Nuggets vs. Pacers prediction and picks, November 7, 2026
Denver Nuggets (4-3) at Indiana Pacers (3-6), , Arena CDMX in Mexico City on NBA TV, DAZN.
On the board since November 5, 2026 · numbers refreshed Nov 5, 8:06 AM ET
Our Nuggets-Pacers selections
There isn't a sportsbook line for this game yet. Books release NBA lines about a day before tip. We make our picks at that price.
Previewing Nuggets vs. Pacers
- The Nuggets are 4-3 overall and 3-2 in their last 5, scoring 115.4 a game and giving up 114.7.
- The Pacers are 3-6 overall and 1-4 in their last 5, scoring 111.2 a game and allowing 114.2.
- The Pacers average 111.2 points a game with a 46.5% field-goal rate. The Nuggets give up 114.7.
- The Nuggets have 3 players out: DeMar DeRozan, Spencer Jones, Julian Strawther.
- Out for the Pacers: 5 players, including Kelly Oubre Jr. and T.J. Other names include McConnell, Johnny Furphy, Ben Sheppard and others.
- With season form at 6.7 and home court at 0.0, the model gives Nuggets 6.7-point favorite status and a 68.5% chance to win.
Injury status
Nuggets injuries
- Out DeMar DeRozan G · back · expected return Nov 7
- Out Spencer Jones F · hamstring · expected return Nov 11
- Out Julian Strawther G · knee · expected return Nov 29
Pacers injuries
- Out Kelly Oubre Jr. G · calf · expected return Nov 7
- Out T.J. McConnell G · hamstring · expected return Nov 9
- Out Johnny Furphy G · knee · expected return Jan 2, 2027
- Out Ben Sheppard G · knee · expected return Jan 2, 2027
- Out Tyrese Haliburton G · hamstring · expected return Nov 13
Official league injury report: 12:45 AM ET, Nov 5 PDF.
This season's team numbers
| Per game | DEN | IND |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 115.4 13th | 111.2 18th |
| Rebounds | 41.6 24th | 41.8 23rd |
| Assists | 27.6 6th | 26.8 12th |
| Field goal | 49.0% 2nd | 46.5% 12th |
| 3-point | 37.2% 9th | 32.8% 22nd |
| Free throw | 80.9% 8th | 75.1% 23rd |
| Turnovers | 15.7 14th | 15.8 16th |
| Possessions | 99.9 29th | 103.2 15th |
(7 and 9 games played) League rank appears in small type. The better side is shown in bold.
League standings at a glance
| DEN | IND | |
|---|---|---|
| Conference rank | 9th West | 10th East |
| Record | 4-3 | 3-6 |
| Games back | 2 | 5 |
| Home / road | 2-2 / 2-1 | 0-4 / 3-2 |
| Last 10, streak | 4-3, W1 | 3-6, W1 |
| Point differential | +0.7 | −3.0 |
| Projected wins | 44.2 | 30.6 |
| Playoff chance | 61.2% | 20.9% |
Projections come from 10,000 simulations of the remaining season. The full table is on NBA futures.
Who leads the season
Nuggets leaders
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Murray | G | 7 | 36.9 | 25.4 | 5.4 | 5.9 | 47.4 | 50.9 | 83.0 |
| Nikola Jokic | C | 7 | 35.9 | 23.4 | 9.7 | 9.3 | 50.4 | 21.9 | 87.9 |
| Christian Braun | G | 7 | 35.0 | 14.6 | 3.9 | 2.3 | 54.9 | 42.4 | 83.3 |
| Aaron Gordon | F | 7 | 29.4 | 12.3 | 5.3 | 2.4 | 41.9 | 35.7 | 85.7 |
| DeMar DeRozanout | G | 6 | 25.2 | 10.7 | 2.0 | 2.7 | 40.4 | 22.2 | 83.3 |
Pacers leaders
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyrese Haliburtonout | G | 4 | 33.0 | 21.8 | 4.5 | 9.5 | 51.6 | 37.0 | 86.7 |
| Pascal Siakam | F | 8 | 32.0 | 21.2 | 7.0 | 3.8 | 51.2 | 30.3 | 66.7 |
| Andrew Nembhard | G | 7 | 33.4 | 19.0 | 2.1 | 7.0 | 46.3 | 39.5 | 90.3 |
