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Pacers vs. Grizzlies prediction and picks, November 4, 2026

Indiana Pacers (2-6) at Memphis Grizzlies (6-1), , FedExForum in Memphis on DAZN MEM, DAZN IND.

Indiana Pacers logoIndiana Pacers2-6Memphis Grizzlies logoMemphis Grizzlies6-1

On the board since November 4, 2026 · numbers refreshed Nov 5, 5:16 AM ET

Our picks for Pacers-Grizzlies

  • SpreadGrizzlies -7.5 −103Model 56.2% vs 50.7% to break evenClear edge +5.5Posted
  • TotalOver 228.5 −115Model 53.7% vs 53.5% to break evenSlim edge +0.2Posted
  • MoneylineGrizzlies to win −265Model 75.5% vs 72.6% to break evenSlim edge +2.9Posted
DraftKings market line compared with the model's fair line
MarketOpenNowModel fairModel minus market
Grizzlies spread−6.5−7.5−9.7−2.2
Total points230.5229.5230.2+0.7
MoneylineIND +218 / MEM −265IND +309 / MEM −309

Looking ahead: Pacers vs. Grizzlies

  • Over their last 5, the Pacers sit at 2-6 and 0-5, with 111.8 scored and 115.6 allowed on average.
  • Over their last 5, the Grizzlies sit at 6-1 and 4-1, with 123.0 scored and 110.1 allowed on average.
  • Each game, the Pacers average 103.2 possessions (14th in the league), and the Grizzlies 104.7 (11th). The 230.2 total we project is 1.7 points higher than the 228.5 currently shown.
  • The Grizzlies score 123.0 a game on a 47.6% field-goal rate; the Pacers give up 115.6.
  • The Pacers have 4 players unavailable: Ivica Zubac, Obi Toppin, T.J. McConnell and Johnny Furphy are also out.
  • The Grizzlies have 1 out: Scotty Pippen Jr..
  • The model has Grizzlies 9.7-point favorites, with a 75.5% chance to win.

Report on injuries

Indiana Pacers logoPacers injuries

  • Out Ivica Zubac C · ankle · expected return Nov 4
  • Day-To-Day Kelly Oubre Jr. G · knee · expected return Nov 4
  • Out Obi Toppin F · back · expected return Nov 4
  • Out T.J. McConnell G · hamstring · expected return Nov 9
  • Out Johnny Furphy G · knee · expected return Jan 2, 2027

Memphis Grizzlies logoGrizzlies injuries

  • Day-To-Day Quinten Post C · ankle · expected return Nov 4
  • Out Scotty Pippen Jr. G · back · expected return Nov 6

Official league injury report: 12:45 AM ET, Nov 5 PDF.

Team stats for the season

Per gameINDMEM
Points111.8 19th123.0 1st
Rebounds41.6 23rd49.7 2nd
Assists27.2 9th27.4 7th
Field goal46.6% 13th47.6% 6th
3-point32.9% 23rd42.1% 1st
Free throw74.1% 26th84.2% 2nd
Turnovers15.8 17th16.0 18th
Possessions103.2 14th104.7 11th

League rank sits in small type, with 8 and 7 games played. The better side is shown in bold.

Where the teams stand

INDMEM
Conference rank12th East2nd West
Record2-66-1
Games back50.5
Home / road0-4 / 2-22-1 / 4-0
Last 10, streak2-6, L56-1, L1
Point differential−3.9+12.9
Projected wins28.245.8
Playoff chance14.2%68.2%

NBA standings

These numbers come from 10,000 simulations covering the rest of the season; the full table is on NBA futures.

