Thunder vs. Trail Blazers prediction and picks, November 11, 2026
Oklahoma City Thunder (8-4) at Portland Trail Blazers (8-3), , Moda Center in Portland on KUNP-TV, KSBI-TV, BlazerVision.
On the board since November 8, 2026 · numbers refreshed Nov 13, 3:17 PM ET
Our Thunder-Trail Blazers picks
- SpreadTrail Blazers +1.5 −112Model 52.6% vs 52.8% to break evenNo edge −0.2Posted · Won+0.89u · CLV +4.0
- TotalUnder 226.5 −115Model 59.5% vs 53.5% to break evenWide edge +6.0Posted · Won+0.87u · CLV +2.0
- MoneylineThunder to win −116Model 51.6% vs 53.7% to break evenNo edge −2.1Posted · Lost−1.00u
| Market | Open | Now | Model fair | Model minus market |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trail Blazers spread | +2.5 | −2.5 | +0.6 | +3.1 |
| Total points | 224.5 | 224.5 | 222.1 | −2.4 |
Final score by quarter
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | 18 | 35 | 23 | 108 | |
| 28 | 28 | 32 | 30 | 118 |
Injury report
Thunder injuries
- Out Jaylin Williams F · back · expected return Nov 15
- Out Ajay Mitchell G · ankle · expected return Nov 13
- Out Thomas Sorber C · knee · expected return Nov 13
- Out Cason Wallace G · shoulder · expected return Mar 2, 2027
- Out Chet Holmgren C · knee · expected return Jan 2, 2027
Trail Blazers injuries
- Out Chris Youngblood G · foot · expected return Nov 13
- Out Vit Krejci G · ankle · expected return Jan 12, 2027
- Out Ja Morant G · hamstring · expected return Dec 1
- Out Shaedon Sharpe G · knee · expected return Mar 2, 2027
Official league injury report: 12:45 AM ET, Nov 13 PDF.
Team stats this season
| Per game | OKC | POR |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 111.1 22nd | 119.5 2nd |
| Rebounds | 46.8 5th | 44.5 12th |
| Assists | 22.5 29th | 25.7 21st |
| Field goal | 45.3% 22nd | 46.9% 8th |
| 3-point | 34.6% 18th | 36.2% 12th |
| Free throw | 82.6% 3rd | 77.4% 18th |
| Turnovers | 13.3 4th | 16.3 18th |
| Possessions | 101.9 19th | 103.1 10th |
League rank in small type (12 and 11 games played). Bold marks the better side.
Standings snapshot
| OKC | POR | |
|---|---|---|
| Conference rank | 7th West | 5th West |
| Record | 8-4 | 8-3 |
| Games back | 2.5 | 2 |
| Home / road | 5-0 / 3-4 | 3-2 / 5-1 |
| Last 10, streak | 6-4, L2 | 7-3, W2 |
| Point differential | +4.2 | +7.3 |
| Projected wins | 53.4 | 50.6 |
| Playoff chance | 92.2% | 84.6% |
Projections from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season; full table on NBA futures.
Season leaders
Thunder leaders
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | G | 12 | 32.8 | 29.7 | 4.2 | 4.5 | 45.3 | 33.8 | 87.1 |
| Ajay Mitchellout | G | 11 | 27.3 | 18.5 | 3.6 | 3.3 | 52.3 | 26.5 | 84.2 |
| Jalen Williams | G | 3 | 31.7 | 13.7 | 4.7 | 3.3 | 38.5 | 33.3 | 80.0 |
| Jared McCain | G | 12 | 26.2 | 12.7 | 3.6 | 1.9 | 40.4 | 31.1 | 79.2 |
| Chet Holmgrenout | C | 3 | 30.0 | 12.0 | 9.3 | 1.3 | 40.7 | 33.3 | 100.0 |
Trail Blazers leaders
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deni Avdija | F | 11 | 32.5 | 23.0 | 6.1 | 6.5 | 47.4 | 33.9 | 69.4 |
| Damian Lillard | G | 11 | 29.2 | 19.8 | 3.2 | 4.2 | 42.7 | 33.3 | 86.8 |
| Ja Morantout | G | 4 | 26.0 | 15.8 | 2.5 | 5.5 | 54.2 | 42.9 | 83.3 |
| Jrue Holiday | G | 11 | 26.2 | 13.4 | 3.3 | 3.9 | 50.0 | 44.4 | 88.5 |
| Toumani Camara | F | 11 | 28.5 | 13.1 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 50.0 | 43.2 | 75.0 |
Projected starters and rosters
Thunder starters
- C Isaiah Hartenstein
- C Aday Mara
