Thunder vs. Grizzlies prediction and picks, November 6, 2026
Oklahoma City Thunder (6-2) at Memphis Grizzlies (6-2), , FedExForum in Memphis on KSBI-TV, DAZN, Thunder App.
On the board since November 5, 2026 · numbers refreshed Nov 5, 8:06 AM ET
Our picks for Thunder-Grizzlies
There's no sportsbook line on this game yet. The books release NBA lines roughly a day ahead of tip, and that is the price our picks are made at.
A look at Thunder vs. Grizzlies
- With a 6-2 overall mark and a 3-2 record in their last 5, Thunder score 110.0 and allow 108.8 a game.
- With a 6-2 overall mark and a 3-2 record in their last 5, Grizzlies score 120.5 and allow 109.8 a game.
- At 120.5 points a game, Grizzlies hit 47.3% from the field; Thunder allow 108.8.
- Out for Thunder are 5 players, including Jaylin Williams, Nikola Topic, Thomas Sorber, Cason Wallace and more.
- Injury report: the Grizzlies have 1 out, Scotty Pippen Jr..
- Our model shows Thunder 1.3-point favorites with a 53.8% win probability. Season form adds 3.1, and home court adds 1.7.
Player injury report
Thunder injuries
- Out Jaylin Williams F · back · expected return Nov 6
- Out Nikola Topic G · back · expected return Nov 13
- Out Thomas Sorber C · knee · expected return Nov 13
- Out Cason Wallace G · shoulder · expected return Mar 2, 2027
- Out Chet Holmgren C · knee · expected return Jan 2, 2027
Grizzlies injuries
- Day-To-Day Isaiah Stewart C · knee · expected return Nov 6
- Out Scotty Pippen Jr. G · back · expected return Nov 6
Official league injury report: 12:45 AM ET, Nov 5 PDF.
This season's team stats
| Per game | OKC | MEM |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 110.0 23rd | 120.5 4th |
| Rebounds | 46.6 8th | 49.5 1st |
| Assists | 21.6 29th | 27.5 7th |
| Field goal | 44.0% 24th | 47.3% 8th |
| 3-point | 33.3% 21st | 40.0% 1st |
| Free throw | 85.8% 1st | 82.2% 3rd |
| Turnovers | 13.2 3rd | 16.5 21st |
| Possessions | 101.8 20th | 104.7 8th |
Small type shows league rank (8 and 8 games played). The better side is marked in bold.
Standings at a glance
| OKC | MEM | |
|---|---|---|
| Conference rank | 6th West | 4th West |
| Record | 6-2 | 6-2 |
| Games back | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| Home / road | 4-0 / 2-2 | 2-2 / 4-0 |
| Last 10, streak | 6-2, W2 | 6-2, L2 |
| Point differential | +1.2 | +10.8 |
| Projected wins | 50.9 | 43.7 |
| Playoff chance | 86.4% | 57.3% |
These projections come from 10,000 simulations of the season left to play; the full table is on NBA futures.
Who leads the season
Thunder leaders
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | G | 8 | 33.8 | 30.1 | 4.2 | 4.5 | 44.7 | 35.6 | 84.7 |
| Ajay Mitchell | G | 8 | 27.5 | 17.8 | 4.0 | 3.5 | 50.5 | 20.8 | 89.3 |
| Jalen Williams | G | 3 | 31.7 | 13.7 | 4.7 | 3.3 | 38.5 | 33.3 | 80.0 |
| Chet Holmgrenout | C | 3 | 30.0 | 12.0 | 9.3 | 1.3 | 40.7 | 33.3 | 100.0 |
| Jared McCain | G | 8 | 25.0 | 10.1 | 3.0 | 1.9 | 33.7 | 26.7 | 84.6 |
Grizzlies leaders
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty Jerome | G | 7 | 30.9 | 27.4 | 3.6 | 5.3 | 50.4 | 37.5 | 87.0 |
| Cameron Boozer | F | 8 | 32.1 | 16.5 | 9.8 | 5.4 | 36.4 | 36.7 | 94.4 |
| Cedric Coward | F | 7 | 29.3 | 14.3 | 8.7 | 2.7 | 47.4 | 50.0 | 70.0 |
| Isaiah Stewart | C | 7 | 18.3 | 11.9 | 3.4 | 0.6 | 66.7 | 57.1 | 100.0 |
| Jaylen Wells | F | 8 | 27.2 | 11.1 | 3.2 | 1.5 | 52.4 | 35.9 | 69.2 |
