | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2 | @ Lakers | L 117-138 | +1.5 | L |
| Oct 30 | vs Pacers | W 145-125 | −8.5 | W |
| Oct 28 | @ Hawks | W 129-117 | +2.5 | W |
| Oct 26 | vs Mavericks | L 109-113 | −7.5 | L |
| Oct 24 | @ Hornets | L 110-115 | −4.5 | L |
Clippers last five
| Date | Opponent | Result | Closing spread | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2 | vs Raptors | L 118-125 | +6.5 | L |
| Nov 1 | @ Warriors | L 112-124 | +1.5 | L |
| Oct 30 | @ Timberwolves | L 101-127 | +6.5 | L |
| Oct 28 | vs Lakers | L 87-103 | −1.5 | L |
| Oct 25 | @ Thunder | L 101-108 | +16.5 | W |