- G Alex Caruso
- G Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
- G Jared McCain
Full Thunder roster (18)
| No. | Player | Pos | Height | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Brooks Barnhizer | F | 6' 6" | 24 |
| 9 | Alex Caruso | G | 6' 5" | 32 |
| unlisted | Nique Clifford | G | 6' 5" | 24 |
| 21 | Josh Dix | G | 6' 5" | 22 |
| 2 | Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | G | 6' 6" | 28 |
| 55 | Isaiah Hartenstein | C | 7' 0" | 28 |
| 7 | Chet Holmgren | C | 7' 1" | 24 |
| 15 | Aday Mara | C | 7' 3" | 21 |
| 3 | Jared McCain | G | 6' 3" | 22 |
| 25 | Ajay Mitchell | G | 6' 4" | 24 |
| unlisted | Micah Peavy | G | 6' 7" | 25 |
| 12 | Thomas Sorber | C | 6' 9" | 20 |
| 14 | Bennett Stirtz | G | 6' 4" | 23 |
| 44 | Nikola Topic | G | 6' 6" | 21 |
| 22 | Cason Wallace | G | 6' 3" | 23 |
| 8 | Jalen Williams | G | 6' 5" | 25 |
| 6 | Jaylin Williams | F | 6' 9" | 24 |
| 34 | Kenrich Williams | G | 6' 7" | 31 |
Trail Blazers starters
- F Toumani Camara
- F Deni Avdija
- C Donovan Clingan
- G Damian Lillard
- G Sidy Cissoko
Both starting fives are from each team's Nov 11 game; confirmed lineups post about 30 minutes before tip.
Full Trail Blazers roster (17)
| No. | Player | Pos | Height | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Deni Avdija | F | 6' 8" | 25 |
| 33 | Toumani Camara | F | 6' 7" | 26 |
| 10 | Branden Carlson | C | 7' 0" | 27 |
| 91 | Sidy Cissoko | G | 6' 6" | 22 |
| 23 | Donovan Clingan | C | 7' 2" | 22 |
| 16 | Yang Hansen | C | 7' 1" | 21 |
| 00 | Scoot Henderson | G | 6' 3" | 22 |
| 5 | Jrue Holiday | G | 6' 4" | 36 |
| 29 | Jayson Kent | G | 6' 8" | 24 |
| 27 | Vit Krejci | G | 6' 8" | 26 |
| 0 | Damian Lillard | G | 6' 2" | 36 |
| 1 | Ja Morant | G | 6' 2" | 27 |
| 9 | Micah Potter | C | 6' 9" | 28 |
| 17 | Shaedon Sharpe | G | 6' 5" | 23 |
| 2 | John Tonje | F | 6' 5" | 25 |
| 35 | Robert Williams III | C | 6' 9" | 29 |
| 11 | Chris Youngblood | G | 6' 4" | 24 |
Season series and last five games
Meetings this season
- Nov 10 Thunder at Trail Blazers, 103-123 (Trail Blazers won)
- Nov 11 Thunder at Trail Blazers, 108-118 (Trail Blazers won)
2025-26 meetings
- Regular season
- Thunder 3, Trail Blazers 1
- Points per game
- Thunder 122.0, Trail Blazers 106.5
| Date | Game | Matchup | Score | Winner and margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2025 | Regular season | Trail Blazers at Thunder | 95-124 | Thunder by 29 |
| Nov 30, 2025 | Regular season | Thunder at Trail Blazers | 123-115 | Thunder by 8 |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Regular season | Trail Blazers at Thunder | 95-122 | Thunder by 27 |
| Nov 5, 2025 | Regular season | Thunder at Trail Blazers | 119-121 | Trail Blazers by 2 |
Thunder last five
| Date | Opponent | Result | Closing spread | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11 | @ Trail Blazers | L 108-118 | +2.5 | L |
| Nov 10 | @ Trail Blazers | L 103-123 | −1.5 | L |
| Nov 7 | vs Wizards | W 114-75 | −12.5 | W |
| Nov 6 | @ Grizzlies | W 128-97 | −4.5 | W |
| Nov 4 | vs Cavaliers | W 124-116 | −3.5 | W |
Trail Blazers last five
| Date | Opponent | Result | Closing spread | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11 | vs Thunder | W 118-108 | −2.5 | W |
| Nov 10 | vs Thunder | W 123-103 | +1.5 | W |
| Nov 7 | vs Spurs | L 103-125 | +5.5 | L |
| Nov 6 | @ Lakers | L 118-124 | +3.5 | L |
| Nov 4 | @ Suns | W 132-119 | −2.5 | W |
Officials
Ben Taylor, Nate Green, Sha'Rae Mitchell