Nuggets vs. Grizzlies prediction and picks, November 11, 2026
Denver Nuggets (6-4) at Memphis Grizzlies (7-4), , FedExForum in Memphis.
Nuggets 123Final118 Grizzlies
On the board since November 8, 2026 · numbers refreshed Nov 13, 3:17 PM ET
Our Nuggets-Grizzlies picks
- SpreadGrizzlies +4.5 −114Model 63.5% vs 53.3% to break evenWide edge +10.2Posted · Lost−1.00u · CLV +1.0
- TotalOver 227.5 −111Model 55.7% vs 52.6% to break evenClear edge +3.1Posted · Won+0.90u · CLV +3.0
- MoneylineGrizzlies to win +133Model 50.9% vs 42.9% to break evenWide edge +8.0Posted · Lost−1.00u
| Market | Open | Now | Model fair | Model minus market |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grizzlies spread | +4.5 | +3.5 | −0.3 | −3.8 |
| Total points | 228.5 | 230.5 | 230.1 | −0.4 |
Final score by quarter
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nuggets | 35 | 30 | 29 | 29 | 123 |
| Grizzlies | 24 | 28 | 38 | 28 | 118 |
Injury report
Nuggets injuries
- Out Julian Strawther G · knee · expected return Nov 29
Grizzlies injuries
- Out Scotty Pippen Jr. G · back · expected return Nov 21
- Out Quinten Post C · head · expected return Nov 13
- Out Richie Saunders G · knee · expected return Dec 1
Official league injury report: 12:45 AM ET, Nov 13 PDF.
Team stats this season
| Per game | DEN | MEM |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 114.5 13th | 117.9 7th |
| Rebounds | 41.8 23rd | 47.6 4th |
| Assists | 27.6 6th | 26.5 15th |
| Field goal | 48.3% 2nd | 46.4% 14th |
| 3-point | 35.4% 14th | 38.9% 2nd |
| Free throw | 79.5% 12th | 85.3% 1st |
| Turnovers | 13.3 3rd | 16.4 20th |
| Possessions | 99.9 26th | 103.2 9th |
League rank in small type (10 and 11 games played). Bold marks the better side.
Standings snapshot
| DEN | MEM | |
|---|---|---|
| Conference rank | 9th West | 8th West |
| Record | 6-4 | 7-4 |
| Games back | 3.5 | 3 |
| Home / road | 2-2 / 4-2 | 2-4 / 5-0 |
| Last 10, streak | 6-4, W1 | 6-4, L1 |
| Point differential | +1.2 | +6.0 |
| Projected wins | 45.0 | 40.9 |
| Playoff chance | 59.3% | 36.2% |
Projections from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season; full table on NBA futures.
Season leaders
Nuggets leaders
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Murray | G | 10 | 36.3 | 26.2 | 5.0 | 5.9 | 50.9 | 51.3 | 84.2 |
| Nikola Jokic | C | 10 | 36.3 | 23.5 | 10.8 | 9.0 | 50.0 | 23.3 | 87.2 |
| Christian Braun | G | 10 | 34.3 | 12.4 | 4.1 | 2.4 | 48.5 | 34.0 | 75.0 |
| Cameron Johnson | F | 7 | 28.4 | 12.1 | 3.9 | 1.9 | 50.0 | 43.2 | 62.5 |
| Aaron Gordon | F | 10 | 29.0 | 11.0 | 5.0 | 2.1 | 38.0 | 25.6 | 80.6 |
Grizzlies leaders
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty Jerome | G | 10 | 30.8 | 26.2 | 3.5 | 4.9 | 50.0 | 36.6 | 89.7 |
| Cameron Boozer | F | 11 | 32.2 | 15.9 | 9.8 | 5.5 | 36.6 | 29.0 | 91.5 |
| Cedric Coward | F | 10 | 28.3 | 12.8 | 8.7 | 2.7 | 44.8 | 45.1 | 78.6 |
| Jaylen Wells | F | 11 | 27.3 | 12.0 | 2.9 | 1.3 | 50.5 | 41.4 | 80.0 |
| Isaiah Stewart | C | 8 | 18.2 | 10.8 | 3.1 | 0.8 | 64.7 | 56.2 | 100.0 |
Projected starters and rosters
Nuggets starters
- F Aaron Gordon
- F Cameron Johnson
- C Nikola Jokic
- G Jamal Murray
- G Christian Braun
