Thunder vs. Trail Blazers prediction and picks, November 10, 2026
Oklahoma City Thunder (8-2) at Portland Trail Blazers (6-2), , Moda Center in Portland on NBC, KSBI-TV, Thunder App.
On the board since November 7, 2026 · numbers refreshed Nov 7, 11:18 PM ET
Our Thunder-Trail Blazers picks
Pre-tip pick, graded after the final
No sportsbook line on this game yet. Books post NBA lines about a day before tip, and our picks are made at that price.
Thunder vs. Trail Blazers preview
- Thunder are 8-2 and 4-1 over their last 5, scoring 112.2 and allowing 104.2 a game.
- Trail Blazers are 6-2 and 3-2 over their last 5, scoring 121.4 and allowing 112.4 a game.
- Trail Blazers score 121.4 a game at a 48.0% field-goal rate; Thunder give up 104.2.
- Thunder list 5 out: Jaylin Williams, Thomas Sorber, Cason Wallace, Chet Holmgren and more.
- Trail Blazers list 4 out: Ja Morant, Robert Williams III, Vit Krejci, Shaedon Sharpe.
- The model makes Thunder 2.0-point favorites (3.7 from season form, 1.7 for home court) and gives them a 55.7% chance to win.
Injury report
Thunder injuries
- Out Jaylin Williams F · back · expected return Nov 10
- Out Thomas Sorber C · knee · expected return Nov 13
- Out Cason Wallace G · shoulder · expected return Mar 2, 2027
- Out Chet Holmgren C · knee · expected return Jan 2, 2027
- Out Jalen Williams G · leg · expected return Mar 2, 2027
Trail Blazers injuries
- Out Ja Morant G · hamstring · expected return Dec 1
- Out Robert Williams III C · rest · expected return Nov 10
- Out Vit Krejci G · ankle · expected return Jan 2, 2027
- Out Shaedon Sharpe G · knee · expected return Mar 2, 2027
Official league injury report: 12:45 AM ET, Nov 7 PDF.
Team stats this season
| Per game | OKC | POR |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 112.2 16th | 121.4 2nd |
| Rebounds | 47.3 7th | 46.1 8th |
| Assists | 23.1 29th | 27.4 8th |
| Field goal | 45.7% 18th | 48.0% 5th |
| 3-point | 34.9% 15th | 36.6% 9th |
| Free throw | 83.3% 2nd | 73.7% 28th |
| Turnovers | 13.2 2nd | 16.8 21st |
| Possessions | 102.3 18th | 103.3 15th |
League rank in small type (10 and 8 games played). Bold marks the better side.
Standings snapshot
| OKC | POR | |
|---|---|---|
| Conference rank | 1st West | 5th West |
| Record | 8-2 | 6-2 |
| Games back | 0 | 1 |
| Home / road | 5-0 / 3-2 | 1-1 / 5-1 |
| Last 10, streak | 8-2, W4 | 6-2, L1 |
| Point differential | +8.0 | +9.0 |
| Projected wins | 57.0 | 48.9 |
| Playoff chance | 97.6% | 79.0% |
Projections from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season; full table on NBA futures.
Season leaders
Thunder leaders
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | G | 10 | 32.9 | 29.9 | 3.9 | 4.9 | 46.1 | 39.1 | 85.3 |
| Ajay Mitchell | G | 10 | 27.2 | 18.9 | 3.7 | 3.3 | 51.7 | 27.3 | 83.3 |
| Jalen Williamsout | G | 3 | 31.7 | 13.7 | 4.7 | 3.3 | 38.5 | 33.3 | 80.0 |
| Jared McCain | G | 10 | 25.2 | 12.1 | 3.4 | 1.7 | 41.8 | 29.8 | 85.7 |
| Chet Holmgrenout | C | 3 | 30.0 | 12.0 | 9.3 | 1.3 | 40.7 | 33.3 | 100.0 |
Trail Blazers leaders
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deni Avdija | F | 8 | 33.1 | 23.2 | 6.8 | 7.0 | 48.0 | 31.0 | 66.2 |
| Damian Lillard | G | 8 | 30.6 | 20.4 | 3.6 | 4.1 | 41.6 | 32.9 | 85.2 |
| Ja Morantout | G | 4 | 26.0 | 15.8 | 2.5 | 5.5 | 54.2 | 42.9 | 83.3 |
| Toumani Camara | F | 8 | 28.0 | 14.2 | 3.2 | 1.2 | 54.1 | 47.5 | 60.0 |
| Jrue Holiday | G | 8 | 26.6 | 13.2 | 4.0 | 4.5 | 52.9 | 43.5 | 82.4 |
Projected starters and rosters
Thunder starters
- C Isaiah Hartenstein
- C Aday Mara
- G Kenrich Williams
- G Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
- G Ajay Mitchell
Starting five from the Nov 7 game; confirmed lineups post about 30 minutes before tip.
