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Mavericks vs. Timberwolves prediction and picks, November 12, 2026

Dallas Mavericks (7-5) at Minnesota Timberwolves (9-3), , Target Center in Minneapolis on NBA TV, KFAA-TV, MavsTV.

Dallas Mavericks logoDallas Mavericks7-5Minnesota Timberwolves logoMinnesota Timberwolves9-3
Dallas Mavericks logoMavericks 94Final133 TimberwolvesMinnesota Timberwolves logo

On the board since November 9, 2026 · numbers refreshed Nov 13, 3:17 PM ET

Our Mavericks-Timberwolves picks

  • SpreadTimberwolves -5.5 −114Model 56.1% vs 53.3% to break evenSlim edge +2.8Posted · Won+0.88u · CLV 0.0
  • TotalUnder 227.5 −110Model 54.1% vs 52.4% to break evenSlim edge +1.7Posted · Won+0.91u · CLV +1.0
  • MoneylineTimberwolves to win −222Model 70.7% vs 68.9% to break evenSlim edge +1.8Posted · Won+0.45u
Market line at DraftKings against the model's fair line
MarketOpenNowModel fairModel minus market
Timberwolves spread−4.5−5.5−7.6−2.1
Total points226.5226.5225.6−0.9

Final score by quarter

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4T
Dallas Mavericks logoMavericks2626172594
Minnesota Timberwolves logoTimberwolves34333630133

Injury report

Dallas Mavericks logoMavericks injuries

  • Out Dereck Lively II C · foot · expected return Nov 18
  • Out Tarik Biberovic F · heel · expected return Nov 18
  • Out Sergio de Larrea F · knee · expected return Nov 18

Minnesota Timberwolves logoTimberwolves injuries

  • Out Anthony Edwards G · knee · expected return Dec 21
  • Out Donte DiVincenzo G · achilles · expected return Apr 2, 2027

Official league injury report: 12:45 AM ET, Nov 13 PDF.

Team stats this season

Per gameDALMIN
Points113.2 17th119.3 4th
Rebounds44.1 15th48.9 1st
Assists26.3 16th26.2 17th
Field goal46.8% 9th48.2% 3rd
3-point33.6% 22nd38.0% 6th
Free throw78.2% 15th67.4% 30th
Turnovers16.5 21st16.0 16th
Possessions102.3 17th104.1 5th

League rank in small type (12 and 12 games played). Bold marks the better side.

Standings snapshot

DALMIN
Conference rank10th West3rd West
Record7-59-3
Games back3.51.5
Home / road5-2 / 2-35-1 / 4-2
Last 10, streak6-4, L17-3, W5
Point differential+1.0+13.4
Projected wins39.556.5
Playoff chance29.5%97.0%

NBA standings

Projections from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season; full table on NBA futures.

Season leaders

Dallas Mavericks logoMavericks leaders

PlayerPosGPMINPTSREBASTFG%3P%FT%
Cooper Flagg F 11 33.5 24.6 6.9 6.5 49.5 30.0 89.2
Kyrie Irving G 10 30.2 21.6 3.2 4.3 47.9 39.0 89.7
P.J. Washington F 12 32.3 14.2 7.2 1.1 41.8 35.1 72.7
Naji Marshall F 9 24.6 11.3 2.8 4.4 46.6 27.6 60.0
Daniel Gafford F 12 21.6 9.1 5.3 1.9 70.5 100.0 68.8

Minnesota Timberwolves logoTimberwolves leaders

PlayerPosGPMINPTSREBASTFG%3P%FT%
Anthony Edwardsout G 4 33.8 33.2 4.8 3.5 48.1 40.0 75.0
LaMelo Ball G 12 27.6 18.6 3.2 6.2 45.9 40.6 80.0
Ayo Dosunmu G 12 31.0 18.1 4.7 3.8 52.2 46.9 89.7
Jaden McDaniels F 12 33.2 16.9 6.4 3.6 51.9 30.8 82.6
Jonathan Kuminga F 12 30.1 12.4 5.6 2.9 44.6 40.4 52.6