Full Nuggets roster (17)
| No. | Player | Pos | Height | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Marvin Bagley III | F | 6' 10" | 27 |
| 0 | Christian Braun | G | 6' 6" | 25 |
| 7 | Trevon Brazile | F | 6' 10" | 23 |
| 10 | DeMar DeRozan | G | 6' 6" | 37 |
| 11 | Alpha Diallo | F | 6' 7" | 29 |
| 32 | Aaron Gordon | F | 6' 8" | 31 |
| 14 | DaRon Holmes II | F | 6' 9" | 24 |
| 13 | Bryce Hopkins | F | 6' 7" | 24 |
| 23 | Cameron Johnson | F | 6' 8" | 30 |
| 15 | Nikola Jokic | C | 6' 11" | 31 |
| 21 | Spencer Jones | F | 6' 7" | 25 |
| 5 | Tyus Jones | G | 6' 0" | 30 |
| 27 | Jamal Murray | G | 6' 4" | 29 |
| 9 | Ryan Nembhard | G | 5' 11" | 23 |
| 22 | Zeke Nnaji | F | 6' 10" | 25 |
| 1 | Julian Strawther | G | 6' 6" | 24 |
| 00 | Cam Whitmore | F | 6' 6" | 22 |
Grizzlies starters
- F Cedric Coward
- F Cameron Boozer
- F Jaylen Wells
- C Zach Edey
- G Ty Jerome
Both starting fives are from each team's Nov 11 game; confirmed lineups post about 30 minutes before tip.
Full Grizzlies roster (18)
| No. | Player | Pos | Height | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Cameron Boozer | F | 6' 8" | 19 |
| 23 | Cedric Coward | F | 6' 5" | 23 |
| 14 | Zach Edey | C | 7' 3" | 24 |
| 3 | Jerami Grant | F | 6' 7" | 32 |
| 22 | Taylor Hendricks | F | 6' 9" | 22 |
| 45 | GG Jackson | F | 6' 9" | 21 |
| 2 | Ty Jerome | G | 6' 5" | 29 |
| 35 | Karim Lopez | F | 6' 8" | 19 |
| 21 | Jahmai Mashack | G | 6' 3" | 24 |
| 17 | Kris Murray | F | 6' 8" | 26 |
| 1 | Scotty Pippen Jr. | G | 6' 2" | 26 |
| 41 | Quinten Post | C | 7' 0" | 26 |
| 18 | Olivier-Maxence Prosper | F | 6' 7" | 24 |
| 5 | Richie Saunders | G | 6' 5" | 25 |
| 10 | Javon Small | G | 6' 1" | 23 |
| 24 | Cam Spencer | G | 6' 3" | 26 |
| 28 | Isaiah Stewart | C | 6' 8" | 25 |
| 0 | Jaylen Wells | F | 6' 7" | 23 |
Season series and last five games
Meetings this season
- Nov 11 Nuggets at Grizzlies, 123-118 (Nuggets won)
2025-26 meetings
- Regular season
- Nuggets 3, Grizzlies 1
- Points per game
- Nuggets 125.2, Grizzlies 118.8
| Date | Game | Matchup | Score | Winner and margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2026 | Regular season | Grizzlies at Nuggets | 119-136 | Nuggets by 17 |
| Mar 18, 2026 | Regular season | Nuggets at Grizzlies | 118-125 | Grizzlies by 7 |
| Feb 11, 2026 | Regular season | Grizzlies at Nuggets | 116-122 | Nuggets by 6 |
| Nov 24, 2025 | Regular season | Nuggets at Grizzlies | 125-115 | Nuggets by 10 |
Nuggets last five
| Date | Opponent | Result | Closing spread | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11 | @ Grizzlies | W 123-118 | −3.5 | W |
| Nov 9 | @ Rockets | L 100-110 | +4.5 | L |
| Nov 7 | @ Pacers | W 114-102 | −8.5 | W |
| Nov 4 | vs Raptors | W 128-109 | −4.5 | W |
| Nov 2 | vs Trail Blazers | L 110-118 | −4.5 | L |
Grizzlies last five
| Date | Opponent | Result | Closing spread | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11 | vs Nuggets | L 118-123 | +3.5 | L |
| Nov 9 | @ Raptors | W 118-102 | −1.5 | W |
| Nov 6 | vs Thunder | L 97-128 | +4.5 | L |
| Nov 4 | vs Pacers | L 103-107 | −5.5 | L |
| Nov 2 | vs Pelicans | L 134-135 | −5.5 | L |
Officials
James Williams, Tre Maddox, Pat O'Connell