Full Thunder roster (18)
| No. | Player | Pos | Height | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Brooks Barnhizer | F | 6' 6" | 24 |
| 9 | Alex Caruso | G | 6' 5" | 32 |
| 21 | Josh Dix | G | 6' 5" | 22 |
| 2 | Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | G | 6' 6" | 28 |
| 55 | Isaiah Hartenstein | C | 7' 0" | 28 |
| 7 | Chet Holmgren | C | 7' 1" | 24 |
| 15 | Aday Mara | C | 7' 3" | 21 |
| 3 | Jared McCain | G | 6' 3" | 22 |
| 25 | Ajay Mitchell | G | 6' 4" | 24 |
| unlisted | Micah Peavy | G | 6' 7" | 25 |
| 12 | Thomas Sorber | C | 6' 9" | 20 |
| 14 | Bennett Stirtz | G | 6' 4" | 23 |
| unlisted | Dalen Terry | G | 6' 6" | 24 |
| 44 | Nikola Topic | G | 6' 6" | 21 |
| 22 | Cason Wallace | G | 6' 3" | 23 |
| 8 | Jalen Williams | G | 6' 5" | 25 |
| 6 | Jaylin Williams | F | 6' 9" | 24 |
| 34 | Kenrich Williams | G | 6' 7" | 31 |
Trail Blazers starters
- F Toumani Camara
- F Deni Avdija
- C Donovan Clingan
- G Damian Lillard
- G Scoot Henderson
Starting five from the Nov 6 game; confirmed lineups post about 30 minutes before tip.
Full Trail Blazers roster (17)
| No. | Player | Pos | Height | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Deni Avdija | F | 6' 8" | 25 |
| 33 | Toumani Camara | F | 6' 7" | 26 |
| 10 | Branden Carlson | C | 7' 0" | 27 |
| 91 | Sidy Cissoko | G | 6' 6" | 22 |
| 23 | Donovan Clingan | C | 7' 2" | 22 |
| 16 | Yang Hansen | C | 7' 1" | 21 |
| 00 | Scoot Henderson | G | 6' 3" | 22 |
| 5 | Jrue Holiday | G | 6' 4" | 36 |
| 29 | Jayson Kent | G | 6' 8" | 24 |
| 27 | Vit Krejci | G | 6' 8" | 26 |
| 0 | Damian Lillard | G | 6' 2" | 36 |
| 1 | Ja Morant | G | 6' 2" | 27 |
| 9 | Micah Potter | C | 6' 9" | 28 |
| 17 | Shaedon Sharpe | G | 6' 5" | 23 |
| 2 | John Tonje | F | 6' 5" | 25 |
| 35 | Robert Williams III | C | 6' 9" | 29 |
| 11 | Chris Youngblood | G | 6' 4" | 24 |
Season series and last five games
Meetings this season
- Nov 10 Thunder at Trail Blazers, prediction
2025-26 meetings
- Regular season
- Thunder 3, Trail Blazers 1
- Points per game
- Thunder 122.0, Trail Blazers 106.5
| Date | Game | Matchup | Score | Winner and margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2025 | Regular season | Trail Blazers at Thunder | 95-124 | Thunder by 29 |
| Nov 30, 2025 | Regular season | Thunder at Trail Blazers | 123-115 | Thunder by 8 |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Regular season | Trail Blazers at Thunder | 95-122 | Thunder by 27 |
| Nov 5, 2025 | Regular season | Thunder at Trail Blazers | 119-121 | Trail Blazers by 2 |
Thunder last five
| Date | Opponent | Result | Closing spread | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | vs Wizards | W 114-75 | −12.5 | W |
| Nov 6 | @ Grizzlies | W 128-97 | −4.5 | W |
| Nov 4 | vs Cavaliers | W 124-116 | −3.5 | W |
| Nov 2 | @ Cavaliers | W 117-112 | +4.5 | W |
| Oct 31 | @ Rockets | L 98-119 | +2.5 | L |
Trail Blazers last five
| Date | Opponent | Result | Closing spread | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6 | @ Lakers | L 118-124 | +3.5 | L |
| Nov 4 | @ Suns | W 132-119 | −2.5 | W |
| Nov 2 | @ Nuggets | W 118-110 | +4.5 | W |
| Oct 31 | @ Jazz | W 112-90 | −6.5 | W |
| Oct 29 | vs Grizzlies | L 103-124 | −7.5 | L |