| Obi Toppin | F | 6 | 22.3 | 14.5 | 5.2 | 1.2 | 53.4 | 41.4 | 72.2 |
| Aaron Nesmith | G | 7 | 24.0 | 12.7 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 40.3 | 30.8 | 82.6 |
Rosters and projected starters
Nuggets starters
- F Aaron Gordon
- F Cameron Johnson
- C Nikola Jokic
- G Jamal Murray
- G Christian Braun
Full Nuggets roster (17)
| No. | Player | Pos | Height | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Marvin Bagley III | F | 6' 10" | 27 |
| 0 | Christian Braun | G | 6' 6" | 25 |
| 7 | Trevon Brazile | F | 6' 10" | 23 |
| 10 | DeMar DeRozan | G | 6' 6" | 37 |
| 11 | Alpha Diallo | F | 6' 7" | 29 |
| 32 | Aaron Gordon | F | 6' 8" | 31 |
| 14 | DaRon Holmes II | F | 6' 9" | 24 |
| 13 | Bryce Hopkins | F | 6' 7" | 24 |
| 23 | Cameron Johnson | F | 6' 8" | 30 |
| 15 | Nikola Jokic | C | 6' 11" | 31 |
| 21 | Spencer Jones | F | 6' 7" | 25 |
| 5 | Tyus Jones | G | 6' 0" | 30 |
| 27 | Jamal Murray | G | 6' 4" | 29 |
| 9 | Ryan Nembhard | G | 5' 11" | 23 |
| 22 | Zeke Nnaji | F | 6' 10" | 25 |
| 1 | Julian Strawther | G | 6' 6" | 24 |
| 00 | Cam Whitmore | F | 6' 6" | 22 |
Pacers starters
- F Pascal Siakam
- C Ivica Zubac
- G Andrew Nembhard
- G Aaron Nesmith
- G Braden Smith
Starting fives come from both teams' Nov 4 games. Confirmed lineups arrive about 30 minutes ahead of tip.
Full Pacers roster (17)
| No. | Player | Pos | Height | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Kobe Brown | G | 6' 7" | 26 |
| 12 | Johnny Furphy | G | 6' 8" | 21 |
| 0 | Tyrese Haliburton | G | 6' 5" | 26 |
| 32 | Jay Huff | C | 7' 1" | 29 |
| 29 | Quenton Jackson | G | 6' 4" | 28 |
| 9 | T.J. McConnell | G | 6' 1" | 34 |
| 22 | Larry Nance Jr. | F | 6' 6" | 33 |
| 2 | Andrew Nembhard | G | 6' 4" | 26 |
| 23 | Aaron Nesmith | G | 6' 5" | 27 |
| 10 | Kelly Oubre Jr. | G | 6' 8" | 30 |
| 26 | Ben Sheppard | G | 6' 6" | 25 |
| 43 | Pascal Siakam | F | 6' 8" | 32 |
| 18 | Jalen Slawson | F | 6' 7" | 27 |
| 3 | Braden Smith | G | 5' 10" | 23 |
| 1 | Obi Toppin | F | 6' 9" | 28 |
| 5 | Jarace Walker | F | 6' 7" | 23 |
| 40 | Ivica Zubac | C | 7' 0" | 29 |
Season meetings plus the five latest games
Head-to-head games this season
- Nov 7 Nuggets at Pacers, prediction
2025-26 meetings
- Regular season
- Nuggets 2, Pacers 0
- Points per game
- Nuggets 126.0, Pacers 110.0
| Date | Game | Matchup | Score | Winner and margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2025 | Regular season | Nuggets at Pacers | 135-120 | Nuggets by 15 |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Regular season | Pacers at Nuggets | 100-117 | Nuggets by 17 |
Nuggets last five
| Date | Opponent | Result | Closing spread | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs Raptors | W 128-109 | −4.5 | W |
| Nov 2 | vs Trail Blazers | L 110-118 | −4.5 | L |
| Oct 30 | @ Suns | W 127-120 | −4.5 | W |
| Oct 28 | @ Pelicans | W 104-91 | −4.5 | W |
| Oct 26 | vs Warriors | L 114-134 | −6.5 | L |
Pacers last five
| Date | Opponent | Result | Closing spread | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | @ Grizzlies | W 107-103 | +5.5 | W |
| Nov 2 | vs Hawks | L 104-108 | +10.5 | W |
| Nov 1 | vs Nets | L 90-98 | −3.5 | L |
| Oct 30 | @ Heat | L 125-145 | +8.5 | L |
| Oct 28 | vs 76ers | L 109-114 | +7.5 | W |