Wizards vs. Thunder prediction and picks, November 7, 2026
Washington Wizards (4-3) at Oklahoma City Thunder (5-2), , Paycom Center in Oklahoma City on MNMT, KSBI, Thunder App.
On the board since November 4, 2026 · numbers refreshed Nov 5, 3:33 AM ET
Our picks for Wizards-Thunder
| Market | Open | Now | Model fair | Model minus market |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thunder spread | −10.5 | −10.5 | ||
| Total points | 217.9 | +217.9 | ||
| Moneyline | WSH / OKC | WSH +343 / OKC −343 | ||
Looking ahead: Wizards vs. Thunder
- The Wizards' record is 4-3 overall and 3-2 in their last 5 games. They average 109.4 points and allow 107.4 per game.
- The Thunder's record is 5-2 overall and 3-2 in their last 5 games. They average 108.0 points and allow 107.7 per game.
- Since both teams played last night, there's no rest adjustment left.
- The Thunder average 108.0 points a game and shoot 43.8% from the field. The Wizards give up 107.4.
- The Wizards have 3 players out: Reece Beekman, Tristan Vukcevic, Justin Champagnie.
- Out for the Thunder are 4 players, Nikola Topic, Thomas Sorber, Cason Wallace, Chet Holmgren.
- The model rates Thunder 10.5-point favorites, with 8.8 coming from season form and 1.7 from home court. Their win chance is 77.4%.
Injuries
Wizards injuries
- Day-To-Day Anthony Gill F · back · expected return Nov 4
- Day-To-Day Alex Sarr C · knee · expected return Nov 4
- Out Reece Beekman G · shoulder · expected return Dec 3
- Out Tristan Vukcevic F · hip · expected return Nov 9
- Out Justin Champagnie F · foot · expected return Feb 25, 2027
Thunder injuries
- Out Nikola Topic G · back · expected return Nov 13
- Out Thomas Sorber C · knee · expected return Nov 13
- Day-To-Day Jaylin Williams F · back · expected return Nov 4
- Out Cason Wallace G · shoulder · expected return Mar 2, 2027
- Out Chet Holmgren C · knee · expected return Jan 2, 2027
Official league injury report: 12:45 PM ET, Nov 4 PDF.
Team numbers this season
| Per game | WSH | OKC |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 109.4 23rd | 108.0 25th |
| Rebounds | 41.0 25th | 46.6 9th |
| Assists | 24.7 25th | 21.1 30th |
| Field goal | 47.6% 7th | 43.8% 24th |
| 3-point | 30.2% 28th | 32.0% 26th |
| Free throw | 82.5% 3rd | 87.9% 1st |
| Turnovers | 15.0 7th | 13.7 3rd |
| Possessions | 100.6 24th | 101.1 22nd |
Small type shows the league rank (7 and 7 games played). The better side appears in bold.
Current standings
| WSH | OKC | |
|---|---|---|
| Conference rank | 6th East | 6th West |
| Record | 4-3 | 5-2 |
| Games back | 2.5 | 1.5 |
| Home / road | 2-1 / 2-2 | 3-0 / 2-2 |
| Last 10, streak | 4-3, W2 | 5-2, W1 |
| Point differential | +2.0 | +0.3 |
| Projected wins | 32.9 | 50.1 |
| Playoff chance | 30.4% | 84.2% |
Projections come from 10,000 simulations covering the remainder of the season. The full table appears on NBA futures.