Projected starters and rosters

Dallas Mavericks logoMavericks starters

  1. F Caleb Martin
  2. F Daniel Gafford
  3. F P.J. Washington
  4. F Cooper Flagg
  5. G Kyrie Irving
Full Mavericks roster (18)
No.PlayerPosHeightAge
34Santi AldamaF7' 0"25
13Tarik BiberovicF6' 7"25
0Max ChristieG6' 5"23
30Moussa CisseC6' 11"24
1Walter Clayton Jr.G6' 4"23
55Sergio de LarreaF6' 7"20
32Cooper FlaggF6' 9"19
21Daniel GaffordF6' 10"28
9Jett HowardG6' 8"23
11Kyrie IrvingG6' 2"34
14Morez Johnson Jr.F6' 9"20
33Tobi LawalF6' 8"23
2Dereck Lively IIC7' 1"22
3Naji MarshallF6' 6"28
16Caleb MartinF6' 5"31
10Zaccharie RisacherF6' 8"21
8Marcus SasserG6' 1"26
25P.J. WashingtonF6' 7"28

Minnesota Timberwolves logoTimberwolves starters

  1. F Jaden McDaniels
  2. F Jonathan Kuminga
  3. C Rudy Gobert
  4. G Ayo Dosunmu
  5. G LaMelo Ball

Both starting fives are from each team's Nov 12 game; confirmed lineups post about 30 minutes before tip.

Full Timberwolves roster (16)
No.PlayerPosHeightAge
1LaMelo BallG6' 7"25
19Joan BeringerF6' 11"20
7Jaylen ClarkG6' 5"25
0Donte DiVincenzoG6' 4"29
13Ayo DosunmuG6' 4"26
5Anthony EdwardsG6' 4"25
33Isaiah EvansF6' 6"20
27Rudy GobertC7' 1"34
8Bones HylandG6' 2"26
24Jonathan KumingaF6' 7"24
41Trey LylesF6' 9"31
3Jaden McDanielsF6' 9"26
15Zyon PullinG6' 4"25
4Terrence Shannon Jr.G6' 6"26
9Cody WilliamsF6' 8"21
44Rocco ZikarskyC7' 3"20

Season series and last five games

Meetings this season

  • Nov 12 Mavericks at Timberwolves, 94-133 (Timberwolves won)

2025-26 meetings

Regular season
Mavericks 0, Timberwolves 4
Points per game
Mavericks 101.5, Timberwolves 121.0
DateGameMatchupScoreWinner and margin
Mar 30, 2026Regular seasonTimberwolves at Mavericks124-94Timberwolves by 30
Feb 20, 2026Regular seasonMavericks at Timberwolves111-122Timberwolves by 11
Jan 28, 2026Regular seasonTimberwolves at Mavericks118-105Timberwolves by 13
Nov 17, 2025Regular seasonMavericks at Timberwolves96-120Timberwolves by 24

Dallas Mavericks logoMavericks last five

DateOpponentResultClosing spreadATS
Nov 12@ TimberwolvesL 94-133+5.5L
Nov 9vs PacersW 125-122−4.5L
Nov 8vs NetsW 130-93−7.5W
Nov 6vs JazzW 112-100−6.5W
Nov 4@ SpursL 111-112+12.5W

Minnesota Timberwolves logoTimberwolves last five

DateOpponentResultClosing spreadATS
Nov 12vs MavericksW 133-94−5.5W
Nov 8vs JazzW 115-100−12.5W
Nov 6@ PelicansW 115-109−3.5W
Nov 4@ RocketsW 117-107+7.5W
Nov 2vs BucksW 112-100−11.5W

Officials

James Capers, Sean Corbin, Brent Haskill