Wizards vs. Thunder prediction and picks, November 7, 2026
Washington Wizards (4-4) at Oklahoma City Thunder (6-2), , Paycom Center in Oklahoma City on MNMT, KSBI, Thunder App.
On the board since November 5, 2026 · numbers refreshed Nov 5, 7:29 AM ET
Our picks for Wizards-Thunder
No sportsbook line is posted for this game yet. Books release NBA lines roughly a day ahead of tip, and our picks are set at that price.
A look at Wizards vs. Thunder
- At 4-4 overall, the Wizards went 2-3 in their last 5, with 108.9 scored and 109.0 allowed on average.
- At 6-2 overall, the Thunder went 3-2 in their last 5, with 110.0 scored and 108.8 allowed on average.
- Because both teams played last night, the rest adjustment cancels out.
- At a 44.0% field-goal rate, the Thunder put up 110.0 a game, while the Wizards give up 109.0.
- Out for the Wizards: 4 players, Reece Beekman, Tristan Vukcevic, Justin Champagnie, Jamir Watkins.
- Out for the Thunder: 5 names including Jaylin Williams, Nikola Topic, Thomas Sorber, Cason Wallace and more.
- With 9.9 credited to season form and 1.7 to home court, the model favors Thunder 11.6 points. The team's win chance is 79.7%.
Report on injuries
Wizards injuries
- Out Reece Beekman G · shoulder · expected return Dec 3
- Out Tristan Vukcevic F · hip · expected return Nov 9
- Out Justin Champagnie F · foot · expected return Feb 25, 2027
- Out Jamir Watkins G · knee · expected return Apr 2, 2027
Thunder injuries
- Out Jaylin Williams F · back · expected return Nov 6
- Out Nikola Topic G · back · expected return Nov 13
- Out Thomas Sorber C · knee · expected return Nov 13
- Out Cason Wallace G · shoulder · expected return Mar 2, 2027
- Out Chet Holmgren C · knee · expected return Jan 2, 2027
Official league injury report: 12:45 AM ET, Nov 5 PDF.
Team numbers this season
| Per game | WSH | OKC |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 108.9 26th | 110.0 23rd |
| Rebounds | 41.0 26th | 46.6 8th |
| Assists | 24.8 24th | 21.6 29th |
| Field goal | 47.6% 7th | 44.0% 24th |
| 3-point | 29.4% 29th | 33.3% 21st |
| Free throw | 81.4% 7th | 85.8% 1st |
| Turnovers | 14.6 6th | 13.2 3rd |
| Possessions | 100.5 25th | 101.8 20th |
Small type shows league rank (8 and 8 games played). The bolded side is the better one.
A look at the standings
| WSH | OKC | |
|---|---|---|
| Conference rank | 8th East | 6th West |
| Record | 4-4 | 6-2 |
| Games back | 3.5 | 0.5 |
| Home / road | 2-2 / 2-2 | 4-0 / 2-2 |
| Last 10, streak | 4-4, L1 | 6-2, W2 |
| Point differential | −0.1 | +1.2 |
| Projected wins | 30.8 | 50.9 |
| Playoff chance | 20.9% | 86.4% |
The rest of the season was simulated 10,000 times to produce these projections; the whole table is on NBA futures.
