Mavericks vs. Celtics prediction and picks, November 15, 2026
Dallas Mavericks (7-5) at Boston Celtics (10-2), , TD Garden in Boston on KFAA-TV, MavsTV.
On the board since November 12, 2026 · numbers refreshed Nov 13, 3:17 PM ET
Our Mavericks-Celtics picks
Pre-tip pick, graded after the final
No sportsbook line on this game yet. Books post NBA lines about a day before tip, and our picks are made at that price.
Mavericks vs. Celtics preview
- Mavericks are 7-5 and 3-2 over their last 5, scoring 113.2 and allowing 112.2 a game.
- Celtics are 10-2 and 5-0 over their last 5, scoring 114.2 and allowing 103.1 a game.
- Mavericks played last night; on the second night of a back-to-back our fit takes 2.1 points off their side.
- Celtics score 114.2 a game at a 45.6% field-goal rate; Mavericks give up 112.2.
- Mavericks list 3 out: Dereck Lively II, Tarik Biberovic, Sergio de Larrea.
- The model makes Celtics 11.5-point favorites (7.7 from season form, 1.7 for home court, 2.1 for rest) and gives them a 79.5% chance to win.
Injury report
Mavericks injuries
- Out Dereck Lively II C · foot · expected return Nov 18
- Out Tarik Biberovic F · heel · expected return Nov 18
- Out Sergio de Larrea F · knee · expected return Nov 18
Celtics injuries
- Day-To-Day Paul George F · illness · expected return Nov 15
Official league injury report: 12:45 AM ET, Nov 13 PDF.
Team stats this season
| Per game | DAL | BOS |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 113.2 17th | 114.2 14th |
| Rebounds | 44.1 15th | 44.8 8th |
| Assists | 26.3 16th | 26.8 11th |
| Field goal | 46.8% 9th | 45.6% 18th |
| 3-point | 33.6% 22nd | 38.1% 4th |
| Free throw | 78.2% 15th | 78.9% 13th |
| Turnovers | 16.5 21st | 14.7 10th |
| Possessions | 102.3 17th | 99.2 29th |
League rank in small type (12 and 12 games played). Bold marks the better side.
Standings snapshot
| DAL | BOS | |
|---|---|---|
| Conference rank | 10th West | 1st East |
| Record | 7-5 | 10-2 |
| Games back | 3.5 | 0 |
| Home / road | 5-2 / 2-3 | 5-0 / 5-2 |
| Last 10, streak | 6-4, L1 | 9-1, W5 |
| Point differential | +1.0 | +11.2 |
| Projected wins | 39.5 | 57.2 |
| Playoff chance | 29.5% | 99.8% |
Projections from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season; full table on NBA futures.
Season leaders
Mavericks leaders
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cooper Flagg | F | 11 | 33.5 | 24.6 | 6.9 | 6.5 | 49.5 | 30.0 | 89.2 |
| Kyrie Irving | G | 10 | 30.2 | 21.6 | 3.2 | 4.3 | 47.9 | 39.0 | 89.7 |
| P.J. Washington | F | 12 | 32.3 | 14.2 | 7.2 | 1.1 | 41.8 | 35.1 | 72.7 |
| Naji Marshall | F | 9 | 24.6 | 11.3 | 2.8 | 4.4 | 46.6 | 27.6 | 60.0 |
| Daniel Gafford | F | 12 | 21.6 | 9.1 | 5.3 | 1.9 | 70.5 | 100.0 | 68.8 |
Celtics leaders
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayson Tatum | F | 11 | 34.0 | 26.3 | 6.1 | 7.5 | 41.1 | 30.6 | 88.8 |
| Paul George | F | 10 | 30.1 | 22.0 | 5.2 | 3.8 | 48.8 | 44.0 | 82.1 |
| Payton Pritchard | G | 12 | 27.2 | 13.3 | 3.3 | 3.7 | 41.1 | 36.5 | 87.1 |
| Derrick White | G | 12 | 29.8 | 12.8 | 2.9 | 5.2 | 43.8 | 33.3 | 95.2 |
| Neemias Queta | C | 12 | 22.5 | 9.2 | 6.8 | 1.8 | 55.6 | 75.0 | 64.3 |
Projected starters and rosters
Mavericks starters
- F Caleb Martin
- F Daniel Gafford
- F P.J. Washington
- F Cooper Flagg
- G Kyrie Irving
Starting five from the Nov 12 game; confirmed lineups post about 30 minutes before tip.