Expected starters and rosters
Thunder starters
- C Isaiah Hartenstein
- C Aday Mara
- G Kenrich Williams
- G Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
- G Ajay Mitchell
Full Thunder roster (18)
| No. | Player | Pos | Height | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Brooks Barnhizer | F | 6' 6" | 24 |
| 9 | Alex Caruso | G | 6' 5" | 32 |
| 21 | Josh Dix | G | 6' 5" | 22 |
| 2 | Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | G | 6' 6" | 28 |
| 55 | Isaiah Hartenstein | C | 7' 0" | 28 |
| 7 | Chet Holmgren | C | 7' 1" | 24 |
| 15 | Aday Mara | C | 7' 3" | 21 |
| 3 | Jared McCain | G | 6' 3" | 22 |
| 25 | Ajay Mitchell | G | 6' 4" | 24 |
| unlisted | Micah Peavy | G | 6' 7" | 25 |
| 12 | Thomas Sorber | C | 6' 9" | 20 |
| 14 | Bennett Stirtz | G | 6' 4" | 23 |
| unlisted | Dalen Terry | G | 6' 6" | 24 |
| 44 | Nikola Topic | G | 6' 6" | 21 |
| 22 | Cason Wallace | G | 6' 3" | 22 |
| 8 | Jalen Williams | G | 6' 5" | 25 |
| 6 | Jaylin Williams | F | 6' 9" | 24 |
| 34 | Kenrich Williams | G | 6' 7" | 31 |
Grizzlies starters
- F Cedric Coward
- F Cameron Boozer
- F Jaylen Wells
- C Zach Edey
- G Ty Jerome
Each starting five comes from the Nov 4 game for that team. Confirmed lineups appear about 30 minutes before the game starts.
Full Grizzlies roster (18)
| No. | Player | Pos | Height | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Cameron Boozer | F | 6' 8" | 19 |
| 20 | Carson Cooper | C | 6' 11" | 22 |
| 23 | Cedric Coward | F | 6' 5" | 23 |
| 14 | Zach Edey | C | 7' 3" | 24 |
| 3 | Jerami Grant | F | 6' 7" | 32 |
| 22 | Taylor Hendricks | F | 6' 9" | 22 |
| 45 | GG Jackson | F | 6' 9" | 21 |
| 2 | Ty Jerome | G | 6' 5" | 29 |
| 35 | Karim Lopez | F | 6' 8" | 19 |
| 21 | Jahmai Mashack | G | 6' 3" | 23 |
| 17 | Kris Murray | F | 6' 8" | 26 |
| 1 | Scotty Pippen Jr. | G | 6' 2" | 25 |
| 41 | Quinten Post | C | 7' 0" | 26 |
| 18 | Olivier-Maxence Prosper | F | 6' 7" | 24 |
| 10 | Javon Small | G | 6' 1" | 23 |
| 24 | Cam Spencer | G | 6' 3" | 26 |
| 28 | Isaiah Stewart | C | 6' 8" | 25 |
| 0 | Jaylen Wells | F | 6' 7" | 23 |
Season series, plus the last five games
Head-to-head games this season
- Nov 6 Thunder at Grizzlies, prediction
2025-26 meetings
- Regular season
- Thunder 3, Grizzlies 0
- Points per game
- Thunder 116.7, Grizzlies 106.3
| Date | Game | Matchup | Score | Winner and margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2026 | Regular season | Thunder at Grizzlies | 117-116 | Thunder by 1 |
| Dec 22, 2025 | Regular season | Grizzlies at Thunder | 103-119 | Thunder by 16 |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Regular season | Thunder at Grizzlies | 114-100 | Thunder by 14 |
Thunder last five
| Date | Opponent | Result | Closing spread | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs Cavaliers | W 124-116 | −3.5 | W |
| Nov 2 | @ Cavaliers | W 117-112 | +4.5 | W |
| Oct 31 | @ Rockets | L 98-119 | +2.5 | L |
| Oct 28 | @ Mavericks | L 96-120 | −4.5 | L |
| Oct 26 | vs Suns | W 125-114 | −8.5 | W |
Grizzlies last five
| Date | Opponent | Result | Closing spread | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs Pacers | L 103-107 | −5.5 | L |
| Nov 2 | vs Pelicans | L 134-135 | −5.5 | L |
| Oct 31 | vs Kings | W 136-105 | −7.5 | W |
| Oct 29 | @ Trail Blazers | W 124-103 | +7.5 | W |
| Oct 26 | @ Jazz | W 110-105 | −1.5 | W |