Heat vs. Jazz prediction and picks, November 10, 2026
Miami Heat (3-6) at Utah Jazz (1-8), , Delta Center in Salt Lake City on KJZZ-TV, Jazz+.
On the board since November 7, 2026 · numbers refreshed Nov 7, 11:18 PM ET
Our Heat-Jazz picks
Pre-tip pick, graded after the final
No sportsbook line on this game yet. Books post NBA lines about a day before tip, and our picks are made at that price.
Heat vs. Jazz preview
- Heat are 3-6 and 3-2 over their last 5, scoring 116.0 and allowing 122.6 a game.
- Jazz are 1-8 and 0-5 over their last 5, scoring 106.9 and allowing 118.2 a game.
- Jazz score 106.9 a game at a 43.0% field-goal rate; Heat give up 122.6.
- Jazz list 2 out: Jusuf Nurkic, Jaren Jackson Jr..
- The model makes Heat 3.5-point favorites (5.2 from season form, 1.7 for home court) and gives them a 59.9% chance to win.
Injury report
Heat injuries
Nobody on the Heat injury list.
Jazz injuries
- Day-To-Day Lauri Markkanen F · wrist · expected return Nov 8
- Out Jusuf Nurkic C · foot · expected return Nov 20
- Out Jaren Jackson Jr. F · knee · expected return Dec 14
Official league injury report: 12:45 AM ET, Nov 7 PDF.
Team stats this season
| Per game | MIA | UTAH |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 116.0 12th | 106.9 28th |
| Rebounds | 42.8 21st | 46.0 9th |
| Assists | 29.2 2nd | 24.7 24th |
| Field goal | 46.5% 9th | 43.0% 27th |
| 3-point | 33.1% 23rd | 32.3% 26th |
| Free throw | 73.9% 27th | 76.9% 17th |
| Turnovers | 15.9 17th | 17.8 26th |
| Possessions | 106.9 3rd | 104.1 9th |
League rank in small type (9 and 9 games played). Bold marks the better side.
Standings snapshot
| MIA | UTAH | |
|---|---|---|
| Conference rank | 9th East | 14th West |
| Record | 3-6 | 1-8 |
| Games back | 4.5 | 6.5 |
| Home / road | 1-3 / 2-3 | 1-4 / 0-4 |
| Last 10, streak | 3-6, L1 | 1-8, L7 |
| Point differential | −6.6 | −11.3 |
| Projected wins | 36.2 | 22.5 |
| Playoff chance | 52.3% | 0.5% |
Projections from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season; full table on NBA futures.
Season leaders
Heat leaders
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giannis Antetokounmpo | F | 9 | 32.8 | 27.3 | 12.7 | 5.6 | 56.0 | 20.8 | 66.3 |
| Bam Adebayo | C | 9 | 32.7 | 18.6 | 8.4 | 3.1 | 53.8 | 17.9 | 73.5 |
| Davion Mitchell | G | 9 | 35.0 | 16.1 | 1.6 | 8.2 | 50.0 | 40.8 | 73.3 |
| Klay Thompson | G | 9 | 23.3 | 13.8 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 43.9 | 41.2 | 100.0 |
| Pelle Larsson | G | 9 | 30.2 | 11.1 | 3.1 | 3.8 | 44.4 | 40.0 | 89.5 |
Jazz leaders
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keyonte George | G | 9 | 32.3 | 21.3 | 4.2 | 6.2 | 45.8 | 32.1 | 77.2 |
| Lauri Markkanen | F | 8 | 30.9 | 18.0 | 6.8 | 2.0 | 38.9 | 39.7 | 84.4 |
| Jaren Jackson Jr.out | F | 4 | 26.0 | 16.2 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 50.0 | 35.7 | 76.2 |
| Darryn Peterson | G | 9 | 30.2 | 13.6 | 3.8 | 3.9 | 36.9 | 34.1 | 89.3 |
| Ace Bailey | G | 9 | 30.4 | 12.4 | 7.1 | 1.8 | 46.2 | 22.4 | 71.4 |
Projected starters and rosters
Heat starters
- F Giannis Antetokounmpo
- F Andrew Wiggins
- C Bam Adebayo
- G Klay Thompson
- G Davion Mitchell
Starting five from the Nov 5 game; confirmed lineups post about 30 minutes before tip.