Who leads the season
Wizards leaders
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Davis | F | 8 | 33.1 | 23.4 | 9.2 | 2.1 | 50.0 | 35.0 | 82.9 |
| Trae Young | G | 8 | 35.9 | 19.6 | 3.4 | 9.5 | 40.6 | 27.8 | 84.8 |
| Kyshawn George | F | 8 | 32.8 | 17.2 | 4.2 | 4.8 | 51.5 | 34.1 | 77.3 |
| AJ Dybantsa | F | 4 | 30.5 | 16.5 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 46.2 | 25.0 | 78.9 |
| Alex Sarr | C | 7 | 25.1 | 9.6 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 52.1 | 22.2 | 76.5 |
Thunder leaders
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | G | 8 | 33.8 | 30.1 | 4.2 | 4.5 | 44.7 | 35.6 | 84.7 |
| Ajay Mitchell | G | 8 | 27.5 | 17.8 | 4.0 | 3.5 | 50.5 | 20.8 | 89.3 |
| Jalen Williams | G | 3 | 31.7 | 13.7 | 4.7 | 3.3 | 38.5 | 33.3 | 80.0 |
| Chet Holmgrenout | C | 3 | 30.0 | 12.0 | 9.3 | 1.3 | 40.7 | 33.3 | 100.0 |
| Jared McCain | G | 8 | 25.0 | 10.1 | 3.0 | 1.9 | 33.7 | 26.7 | 84.6 |
Expected starters and rosters
Wizards starters
- F Anthony Davis
- F AJ Dybantsa
- F Kyshawn George
- C Alex Sarr
- G Trae Young
Full Wizards roster (18)
| No. | Player | Pos | Height | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Deandre Ayton | C | 7' 0" | 28 |
| 26 | Reece Beekman | G | 6' 3" | 25 |
| 7 | Bub Carrington | G | 6' 4" | 21 |
| 9 | Justin Champagnie | F | 6' 6" | 25 |
| 0 | Bilal Coulibaly | G | 6' 7" | 22 |
| 23 | Anthony Davis | F | 6' 10" | 33 |
| 4 | AJ Dybantsa | F | 6' 9" | 19 |
| 18 | Kyshawn George | F | 6' 8" | 22 |
| 16 | Anthony Gill | F | 6' 7" | 34 |
| 12 | Tre Johnson | G | 6' 5" | 20 |
| 1 | Tre Mann | G | 6' 4" | 25 |
| 22 | Khris Middleton | F | 6' 7" | 35 |
| 34 | Felix Okpara | F | 6' 10" | 22 |
| 27 | Will Riley | G | 6' 9" | 20 |
| 20 | Alex Sarr | C | 7' 0" | 21 |
| 00 | Tristan Vukcevic | F | 7' 0" | 23 |
| 5 | Jamir Watkins | G | 6' 6" | 25 |
| 3 | Trae Young | G | 6' 2" | 28 |
Thunder starters
- C Isaiah Hartenstein
- C Aday Mara
- G Kenrich Williams
- G Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
- G Ajay Mitchell
Both starting fives come from each team's Nov 4 game, while confirmed lineups arrive about 30 minutes before tip.
Full Thunder roster (18)
| No. | Player | Pos | Height | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Brooks Barnhizer | F | 6' 6" | 24 |
| 9 | Alex Caruso | G | 6' 5" | 32 |
| 21 | Josh Dix | G | 6' 5" | 22 |
| 2 | Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | G | 6' 6" | 28 |
| 55 | Isaiah Hartenstein | C | 7' 0" | 28 |
| 7 | Chet Holmgren | C | 7' 1" | 24 |
| 15 | Aday Mara | C | 7' 3" | 21 |
| 3 | Jared McCain | G | 6' 3" | 22 |
| 25 | Ajay Mitchell | G | 6' 4" | 24 |
| unlisted | Micah Peavy | G | 6' 7" | 25 |
| 12 | Thomas Sorber | C | 6' 9" | 20 |
| 14 | Bennett Stirtz | G | 6' 4" | 23 |
| unlisted | Dalen Terry | G | 6' 6" | 24 |
| 44 | Nikola Topic | G | 6' 6" | 21 |
| 22 | Cason Wallace | G | 6' 3" | 22 |
| 8 | Jalen Williams | G | 6' 5" | 25 |
| 6 | Jaylin Williams | F | 6' 9" | 24 |
| 34 | Kenrich Williams | G | 6' 7" | 31 |
Season meetings and the last five games
Matchups so far this season
- Nov 7 Wizards at Thunder, prediction
2025-26 meetings
- Regular season
- Wizards 0, Thunder 2
- Points per game
- Wizards 109.5, Thunder 129.5
| Date | Game | Matchup | Score | Winner and margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Regular season | Thunder at Wizards | 132-111 | Thunder by 21 |
| Oct 30, 2025 | Regular season | Wizards at Thunder | 108-127 | Thunder by 19 |
Wizards last five
| Date | Opponent | Result | Closing spread | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs Hawks | L 105-120 | +1.5 | L |
| Nov 2 | @ Magic | W 103-94 | +2.5 | W |
| Oct 30 | vs Hornets | W 95-79 | +1.5 | W |
| Oct 28 | @ Cavaliers | L 111-121 | +9.5 | L |
| Oct 26 | @ Hornets | L 103-110 | +2.5 | L |
Thunder last five
| Date | Opponent | Result | Closing spread | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs Cavaliers | W 124-116 | −3.5 | W |
| Nov 2 | @ Cavaliers | W 117-112 | +4.5 | W |
| Oct 31 | @ Rockets | L 98-119 | +2.5 | L |
| Oct 28 | @ Mavericks | L 96-120 | −4.5 | L |
| Oct 26 | vs Suns | W 125-114 | −8.5 | W |