Nuggets vs. Pacers prediction and picks, November 7, 2026
Denver Nuggets (3-3) at Indiana Pacers (2-6), , Arena CDMX in Mexico City on NBA TV, DAZN IND.
On the board since November 4, 2026 · numbers refreshed Nov 5, 3:33 AM ET
Our picks for Nuggets-Pacers
| Market | Open | Now | Model fair | Model minus market |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pacers spread | +6.4 | +6.4 | ||
| Total points | 230.2 | +230.2 | ||
| Moneyline | DEN / IND | DEN −209 / IND +209 | ||
Game outlook: Nuggets vs. Pacers
- With a 3-3 record and a 3-2 mark over their last 5, the Nuggets score 113.3 and allow 115.7 a game.
- With a 2-6 record and a 0-5 mark over their last 5, the Pacers score 111.8 and allow 115.6 a game.
- The Pacers average 111.8 points a game on a 46.6% field-goal rate, while the Nuggets allow 115.7.
- The Nuggets have 2 out: Spencer Jones, Julian Strawther.
- The Pacers report 4 players out: Ivica Zubac, Obi Toppin, T.J. T.J. McConnell and Johnny Furphy are also out for the Pacers.
- With 6.4 points from season form and 0.0 from home court, the model makes the Nuggets 6.4-point favorites and puts their win chance at 67.7%.
Injuries
Nuggets injuries
- Day-To-Day Cameron Johnson F · ankle · expected return Nov 4
- Day-To-Day Alpha Diallo F · wrist · expected return Nov 4
- Out Spencer Jones F · hamstring · expected return Nov 11
- Out Julian Strawther G · knee · expected return Nov 29
Pacers injuries
- Out Ivica Zubac C · ankle · expected return Nov 4
- Day-To-Day Kelly Oubre Jr. G · knee · expected return Nov 4
- Out Obi Toppin F · back · expected return Nov 4
- Out T.J. McConnell G · hamstring · expected return Nov 9
- Out Johnny Furphy G · knee · expected return Jan 2, 2027
Official league injury report: 12:45 PM ET, Nov 4 PDF.
This season's team stats
| Per game | DEN | IND |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 113.3 14th | 111.8 19th |
| Rebounds | 42.5 19th | 41.6 23rd |
| Assists | 26.3 16th | 27.2 9th |
| Field goal | 47.0% 9th | 46.6% 13th |
| 3-point | 37.0% 8th | 32.9% 23rd |
| Free throw | 80.2% 9th | 74.1% 26th |
| Turnovers | 15.8 16th | 15.8 17th |
| Possessions | 100.2 26th | 103.2 14th |
League rank shows in small type, with 6 and 8 games played. The better side appears in bold.
Standings at a glance
| DEN | IND | |
|---|---|---|
| Conference rank | 10th West | 12th East |
| Record | 3-3 | 2-6 |
| Games back | 3 | 5 |
| Home / road | 1-2 / 2-1 | 0-4 / 2-2 |
| Last 10, streak | 3-3, L1 | 2-6, L5 |
| Point differential | −2.3 | −3.9 |
| Projected wins | 41.2 | 28.2 |
| Playoff chance | 48.4% | 14.2% |
The rest of the season was run through 10,000 simulations for these projections, with the full table on NBA futures.