Full Mavericks roster (18)
| No. | Player | Pos | Height | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | Santi Aldama | F | 7' 0" | 25 |
| 13 | Tarik Biberovic | F | 6' 7" | 25 |
| 0 | Max Christie | G | 6' 5" | 23 |
| 30 | Moussa Cisse | C | 6' 11" | 24 |
| 1 | Walter Clayton Jr. | G | 6' 4" | 23 |
| 55 | Sergio de Larrea | F | 6' 7" | 20 |
| 32 | Cooper Flagg | F | 6' 9" | 19 |
| 21 | Daniel Gafford | F | 6' 10" | 28 |
| 9 | Jett Howard | G | 6' 8" | 23 |
| 11 | Kyrie Irving | G | 6' 2" | 34 |
| 14 | Morez Johnson Jr. | F | 6' 9" | 20 |
| 33 | Tobi Lawal | F | 6' 8" | 23 |
| 2 | Dereck Lively II | C | 7' 1" | 22 |
| 3 | Naji Marshall | F | 6' 6" | 28 |
| 16 | Caleb Martin | F | 6' 5" | 31 |
| 10 | Zaccharie Risacher | F | 6' 8" | 21 |
| 8 | Marcus Sasser | G | 6' 1" | 26 |
| 25 | P.J. Washington | F | 6' 7" | 28 |
Celtics starters
- F Jayson Tatum
- C Luka Garza
- C Neemias Queta
- G Derrick White
- G Baylor Scheierman
Starting five from the Nov 11 game; confirmed lineups post about 30 minutes before tip.
Full Celtics roster (17)
| No. | Player | Pos | Height | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 99 | Devin Carter | G | 6' 2" | 24 |
| 12 | Chris Cenac Jr. | F | 6' 11" | 19 |
| 45 | Mike Conley | G | 6' 1" | 39 |
| 52 | Luka Garza | C | 6' 10" | 27 |
| 13 | Paul George | F | 6' 8" | 36 |
| 28 | Hugo Gonzalez | G | 6' 6" | 20 |
| 8 | Ron Harper Jr. | G | 6' 5" | 26 |
| 30 | Sam Hauser | F | 6' 8" | 28 |
| 20 | Dillon Mitchell | F | 6' 8" | 23 |
| 11 | Payton Pritchard | G | 6' 2" | 28 |
| 88 | Neemias Queta | C | 7' 0" | 27 |
| 4 | Mitchell Robinson | C | 7' 0" | 28 |
| 55 | Baylor Scheierman | G | 6' 6" | 26 |
| 0 | Jayson Tatum | F | 6' 8" | 28 |
| 27 | Jordan Walsh | G | 6' 7" | 22 |
| 9 | Derrick White | G | 6' 4" | 32 |
| 77 | Amari Williams | F | 7' 0" | 24 |
Season series and last five games
Meetings this season
- Nov 15 Mavericks at Celtics, prediction
2025-26 meetings
- Regular season
- Mavericks 0, Celtics 2
- Points per game
- Mavericks 100.0, Celtics 115.0
| Date | Game | Matchup | Score | Winner and margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2026 | Regular season | Mavericks at Celtics | 100-120 | Celtics by 20 |
| Feb 3, 2026 | Regular season | Celtics at Mavericks | 110-100 | Celtics by 10 |
Mavericks last five
| Date | Opponent | Result | Closing spread | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12 | @ Timberwolves | L 94-133 | +5.5 | L |
| Nov 9 | vs Pacers | W 125-122 | −4.5 | L |
| Nov 8 | vs Nets | W 130-93 | −7.5 | W |
| Nov 6 | vs Jazz | W 112-100 | −6.5 | W |
| Nov 4 | @ Spurs | L 111-112 | +12.5 | W |
Celtics last five
| Date | Opponent | Result | Closing spread | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11 | @ Raptors | W 98-93 | −4.5 | W |
| Nov 10 | @ 76ers | W 123-101 | −1.5 | W |
| Nov 8 | @ Bucks | W 117-97 | −13.5 | W |
| Nov 6 | @ Hornets | W 119-80 | −10.5 | W |
| Nov 4 | vs Bucks | W 109-102 | −12.5 | L |