Heat vs. Kings prediction and picks, November 8, 2026
Miami Heat (3-6) at Sacramento Kings (1-7), , Golden 1 Center in Sacramento.
On the board since November 5, 2026 · numbers refreshed Nov 6, 11:22 AM ET
Our Heat-Kings picks
Pre-tip pick, graded after the final
No sportsbook line on this game yet. Books post NBA lines about a day before tip, and our picks are made at that price.
Heat vs. Kings preview
- Heat are 3-6 and 3-2 over their last 5, scoring 116.0 and allowing 122.6 a game.
- Kings are 1-7 and 1-4 over their last 5, scoring 109.2 and allowing 123.2 a game.
- Kings score 109.2 a game at a 45.2% field-goal rate; Heat give up 122.6.
- Kings list 3 out: Maxime Raynaud, Keegan Murray, Ben Simmons.
- The model makes Heat 5.1-point favorites (6.9 from season form, 1.7 for home court) and gives them a 64.3% chance to win.
Injury report
Heat injuries
Nobody on the Heat injury list.
Kings injuries
- Day-To-Day De'Andre Hunter F · illness · expected return Nov 6
- Out Maxime Raynaud C · knee · expected return Nov 10
- Out Keegan Murray F · ankle · expected return Nov 10
- Out Ben Simmons G · achilles · expected return Oct 1, 2027
Official league injury report: 12:45 AM ET, Nov 6 PDF.
Team stats this season
| Per game | MIA | SAC |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 116.0 11th | 109.2 24th |
| Rebounds | 42.8 20th | 40.9 27th |
| Assists | 29.2 2nd | 24.4 27th |
| Field goal | 46.5% 13th | 45.2% 21st |
| 3-point | 33.1% 21st | 32.5% 23rd |
| Free throw | 73.9% 26th | 75.1% 24th |
| Turnovers | 15.9 18th | 17.2 23rd |
| Possessions | 106.9 3rd | 105.0 5th |
League rank in small type (9 and 8 games played). Bold marks the better side.
Standings snapshot
| MIA | SAC | |
|---|---|---|
| Conference rank | 10th East | 15th West |
| Record | 3-6 | 1-7 |
| Games back | 5 | 5.5 |
| Home / road | 1-3 / 2-3 | 0-3 / 1-4 |
| Last 10, streak | 3-6, L1 | 1-7, L1 |
| Point differential | −6.6 | −14.0 |
| Projected wins | 36.3 | 20.9 |
| Playoff chance | 50.5% | 0.4% |
Projections from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season; full table on NBA futures.
Season leaders
Heat leaders
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giannis Antetokounmpo | F | 9 | 32.8 | 27.3 | 12.7 | 5.6 | 56.0 | 20.8 | 66.3 |
| Bam Adebayo | C | 9 | 32.7 | 18.6 | 8.4 | 3.1 | 53.8 | 17.9 | 73.5 |
| Davion Mitchell | G | 9 | 35.0 | 16.1 | 1.6 | 8.2 | 50.0 | 40.8 | 73.3 |
| Klay Thompson | G | 9 | 23.3 | 13.8 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 43.9 | 41.2 | 100.0 |
| Pelle Larsson | G | 9 | 30.2 | 11.1 | 3.1 | 3.8 | 44.4 | 40.0 | 89.5 |
Kings leaders
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darius Acuff Jr. | G | 8 | 37.2 | 25.6 | 3.8 | 7.0 | 39.7 | 30.8 | 83.8 |
| Zach LaVine | G | 8 | 33.4 | 23.1 | 3.1 | 2.6 | 49.6 | 37.7 | 83.3 |
| Domantas Sabonis | F | 8 | 36.1 | 15.1 | 14.9 | 6.1 | 68.1 | 50.0 | 76.5 |
| De'Andre Hunter | F | 8 | 31.2 | 13.0 | 4.8 | 1.2 | 43.4 | 36.4 | 64.0 |
| Precious Achiuwa | F | 8 | 27.2 | 11.0 | 6.1 | 1.2 | 54.9 | 28.6 | 42.1 |
Projected starters and rosters
Heat starters
- F Giannis Antetokounmpo
- F Andrew Wiggins
- C Bam Adebayo
- G Klay Thompson
- G Davion Mitchell
Starting five from the Nov 5 game; confirmed lineups post about 30 minutes before tip.