Full Heat roster (17)
| No. | Player | Pos | Height | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Bam Adebayo | C | 6' 9" | 29 |
| 7 | Giannis Antetokounmpo | F | 6' 11" | 31 |
| 4 | Ryan Conwell | G | 6' 3" | 22 |
| 24 | Tre Donaldson | G | 6' 2" | 22 |
| 0 | Simone Fontecchio | F | 6' 7" | 30 |
| 15 | Myron Gardner | F | 6' 5" | 25 |
| 50 | Vladislav Goldin | C | 7' 0" | 25 |
| 10 | Tim Hardaway Jr. | G | 6' 5" | 34 |
| 16 | Keshad Johnson | F | 6' 6" | 25 |
| 5 | Nikola Jovic | F | 6' 10" | 23 |
| 9 | Pelle Larsson | G | 6' 5" | 25 |
| 2 | Davion Mitchell | G | 6' 0" | 28 |
| 95 | Bobby Portis | F | 6' 9" | 31 |
| 8 | Nick Richards | C | 6' 11" | 28 |
| 12 | Dru Smith | G | 6' 2" | 28 |
| 11 | Klay Thompson | G | 6' 5" | 36 |
| 22 | Andrew Wiggins | F | 6' 7" | 31 |
Jazz starters
- F Lauri Markkanen
- C Jaxson Hayes
- G Keyonte George
- G Ace Bailey
- G Darryn Peterson
Starting five from the Nov 6 game; confirmed lineups post about 30 minutes before tip.
Full Jazz roster (18)
| No. | Player | Pos | Height | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Trey Alexander | G | 6' 5" | 23 |
| 19 | Ace Bailey | G | 6' 9" | 20 |
| 44 | Mo Bamba | C | 7' 0" | 28 |
| 13 | Tony Bradley | C | 6' 10" | 28 |
| 4 | Kobe Bufkin | G | 6' 4" | 23 |
| 8 | Isaiah Collier | G | 6' 4" | 22 |
| 2 | Kyle Filipowski | F | 6' 11" | 23 |
| 3 | Keyonte George | G | 6' 4" | 22 |
| 5 | Josh Green | G | 6' 6" | 25 |
| 11 | Jaxson Hayes | C | 7' 0" | 26 |
| 00 | Harrison Ingram | F | 6' 5" | 23 |
| 20 | Jaren Jackson Jr. | F | 6' 10" | 27 |
| 23 | Lauri Markkanen | F | 7' 1" | 29 |
| 10 | Svi Mykhailiuk | G | 6' 7" | 29 |
| 30 | Jusuf Nurkic | C | 6' 11" | 32 |
| 21 | Josh Okogie | G | 6' 4" | 28 |
| 22 | Darryn Peterson | G | 6' 5" | 19 |
| 28 | Brice Sensabaugh | F | 6' 6" | 23 |
Season series and last five games
Meetings this season
- Nov 10 Heat at Jazz, prediction
2025-26 meetings
- Regular season
- Heat 1, Jazz 1
- Points per game
- Heat 129.0, Jazz 115.5
| Date | Game | Matchup | Score | Winner and margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2026 | Regular season | Jazz at Heat | 115-111 | Jazz by 4 |
| Jan 24, 2026 | Regular season | Heat at Jazz | 147-116 | Heat by 31 |
Heat last five
| Date | Opponent | Result | Closing spread | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5 | @ Warriors | L 100-120 | +3.5 | L |
| Nov 4 | @ Clippers | W 117-116 | −6.5 | L |
| Nov 2 | @ Lakers | L 117-138 | +1.5 | L |
| Oct 30 | vs Pacers | W 145-125 | −8.5 | W |
| Oct 28 | @ Hawks | W 129-117 | +2.5 | W |
Jazz last five
| Date | Opponent | Result | Closing spread | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6 | @ Mavericks | L 100-112 | +6.5 | L |
| Nov 4 | @ Pelicans | L 113-120 | +5.5 | L |
| Nov 2 | @ Spurs | L 97-119 | +16.5 | L |
| Oct 31 | vs Trail Blazers | L 90-112 | +6.5 | L |
| Oct 28 | vs Spurs | L 111-117 | +13.5 | W |