Pistons vs. Heat prediction and picks, November 14, 2026
Detroit Pistons (8-3) at Miami Heat (5-6), , Kaseya Center in Miami on NBA TV.
On the board since November 11, 2026 · numbers refreshed Nov 13, 3:17 PM ET
Our Pistons-Heat picks
Pre-tip pick, graded after the final
No sportsbook line on this game yet. Books post NBA lines about a day before tip, and our picks are made at that price.
Pistons vs. Heat preview
- Pistons are 8-3 and 3-2 over their last 5, scoring 115.5 and allowing 107.8 a game.
- Heat are 5-6 and 3-2 over their last 5, scoring 115.7 and allowing 120.0 a game.
- Heat played last night; on the second night of a back-to-back our fit takes 2.1 points off their side.
- Heat score 115.7 a game at a 46.2% field-goal rate; Pistons give up 107.8.
- Pistons list 2 out: Isaiah Joe, Jalen Duren.
- The model makes Pistons 7.9-point favorites (7.5 from season form, 1.7 for home court, 2.1 for rest) and gives them a 71.4% chance to win.
Injury report
Pistons injuries
- Day-To-Day Ugonna Onyenso C · foot · expected return Nov 13
- Out Isaiah Joe G · hip · expected return Nov 17
- Out Jalen Duren C · hamstring · expected return Nov 24
Heat injuries
- Day-To-Day Klay Thompson G · ankle · expected return Nov 13
- Day-To-Day Pelle Larsson G · illness · expected return Nov 13
Official league injury report: 12:45 AM ET, Nov 13 PDF.
Team stats this season
| Per game | DET | MIA |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 115.5 11th | 115.7 10th |
| Rebounds | 44.4 13th | 41.9 22nd |
| Assists | 27.4 8th | 28.7 2nd |
| Field goal | 46.9% 7th | 46.2% 15th |
| 3-point | 37.0% 8th | 33.6% 23rd |
| Free throw | 78.0% 16th | 72.3% 29th |
| Turnovers | 14.3 8th | 14.9 12th |
| Possessions | 101.7 21st | 106.5 1st |
League rank in small type (11 and 11 games played). Bold marks the better side.
Standings snapshot
| DET | MIA | |
|---|---|---|
| Conference rank | 3rd East | 7th East |
| Record | 8-3 | 5-6 |
| Games back | 1.5 | 4.5 |
| Home / road | 3-2 / 5-1 | 1-3 / 4-3 |
| Last 10, streak | 7-3, W2 | 5-5, W2 |
| Point differential | +7.7 | −4.3 |
| Projected wins | 53.5 | 37.5 |
| Playoff chance | 99.0% | 57.9% |
Projections from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season; full table on NBA futures.
Season leaders
Pistons leaders
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cade Cunningham | G | 11 | 34.6 | 25.0 | 5.2 | 7.9 | 48.5 | 31.4 | 83.6 |
| Duncan Robinson | F | 11 | 31.8 | 18.1 | 1.9 | 2.2 | 45.5 | 43.7 | 82.9 |
| Daniss Jenkins | G | 11 | 27.4 | 13.5 | 3.8 | 4.3 | 46.2 | 44.4 | 93.3 |
| Jalen Durenout | C | 2 | 19.0 | 13.0 | 7.5 | 2.0 | 58.8 | no att. | 85.7 |
| Paul Reed | F | 11 | 27.1 | 11.5 | 7.7 | 2.2 | 56.4 | 55.6 | 64.0 |
Heat leaders
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giannis Antetokounmpo | F | 11 | 32.7 | 27.7 | 12.6 | 5.2 | 56.7 | 22.2 | 61.6 |
| Bam Adebayo | C | 11 | 33.2 | 17.8 | 8.4 | 3.3 | 50.7 | 17.1 | 75.0 |
| Davion Mitchell | G | 11 | 35.7 | 16.5 | 2.0 | 8.5 | 49.3 | 40.3 | 69.0 |
| Klay Thompson | G | 11 | 24.7 | 14.4 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 42.9 | 40.8 | 100.0 |
| Pelle Larsson | G | 11 | 29.5 | 11.4 | 3.5 | 3.5 | 46.8 | 46.9 | 90.5 |
Projected starters and rosters
Pistons starters
- F Duncan Robinson
- F John Collins
- G Cade Cunningham
- G Ausar Thompson
- G Daniss Jenkins
Starting five from the Nov 12 game; confirmed lineups post about 30 minutes before tip.
