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Pacers vs. Mavericks prediction and picks, November 9, 2026

Indiana Pacers (3-6) at Dallas Mavericks (4-4), , American Airlines Center in Dallas on KFAA-TV, MavsTV, DAZN.

Indiana Pacers logoIndiana Pacers3-6Dallas Mavericks logoDallas Mavericks4-4

On the board since November 6, 2026 · numbers refreshed Nov 6, 8:23 PM ET

Our Pacers-Mavericks picks

Pre-tip pick, graded after the final

No sportsbook line on this game yet. Books post NBA lines about a day before tip, and our picks are made at that price.

Pacers vs. Mavericks preview

  • Pacers are 3-6 and 1-4 over their last 5, scoring 111.2 and allowing 114.2 a game.
  • Mavericks are 4-4 and 3-2 over their last 5, scoring 112.1 and allowing 112.2 a game.
  • Mavericks played last night; on the second night of a back-to-back our fit takes 2.1 points off their side.
  • Mavericks score 112.1 a game at a 47.0% field-goal rate; Pacers give up 114.2.
  • Pacers list 4 out: T.J. McConnell, Johnny Furphy, Ben Sheppard, Tyrese Haliburton.
  • Mavericks list 3 out: Sergio de Larrea, Tarik Biberovic, Dereck Lively II.
  • The model makes Mavericks 3.5-point favorites (3.9 from season form, 1.7 for home court, 2.1 for rest) and gives them a 60.0% chance to win.

Injury report

Indiana Pacers logoPacers injuries

  • Out T.J. McConnell G · hamstring · expected return Nov 7
  • Day-To-Day Kelly Oubre Jr. G · calf · expected return Nov 7
  • Out Johnny Furphy G · knee · expected return Jan 2, 2027
  • Out Ben Sheppard G · knee · expected return Jan 2, 2027
  • Out Tyrese Haliburton G · hamstring · expected return Nov 13

Dallas Mavericks logoMavericks injuries

  • Out Sergio de Larrea F · knee · expected return Nov 12
  • Out Tarik Biberovic F · heel · expected return Nov 12
  • Out Dereck Lively II C · foot · expected return Nov 12

Official league injury report: 12:45 AM ET, Nov 6 PDF.

Team stats this season

Per gameINDDAL
Points111.2 18th112.1 16th
Rebounds41.8 23rd43.4 18th
Assists26.8 12th26.2 16th
Field goal46.5% 12th47.0% 9th
3-point32.8% 22nd33.7% 19th
Free throw75.1% 23rd77.0% 15th
Turnovers15.8 15th15.9 16th
Possessions103.2 15th101.9 18th

League rank in small type (9 and 8 games played). Bold marks the better side.

Standings snapshot

INDDAL
Conference rank9th East11th West
Record3-64-4
Games back52.5
Home / road0-4 / 3-22-2 / 2-2
Last 10, streak3-6, W14-4, L2
Point differential−3.0−0.1
Projected wins30.738.0
Playoff chance22.8%28.5%

NBA standings

Projections from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season; full table on NBA futures.

Season leaders

Indiana Pacers logoPacers leaders

PlayerPosGPMINPTSREBASTFG%3P%FT%
Tyrese Haliburtonout G 4 33.0 21.8 4.5 9.5 51.6 37.0 86.7
Pascal Siakam F 8 32.0 21.2 7.0 3.8 51.2 30.3 66.7
Andrew Nembhard G 7 33.4 19.0 2.1 7.0 46.3 39.5 90.3
Obi Toppin F 6 22.3 14.5 5.2 1.2 53.4 41.4 72.2
Aaron Nesmith G 7 24.0 12.7 2.1 1.9 40.3 30.8 82.6