Top players this season

Indiana Pacers logoPacers leaders

PlayerPosGPMINPTSREBASTFG%3P%FT%
Tyrese HaliburtonG433.021.84.59.551.637.086.7
Pascal SiakamF732.321.47.44.050.028.665.0
Andrew NembhardG632.718.52.27.345.041.788.9
Obi ToppinoutF523.015.25.21.253.840.764.3
Aaron NesmithG623.012.22.21.839.330.386.4

Memphis Grizzlies logoGrizzlies leaders

PlayerPosGPMINPTSREBASTFG%3P%FT%
Ty JeromeG631.228.23.55.750.442.188.6
Cameron BoozerF732.017.410.35.637.536.494.4
Cedric CowardF628.712.88.72.549.257.766.7
Isaiah StewartC619.712.83.80.765.957.1100.0
Jaylen WellsF728.112.73.61.355.038.969.2

Expected starters and rosters

Indiana Pacers logoPacers starters

  1. F Jalen Slawson
  2. F Jarace Walker
  3. C Jay Huff
  4. G Quenton Jackson
  5. G Braden Smith
Full Pacers roster (17)
No.PlayerPosHeightAge
24Kobe BrownG6' 7"26
12Johnny FurphyG6' 8"21
0Tyrese HaliburtonG6' 5"26
32Jay HuffC7' 1"29
29Quenton JacksonG6' 4"28
9T.J. McConnellG6' 1"34
22Larry Nance Jr.F6' 6"33
2Andrew NembhardG6' 4"26
23Aaron NesmithG6' 5"27
10Kelly Oubre Jr.G6' 8"30
26Ben SheppardG6' 6"25
43Pascal SiakamF6' 8"32
18Jalen SlawsonF6' 7"27
3Braden SmithG5' 10"23
1Obi ToppinF6' 9"28
5Jarace WalkerF6' 7"23
40Ivica ZubacC7' 0"29

Memphis Grizzlies logoGrizzlies starters

  1. F Cedric Coward
  2. F Cameron Boozer
  3. F Jaylen Wells
  4. C Zach Edey
  5. G Ty Jerome

Each team's Nov 2 game provides the starting five; confirmed lineups show up about 30 minutes before tip.

Full Grizzlies roster (18)
No.PlayerPosHeightAge
27Cameron BoozerF6' 8"19
20Carson CooperC6' 11"22
23Cedric CowardF6' 5"23
14Zach EdeyC7' 3"24
3Jerami GrantF6' 7"32
22Taylor HendricksF6' 9"22
45GG JacksonF6' 9"21
2Ty JeromeG6' 5"29
35Karim LopezF6' 8"19
21Jahmai MashackG6' 3"23
17Kris MurrayF6' 8"26
1Scotty Pippen Jr.G6' 2"25
41Quinten PostC7' 0"26
18Olivier-Maxence ProsperF6' 7"24
10Javon SmallG6' 1"23
24Cam SpencerG6' 3"26
28Isaiah StewartC6' 8"25
0Jaylen WellsF6' 7"23

The season series and the five most recent games

Head-to-head games this season

2025-26 meetings

Regular season
Pacers 0, Grizzlies 2
Points per game
Pacers 104.5, Grizzlies 126.5
DateGameMatchupScoreWinner and margin
Mar 1, 2026Regular seasonGrizzlies at Pacers125-106Grizzlies by 19
Oct 25, 2025Regular seasonPacers at Grizzlies103-128Grizzlies by 25

Indiana Pacers logoPacers last five

DateOpponentResultClosing spreadATS
Nov 2vs HawksL 104-108+10.5W
Nov 1vs NetsL 90-98−3.5L
Oct 30@ HeatL 125-145+8.5L
Oct 28vs 76ersL 109-114+7.5W
Oct 26@ BucksL 102-110−3.5L

Memphis Grizzlies logoGrizzlies last five

DateOpponentResultClosing spreadATS
Nov 2vs PelicansL 134-135−5.5L
Oct 31vs KingsW 136-105−7.5W
Oct 29@ Trail BlazersW 124-103+7.5W
Oct 26@ JazzW 110-105−1.5W
Oct 25@ KingsW 123-112−3.5W