Full Heat roster (17)
| No. | Player | Pos | Height | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Bam Adebayo | C | 6' 9" | 29 |
| 7 | Giannis Antetokounmpo | F | 6' 11" | 31 |
| 4 | Ryan Conwell | G | 6' 3" | 22 |
| 24 | Tre Donaldson | G | 6' 2" | 22 |
| 0 | Simone Fontecchio | F | 6' 7" | 30 |
| 15 | Myron Gardner | F | 6' 5" | 25 |
| 50 | Vladislav Goldin | C | 7' 0" | 25 |
| 10 | Tim Hardaway Jr. | G | 6' 5" | 34 |
| 16 | Keshad Johnson | F | 6' 6" | 25 |
| 5 | Nikola Jovic | F | 6' 10" | 23 |
| 9 | Pelle Larsson | G | 6' 5" | 25 |
| 2 | Davion Mitchell | G | 6' 0" | 28 |
| 95 | Bobby Portis | F | 6' 9" | 31 |
| 8 | Nick Richards | C | 6' 11" | 28 |
| 12 | Dru Smith | G | 6' 2" | 28 |
| 11 | Klay Thompson | G | 6' 5" | 36 |
| 22 | Andrew Wiggins | F | 6' 7" | 31 |
Kings starters
- F Domantas Sabonis
- F De'Andre Hunter
- F Precious Achiuwa
- G Zach LaVine
- G Darius Acuff Jr.
Starting five from the Nov 4 game; confirmed lineups post about 30 minutes before tip.
Full Kings roster (17)
| No. | Player | Pos | Height | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Precious Achiuwa | F | 6' 8" | 27 |
| 5 | Darius Acuff Jr. | G | 6' 2" | 19 |
| 19 | Leaky Black | F | 6' 6" | 27 |
| 32 | Dylan Cardwell | C | 6' 10" | 24 |
| 10 | Nique Clifford | G | 6' 5" | 24 |
| 15 | De'Andre Hunter | F | 6' 7" | 28 |
| 33 | Alex Karaban | F | 6' 7" | 23 |
| 8 | Zach LaVine | G | 6' 5" | 31 |
| 22 | Jonathan Mogbo | F | 6' 9" | 25 |
| 0 | Malik Monk | G | 6' 3" | 28 |
| 13 | Keegan Murray | F | 6' 8" | 26 |
| 3 | Sean Pedulla | G | 6' 1" | 24 |
| 29 | Daeqwon Plowden | G | 6' 6" | 28 |
| 42 | Maxime Raynaud | C | 7' 1" | 23 |
| 11 | Domantas Sabonis | F | 6' 10" | 30 |
| 34 | Emanuel Sharp | G | 6' 3" | 22 |
| 25 | Ben Simmons | G | 6' 10" | 30 |
Season series and last five games
Meetings this season
- Nov 8 Heat at Kings, prediction
2025-26 meetings
- Regular season
- Heat 1, Kings 1
- Points per game
- Heat 120.5, Kings 122.0
| Date | Game | Matchup | Score | Winner and margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2026 | Regular season | Heat at Kings | 130-117 | Heat by 13 |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Regular season | Kings at Heat | 127-111 | Kings by 16 |
Heat last five
| Date | Opponent | Result | Closing spread | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5 | @ Warriors | L 100-120 | +3.5 | L |
| Nov 4 | @ Clippers | W 117-116 | −6.5 | L |
| Nov 2 | @ Lakers | L 117-138 | +1.5 | L |
| Oct 30 | vs Pacers | W 145-125 | −8.5 | W |
| Oct 28 | @ Hawks | W 129-117 | +2.5 | W |
Kings last five
| Date | Opponent | Result | Closing spread | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs Lakers | L 103-116 | +12.5 | L |
| Nov 2 | @ Mavericks | W 115-100 | +7.5 | W |
| Oct 31 | @ Grizzlies | L 105-136 | +7.5 | L |
| Oct 29 | @ Pelicans | L 120-132 | +6.5 | L |
| Oct 27 | @ Spurs | L 103-130 | +19.5 | L |