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Warriors vs. Rockets prediction and picks, November 11, 2026

Golden State Warriors (8-4) at Houston Rockets (9-3), , Toyota Center (Houston) in Houston on ESPN.

Golden State Warriors logoGolden State Warriors8-4Houston Rockets logoHouston Rockets9-3
Golden State Warriors logoWarriors 108Final115 RocketsHouston Rockets logo

On the board since November 8, 2026 · numbers refreshed Nov 13, 3:17 PM ET

Our Warriors-Rockets picks

  • SpreadWarriors +5.5 −110Model 53.9% vs 52.4% to break evenSlim edge +1.5Posted · Lost−1.00u · CLV −1.0
  • TotalOver 222.5 −105Model 51.7% vs 51.2% to break evenSlim edge +0.5Posted · Won+0.95u · CLV −3.0
  • MoneylineWarriors to win +180Model 38.4% vs 35.7% to break evenSlim edge +2.6Posted · Lost−1.00u
Market line at DraftKings against the model's fair line
MarketOpenNowModel fairModel minus market
Rockets spread−5.5−6.5−4.1+2.4
Total points222.5219.5223.3+3.8

Final score by quarter

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4T
Golden State Warriors logoWarriors20283129108
Houston Rockets logoRockets35212930115

Injury report

Golden State Warriors logoWarriors injuries

  • Day-To-Day Stephen Curry G · abdomen · expected return Nov 13
  • Out Gary Payton II G · knee · expected return Nov 13
  • Out Brandon Williams G · hamstring · expected return Nov 22
  • Out Kristaps Porzingis C · illness · expected return Jan 2, 2027
  • Out Moses Moody G · knee · expected return Dec 1

Houston Rockets logoRockets injuries

  • Out Clint Capela C · ankle · expected return Nov 15
  • Out Steven Adams C · calf · expected return Nov 15

Official league injury report: 12:45 AM ET, Nov 13 PDF.

Team stats this season

Per gameGSHOU
Points119.3 3rd115.4 12th
Rebounds44.6 11th44.2 14th
Assists28.4 3rd26.9 10th
Field goal47.1% 6th47.9% 4th
3-point39.6% 1st37.4% 7th
Free throw81.3% 6th81.4% 5th
Turnovers16.2 17th15.0 13th
Possessions101.5 23rd99.5 28th

League rank in small type (12 and 12 games played). Bold marks the better side.

Standings snapshot

GSHOU
Conference rank6th West4th West
Record8-49-3
Games back2.51.5
Home / road6-1 / 2-36-1 / 3-2
Last 10, streak8-2, L17-3, W2
Point differential+7.8+8.9
Projected wins50.855.9
Playoff chance85.6%96.3%

NBA standings

Projections from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season; full table on NBA futures.

Season leaders

Golden State Warriors logoWarriors leaders

PlayerPosGPMINPTSREBASTFG%3P%FT%
Stephen Curry G 10 26.5 27.8 3.7 3.9 50.0 45.7 98.7
Yaxel Lendeborg F 12 32.1 21.7 7.4 3.7 51.8 42.6 74.3
Brandin Podziemski G 10 33.5 17.3 5.1 4.2 48.1 39.7 69.0
Brandon Williamsout G 10 16.2 10.4 2.1 2.3 41.2 30.4 86.1
De'Anthony Melton G 12 22.4 10.1 4.2 2.3 41.1 42.9 83.3

Houston Rockets logoRockets leaders

PlayerPosGPMINPTSREBASTFG%3P%FT%
Alperen Sengun C 10 35.0 21.1 9.5 7.9 51.9 47.6 72.2
Kevin Durant F 12 34.3 20.9 6.1 3.6 49.4 34.8 85.9
Jabari Smith Jr. F 12 35.2 16.8 6.6 2.2 49.0 42.1 87.1
Amen Thompson G 12 33.0 15.2 6.7 3.1 51.8 20.0 76.5
Fred VanVleet G 10 30.1 13.7 3.1 5.6 43.0 38.7 84.2

Projected starters and rosters

Golden State Warriors logoWarriors starters

  1. F Draymond Green
  2. F Yaxel Lendeborg
  3. C Al Horford
  4. G Stephen Curry
  5. G Brandin Podziemski
Full Warriors roster (18)
No.PlayerPosHeightAge
28Charles BasseyC6' 10"26
10Jimmy Butler IIIF6' 6"37
18LJ CryerG6' 0"25
30Stephen CurryG6' 2"38
23Draymond GreenF6' 6"36
20Al HorfordC6' 8"40
45Graham IkeF6' 9"24
1Yaxel LendeborgF6' 9"24
33Malevy LeonsF6' 9"27
8De'Anthony MeltonG6' 2"28
4Moses MoodyG6' 5"24
32Georges NiangF6' 6"33
0Gary Payton IIG6' 2"33
2Brandin PodziemskiG6' 4"23
7Kristaps PorzingisC7' 2"31
3Will RichardG6' 3"23
15Gui SantosF6' 7"24
12Brandon WilliamsG6' 1"26

Houston Rockets logoRockets starters

  1. F Kevin Durant
  2. F Jabari Smith Jr.
  3. C Alperen Sengun
  4. G Fred VanVleet
  5. G Amen Thompson

Both starting fives are from each team's Nov 11 game; confirmed lineups post about 30 minutes before tip.

Full Rockets roster (17)
No.PlayerPosHeightAge
12Steven AdamsC6' 11"33
31Bogdan BogdanovicG6' 5"34
30Clint CapelaC6' 10"32
25Quadir CopelandG6' 6"23
27Isaiah CrawfordF6' 6"25
7Kevin DurantF6' 11"38
17Tari EasonF6' 8"25
3Julian PhillipsF6' 6"23
28Alperen SengunC6' 11"24
15Reed SheppardG6' 2"22
36Marcus SmartG6' 3"32
10Jabari Smith Jr.F6' 11"23
8Jae'Sean TateF6' 4"31
1Amen ThompsonG6' 7"23
2Bruce ThorntonG6' 0"23
9Oscar TshiebweC6' 8"26
5Fred VanVleetG6' 0"32

Season series and last five games

Meetings this season

  • Nov 11 Warriors at Rockets, 108-115 (Rockets won)

2025-26 meetings

Regular season
Warriors 1, Rockets 2
Points per game
Warriors 110.3, Rockets 111.3
DateGameMatchupScoreWinner and margin
Apr 5, 2026Regular seasonRockets at Warriors117-116Rockets by 1
Mar 5, 2026Regular seasonWarriors at Rockets115-113OTWarriors by 2
Nov 26, 2025Regular seasonRockets at Warriors104-100Rockets by 4

Golden State Warriors logoWarriors last five

DateOpponentResultClosing spreadATS
Nov 11@ RocketsL 108-115+6.5L
Nov 9vs PelicansW 138-87−10.5W
Nov 7vs MagicW 126-119−7.5L
Nov 5vs HeatW 120-100−3.5W
Nov 2vs SunsW 116-113−2.5W

Houston Rockets logoRockets last five

DateOpponentResultClosing spreadATS
Nov 11vs WarriorsW 115-108−6.5W
Nov 9vs NuggetsW 110-100−4.5W
Nov 7@ SunsL 99-102−6.5L
Nov 4vs TimberwolvesL 107-117−7.5L
Nov 2vs CelticsW 109-93−4.5W

Officials

Mitchell Ervin, Eric Lewis, Brandon Adair