Full Pistons roster (17)
| No. | Player | Pos | Height | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | John Collins | F | 6' 9" | 29 |
| 2 | Cade Cunningham | G | 6' 6" | 25 |
| 0 | Jalen Duren | C | 6' 10" | 22 |
| 31 | Javonte Green | G | 6' 5" | 33 |
| 94 | Elijah Harkless | G | 6' 3" | 26 |
| 5 | Ronald Holland II | F | 6' 8" | 21 |
| 27 | Kevin Huerter | G | 6' 6" | 28 |
| 24 | Daniss Jenkins | G | 6' 4" | 25 |
| 17 | Isaiah Joe | G | 6' 4" | 27 |
| 13 | Isaac Jones | C | 6' 8" | 26 |
| 23 | Ebuka Okorie | G | 6' 2" | 19 |
| 34 | Ugonna Onyenso | C | 7' 0" | 22 |
| 12 | Taurean Prince | F | 6' 6" | 32 |
| 7 | Paul Reed | F | 6' 9" | 27 |
| 55 | Duncan Robinson | F | 6' 7" | 32 |
| 35 | Tolu Smith | F | 6' 11" | 26 |
| 9 | Ausar Thompson | G | 6' 7" | 23 |
Heat starters
- F Giannis Antetokounmpo
- C Bam Adebayo
- G Klay Thompson
- G Davion Mitchell
- G Pelle Larsson
Starting five from the Nov 10 game; confirmed lineups post about 30 minutes before tip.
Full Heat roster (17)
| No. | Player | Pos | Height | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Bam Adebayo | C | 6' 9" | 29 |
| 7 | Giannis Antetokounmpo | F | 6' 11" | 31 |
| 4 | Ryan Conwell | G | 6' 3" | 22 |
| 24 | Tre Donaldson | G | 6' 2" | 22 |
| 0 | Simone Fontecchio | F | 6' 7" | 30 |
| 15 | Myron Gardner | F | 6' 5" | 25 |
| 50 | Vladislav Goldin | C | 7' 0" | 25 |
| 10 | Tim Hardaway Jr. | G | 6' 5" | 34 |
| 16 | Keshad Johnson | F | 6' 6" | 25 |
| 5 | Nikola Jovic | F | 6' 10" | 23 |
| 9 | Pelle Larsson | G | 6' 5" | 25 |
| 2 | Davion Mitchell | G | 6' 0" | 28 |
| 95 | Bobby Portis | F | 6' 9" | 31 |
| 8 | Nick Richards | C | 6' 11" | 28 |
| 12 | Dru Smith | G | 6' 2" | 28 |
| 11 | Klay Thompson | G | 6' 5" | 36 |
| 22 | Andrew Wiggins | F | 6' 7" | 31 |
Season series and last five games
Meetings this season
- Oct 23 Pistons at Heat, 128-111 (Pistons won)
- Nov 14 Pistons at Heat, prediction
2025-26 meetings
- Regular season
- Pistons 1, Heat 2
- Points per game
- Pistons 120.0, Heat 124.7
| Date | Game | Matchup | Score | Winner and margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | Regular season | Pistons at Heat | 110-121 | Heat by 11 |
| Jan 1, 2026 | Regular season | Heat at Pistons | 118-112 | Heat by 6 |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Regular season | Pistons at Heat | 138-135 | Pistons by 3 |
Pistons last five
| Date | Opponent | Result | Closing spread | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12 | @ Wizards | W 144-140 | −10.5 | L |
| Nov 9 | vs Wizards | W 122-111 | −9.5 | W |
| Nov 8 | vs Lakers | L 116-121 | −8.5 | L |
| Nov 4 | vs 76ers | L 106-112 | −2.5 | L |
| Nov 2 | @ Hornets | W 124-91 | −5.5 | W |
Heat last five
| Date | Opponent | Result | Closing spread | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10 | @ Jazz | W 115-109 | −8.5 | L |
| Nov 8 | @ Kings | W 114-108 | −11.5 | L |
| Nov 5 | @ Warriors | L 100-120 | +3.5 | L |
| Nov 4 | @ Clippers | W 117-116 | −6.5 | L |
| Nov 2 | @ Lakers | L 117-138 | +1.5 | L |