Dallas Mavericks logoMavericks leaders

PlayerPosGPMINPTSREBASTFG%3P%FT%
Cooper Flagg F 7 34.6 24.3 6.3 6.3 46.8 21.2 86.5
Kyrie Irving G 6 30.0 22.7 4.0 4.8 47.5 38.2 90.5
P.J. Washington F 8 34.9 14.5 8.0 1.4 39.8 30.8 73.3
Naji Marshall F 5 26.6 13.6 3.4 5.4 50.0 31.6 50.0
Daniel Gafford F 8 23.2 9.1 6.6 2.0 67.4 100.0 62.5

Projected starters and rosters

Indiana Pacers logoPacers starters

  1. F Pascal Siakam
  2. C Ivica Zubac
  3. G Andrew Nembhard
  4. G Aaron Nesmith
  5. G Braden Smith
Full Pacers roster (17)
No.PlayerPosHeightAge
24Kobe BrownG6' 7"26
12Johnny FurphyG6' 8"21
0Tyrese HaliburtonG6' 5"26
32Jay HuffC7' 1"29
29Quenton JacksonG6' 4"28
9T.J. McConnellG6' 1"34
22Larry Nance Jr.F6' 6"33
2Andrew NembhardG6' 4"26
23Aaron NesmithG6' 5"27
10Kelly Oubre Jr.G6' 8"30
26Ben SheppardG6' 6"25
43Pascal SiakamF6' 8"32
18Jalen SlawsonF6' 7"27
3Braden SmithG5' 10"23
1Obi ToppinF6' 9"28
5Jarace WalkerF6' 7"23
40Ivica ZubacC7' 0"29

Dallas Mavericks logoMavericks starters

  1. F Daniel Gafford
  2. F P.J. Washington
  3. F Cooper Flagg
  4. F Zaccharie Risacher
  5. G Kyrie Irving

Both starting fives are from each team's Nov 4 game; confirmed lineups post about 30 minutes before tip.

Full Mavericks roster (18)
No.PlayerPosHeightAge
34Santi AldamaF7' 0"25
13Tarik BiberovicF6' 7"25
0Max ChristieG6' 5"23
30Moussa CisseC6' 11"24
1Walter Clayton Jr.G6' 4"23
55Sergio de LarreaF6' 7"20
32Cooper FlaggF6' 9"19
21Daniel GaffordF6' 10"28
9Jett HowardG6' 8"23
11Kyrie IrvingG6' 2"34
14Morez Johnson Jr.F6' 9"20
33Tobi LawalF6' 8"23
2Dereck Lively IIC7' 1"22
3Naji MarshallF6' 6"28
16Caleb MartinF6' 5"31
10Zaccharie RisacherF6' 8"21
8Marcus SasserG6' 1"26
25P.J. WashingtonF6' 7"28

Season series and last five games

Meetings this season

  • Oct 23 Mavericks at Pacers, 121-105 (Mavericks won)
  • Nov 9 Pacers at Mavericks, prediction

2025-26 meetings

Regular season
Pacers 0, Mavericks 2
Points per game
Pacers 117.5, Mavericks 120.5
DateGameMatchupScoreWinner and margin
Feb 22, 2026Regular seasonMavericks at Pacers134-130Mavericks by 4
Oct 29, 2025Regular seasonPacers at Mavericks105-107Mavericks by 2

Indiana Pacers logoPacers last five

DateOpponentResultClosing spreadATS
Nov 4@ GrizzliesW 107-103+5.5W
Nov 2vs HawksL 104-108+10.5W
Nov 1vs NetsL 90-98−3.5L
Oct 30@ HeatL 125-145+8.5L
Oct 28vs 76ersL 109-114+7.5W

Dallas Mavericks logoMavericks last five

DateOpponentResultClosing spreadATS
Nov 4@ SpursL 111-112+12.5W
Nov 2vs KingsL 100-115−7.5L
Oct 30vs RocketsW 116-111+5.5W
Oct 28vs ThunderW 120-96+4.5W
Oct 26@ HeatW 113-109+7.5W