Top players this season
Nuggets leaders
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Murray | G | 6 | 38.3 | 27.3 | 5.5 | 5.7 | 48.6 | 51.9 | 81.4 |
| Nikola Jokic | C | 6 | 36.8 | 22.0 | 9.7 | 9.0 | 47.2 | 22.6 | 88.5 |
| Christian Braun | G | 6 | 36.2 | 15.2 | 4.0 | 2.2 | 53.0 | 40.6 | 80.0 |
| Aaron Gordon | F | 6 | 30.2 | 11.5 | 6.0 | 2.8 | 35.8 | 34.6 | 84.6 |
| DeMar DeRozan | G | 6 | 25.2 | 10.7 | 2.0 | 2.7 | 40.4 | 22.2 | 83.3 |
Pacers leaders
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyrese Haliburton | G | 4 | 33.0 | 21.8 | 4.5 | 9.5 | 51.6 | 37.0 | 86.7 |
| Pascal Siakam | F | 7 | 32.3 | 21.4 | 7.4 | 4.0 | 50.0 | 28.6 | 65.0 |
| Andrew Nembhard | G | 6 | 32.7 | 18.5 | 2.2 | 7.3 | 45.0 | 41.7 | 88.9 |
| Obi Toppinout | F | 5 | 23.0 | 15.2 | 5.2 | 1.2 | 53.8 | 40.7 | 64.3 |
| Aaron Nesmith | G | 6 | 23.0 | 12.2 | 2.2 | 1.8 | 39.3 | 30.3 | 86.4 |
Expected starters and rosters
Nuggets starters
- F Aaron Gordon
- F Cameron Johnson
- C Nikola Jokic
- G Jamal Murray
- G Christian Braun
Full Nuggets roster (17)
| No. | Player | Pos | Height | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Marvin Bagley III | F | 6' 10" | 27 |
| 0 | Christian Braun | G | 6' 6" | 25 |
| 7 | Trevon Brazile | F | 6' 10" | 23 |
| 10 | DeMar DeRozan | G | 6' 6" | 37 |
| 11 | Alpha Diallo | F | 6' 7" | 29 |
| 32 | Aaron Gordon | F | 6' 8" | 31 |
| 14 | DaRon Holmes II | F | 6' 9" | 24 |
| 13 | Bryce Hopkins | F | 6' 7" | 24 |
| 23 | Cameron Johnson | F | 6' 8" | 30 |
| 15 | Nikola Jokic | C | 6' 11" | 31 |
| 21 | Spencer Jones | F | 6' 7" | 25 |
| 5 | Tyus Jones | G | 6' 0" | 30 |
| 27 | Jamal Murray | G | 6' 4" | 29 |
| 9 | Ryan Nembhard | G | 5' 11" | 23 |
| 22 | Zeke Nnaji | F | 6' 10" | 25 |
| 1 | Julian Strawther | G | 6' 6" | 24 |
| 00 | Cam Whitmore | F | 6' 6" | 22 |
Pacers starters
- F Jalen Slawson
- F Jarace Walker
- C Jay Huff
- G Quenton Jackson
- G Braden Smith
Starting fives for both teams come from that team's Nov 2 game; confirmed lineups show up about 30 minutes before tip.
Full Pacers roster (17)
| No. | Player | Pos | Height | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Kobe Brown | G | 6' 7" | 26 |
| 12 | Johnny Furphy | G | 6' 8" | 21 |
| 0 | Tyrese Haliburton | G | 6' 5" | 26 |
| 32 | Jay Huff | C | 7' 1" | 29 |
| 29 | Quenton Jackson | G | 6' 4" | 28 |
| 9 | T.J. McConnell | G | 6' 1" | 34 |
| 22 | Larry Nance Jr. | F | 6' 6" | 33 |
| 2 | Andrew Nembhard | G | 6' 4" | 26 |
| 23 | Aaron Nesmith | G | 6' 5" | 27 |
| 10 | Kelly Oubre Jr. | G | 6' 8" | 30 |
| 26 | Ben Sheppard | G | 6' 6" | 25 |
| 43 | Pascal Siakam | F | 6' 8" | 32 |
| 18 | Jalen Slawson | F | 6' 7" | 27 |
| 3 | Braden Smith | G | 5' 10" | 23 |
| 1 | Obi Toppin | F | 6' 9" | 28 |
| 5 | Jarace Walker | F | 6' 7" | 23 |
| 40 | Ivica Zubac | C | 7' 0" | 29 |
Season series plus the last five games
Head-to-head meetings this season
- Nov 7 Nuggets at Pacers, prediction
2025-26 meetings
- Regular season
- Nuggets 2, Pacers 0
- Points per game
- Nuggets 126.0, Pacers 110.0
| Date | Game | Matchup | Score | Winner and margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2025 | Regular season | Nuggets at Pacers | 135-120 | Nuggets by 15 |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Regular season | Pacers at Nuggets | 100-117 | Nuggets by 17 |
Nuggets last five
| Date | Opponent | Result | Closing spread | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2 | vs Trail Blazers | L 110-118 | −4.5 | L |
| Oct 30 | @ Suns | W 127-120 | −4.5 | W |
| Oct 28 | @ Pelicans | W 104-91 | −4.5 | W |
| Oct 26 | vs Warriors | L 114-134 | −6.5 | L |
| Oct 24 | vs Pelicans | W 141-135 | −11.5 | L |
Pacers last five
| Date | Opponent | Result | Closing spread | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2 | vs Hawks | L 104-108 | +10.5 | W |
| Nov 1 | vs Nets | L 90-98 | −3.5 | L |
| Oct 30 | @ Heat | L 125-145 | +8.5 | L |
| Oct 28 | vs 76ers | L 109-114 | +7.5 | W |
| Oct 26 | @ Bucks | L 102-110 | −3.5 | L |