Leaders this season
Wizards leaders
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Davis | F | 7 | 33.6 | 23.0 | 9.1 | 2.0 | 48.0 | 36.8 | 82.1 |
| Trae Young | G | 7 | 36.1 | 19.9 | 3.6 | 10.0 | 39.4 | 27.1 | 83.9 |
| AJ Dybantsa | F | 3 | 30.0 | 19.0 | 4.7 | 1.7 | 50.0 | 27.3 | 93.3 |
| Kyshawn George | F | 7 | 32.4 | 16.1 | 4.3 | 4.4 | 48.3 | 32.4 | 78.9 |
| Alex Sarr | C | 6 | 25.5 | 9.3 | 5.5 | 2.2 | 52.4 | 25.0 | 72.7 |
Thunder leaders
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | G | 7 | 33.6 | 28.4 | 4.3 | 4.0 | 45.1 | 33.3 | 87.5 |
| Ajay Mitchell | G | 7 | 26.9 | 17.0 | 3.6 | 3.4 | 50.0 | 19.0 | 95.5 |
| Jalen Williams | G | 3 | 31.7 | 13.7 | 4.7 | 3.3 | 38.5 | 33.3 | 80.0 |
| Chet Holmgrenout | C | 3 | 30.0 | 12.0 | 9.3 | 1.3 | 40.7 | 33.3 | 100.0 |
| Jared McCain | G | 7 | 25.0 | 10.3 | 3.3 | 2.1 | 34.7 | 28.2 | 81.8 |
Expected starters and rosters
Wizards starters
- F Anthony Davis
- F AJ Dybantsa
- F Kyshawn George
- C Deandre Ayton
- G Trae Young
Full Wizards roster (18)
| No. | Player | Pos | Height | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Deandre Ayton | C | 7' 0" | 28 |
| 26 | Reece Beekman | G | 6' 3" | 25 |
| 7 | Bub Carrington | G | 6' 4" | 21 |
| 9 | Justin Champagnie | F | 6' 6" | 25 |
| 0 | Bilal Coulibaly | G | 6' 7" | 22 |
| 23 | Anthony Davis | F | 6' 10" | 33 |
| 4 | AJ Dybantsa | F | 6' 9" | 19 |
| 18 | Kyshawn George | F | 6' 8" | 22 |
| 16 | Anthony Gill | F | 6' 7" | 34 |
| 12 | Tre Johnson | G | 6' 5" | 20 |
| 1 | Tre Mann | G | 6' 4" | 25 |
| 22 | Khris Middleton | F | 6' 7" | 35 |
| 34 | Felix Okpara | F | 6' 10" | 22 |
| 27 | Will Riley | G | 6' 9" | 20 |
| 20 | Alex Sarr | C | 7' 0" | 21 |
| 00 | Tristan Vukcevic | F | 7' 0" | 23 |
| 5 | Jamir Watkins | G | 6' 6" | 25 |
| 3 | Trae Young | G | 6' 2" | 28 |
Thunder starters
- F Jaylin Williams
- C Isaiah Hartenstein
- G Kenrich Williams
- G Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
- G Ajay Mitchell
Each team's starting five comes from its Nov 2 game. Confirmed lineups go up about 30 minutes ahead of tip.
Full Thunder roster (18)
| No. | Player | Pos | Height | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Brooks Barnhizer | F | 6' 6" | 24 |
| 9 | Alex Caruso | G | 6' 5" | 32 |
| 21 | Josh Dix | G | 6' 5" | 22 |
| 2 | Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | G | 6' 6" | 28 |
| 55 | Isaiah Hartenstein | C | 7' 0" | 28 |
| 7 | Chet Holmgren | C | 7' 1" | 24 |
| 15 | Aday Mara | C | 7' 3" | 21 |
| 3 | Jared McCain | G | 6' 3" | 22 |
| 25 | Ajay Mitchell | G | 6' 4" | 24 |
| Micah Peavy | G | 6' 7" | 25 | |
| 12 | Thomas Sorber | C | 6' 9" | 20 |
| 14 | Bennett Stirtz | G | 6' 4" | 23 |
| Dalen Terry | G | 6' 6" | 24 | |
| 44 | Nikola Topic | G | 6' 6" | 21 |
| 22 | Cason Wallace | G | 6' 3" | 22 |
| 8 | Jalen Williams | G | 6' 5" | 25 |
| 6 | Jaylin Williams | F | 6' 9" | 24 |
| 34 | Kenrich Williams | G | 6' 7" | 31 |
Season series plus the last five games
Head-to-head meetings this season
- Nov 7 Wizards at Thunder, prediction
2025-26 meetings
- Regular season
- Wizards 0, Thunder 2
- Points per game
- Wizards 109.5, Thunder 129.5
| Date | Game | Matchup | Score | Winner and margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Regular season | Thunder at Wizards | 132-111 | Thunder by 21 |
| Oct 30, 2025 | Regular season | Wizards at Thunder | 108-127 | Thunder by 19 |
Wizards last five
| Date | Opponent | Result | Closing spread | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2 | @ Magic | W 103-94 | +2.5 | W |
| Oct 30 | vs Hornets | W 95-79 | +1.5 | W |
| Oct 28 | @ Cavaliers | L 111-121 | +9.5 | L |
| Oct 26 | @ Hornets | L 103-110 | +2.5 | L |
| Oct 24 | @ Bulls | W 124-120 | +1.5 | W |
Thunder last five
| Date | Opponent | Result | Closing spread | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2 | @ Cavaliers | W 117-112 | +4.5 | W |
| Oct 31 | @ Rockets | L 98-119 | +2.5 | L |
| Oct 28 | @ Mavericks | L 96-120 | −4.5 | L |
| Oct 26 | vs Suns | W 125-114 | −8.5 | W |
| Oct 25 | vs Clippers | W 108-101 | −16.5 | L |