Cavaliers vs. Heat prediction and picks, November 13, 2026
Cleveland Cavaliers (6-6) at Miami Heat (5-6), , Kaseya Center in Miami on DAZN.
On the board since November 10, 2026 · numbers refreshed Nov 13, 1:16 PM ET
Our choices for Cavaliers-Heat
Pick before tip, with the grade coming after the final
- SpreadCavaliers +2.5 −112Model 63.7% vs 52.8% to break evenWide edge +10.9Posted
- TotalOver 236.5 −108Model 58.0% vs 51.9% to break evenWide edge +6.1Posted
- MoneylineCavaliers to win +114Model 56.9% vs 46.7% to break evenWide edge +10.1Posted
| Market | Open | Now | Model fair | Model minus market |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heat spread | −1.5 | −2.5 | +2.4 | +4.9 |
| Total points | 237.5 | 235.5 | 240.2 | +4.7 |
Cavaliers vs. Heat game overview
- Cavaliers sit at 6-6 overall but 2-3 over their last 5, with 116.4 scored and 114.3 allowed a game.
- Heat sit at 5-6 overall but 3-2 over their last 5, with 115.7 scored and 120.0 allowed a game.
- Cavaliers average 102.4 possessions a game (16th in the league) and Heat 106.5 (1st); our total of 240.2 sits 3.7 points above the 236.5 on the board.
- The Heat average 115.7 a game with a 46.2% field-goal rate; the Cavaliers allow 114.3.
- Cavaliers list 2 out: Evan Mobley, Sam Merrill.
- The model has Cavaliers 2.4-point favorites, with 4.2 from season form and 1.7 for home court, and sees them winning 56.9% of the time.
Player injuries
Cavaliers injuries
- Out Evan Mobley C · toe · expected return Nov 14
- Out Sam Merrill G · elbow · expected return Nov 16
Heat injuries
- Day-To-Day Klay Thompson G · ankle · expected return Nov 13
- Day-To-Day Giannis Antetokounmpo F · wrist · expected return Nov 13
- Day-To-Day Pelle Larsson G · illness · expected return Nov 13
Official league injury report: 12:45 AM ET, Nov 13 PDF.
This season's team figures
| Per game | CLE | MIA |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 116.4 9th | 115.7 10th |
| Rebounds | 45.7 7th | 41.9 22nd |
| Assists | 26.7 12th | 28.7 2nd |
| Field goal | 46.4% 13th | 46.2% 15th |
| 3-point | 36.9% 9th | 33.6% 23rd |
| Free throw | 75.4% 27th | 72.3% 29th |
| Turnovers | 13.5 5th | 14.9 12th |
| Possessions | 102.4 16th | 106.5 1st |
Small type shows league rank (12 and 11 games played). The better side appears in bold.
Current standings
| CLE | MIA | |
|---|---|---|
| Conference rank | 6th East | 7th East |
| Record | 6-6 | 5-6 |
| Games back | 4 | 4.5 |
| Home / road | 4-2 / 2-4 | 1-3 / 4-3 |
| Last 10, streak | 5-5, W1 | 5-5, W2 |
| Point differential | +2.1 | −4.3 |
| Projected wins | 45.0 | 37.5 |
| Playoff chance | 90.1% | 57.9% |
These projections use 10,000 simulations for the rest of the season; see the full table on NBA futures.
Leading players this season
Cavaliers leaders
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan Mitchell | G | 12 | 32.8 | 22.8 | 5.0 | 5.5 | 48.5 | 37.6 | 79.4 |
| Evan Mobleyout | C | 12 | 32.1 | 16.9 | 7.3 | 3.6 | 55.5 | 47.9 | 62.2 |
| James Harden | G | 12 | 32.6 | 16.7 | 4.6 | 5.6 | 39.0 | 38.6 | 84.4 |
| Meleek Thomas | G | 9 | 22.9 | 13.1 | 2.8 | 1.2 | 47.9 | 48.0 | 100.0 |
| Jarrett Allen | C | 10 | 25.2 | 12.9 | 8.3 | 1.4 | 64.1 | 75.0 | 70.3 |
Heat leaders
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giannis Antetokounmpo | F | 11 | 32.7 | 27.7 | 12.6 | 5.2 | 56.7 | 22.2 | 61.6 |
| Bam Adebayo | C | 11 | 33.2 | 17.8 | 8.4 | 3.3 | 50.7 | 17.1 | 75.0 |
| Davion Mitchell | G | 11 | 35.7 | 16.5 | 2.0 | 8.5 | 49.3 | 40.3 | 69.0 |
| Klay Thompson | G | 11 | 24.7 | 14.4 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 42.9 | 40.8 | 100.0 |
| Pelle Larsson | G | 11 | 29.5 | 11.4 | 3.5 | 3.5 | 46.8 | 46.9 | 90.5 |
Starters and rosters we project
Cavaliers starters
- C Jarrett Allen
- C Evan Mobleyout
- G James Harden
- G Donovan Mitchell
- G Peyton Watson
The starting five comes from the Nov 11 game. Confirmed lineups are posted about 30 minutes before tip.
Full Cavaliers roster (15)
| No. | Player | Pos | Height | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | Jarrett Allen | C | 6' 9" | 28 |
| 3 | Thomas Bryant | C | 6' 9" | 29 |
| 1 | James Harden | G | 6' 5" | 37 |
| 33 | Mario Hezonja | F | 6' 8" | 31 |
| 5 | Sam Merrill | G | 6' 4" | 30 |
| 12 | Riley Minix | F | 6' 7" | 26 |
| 45 | Donovan Mitchell | G | 6' 2" | 30 |
| 4 | Evan Mobley | C | 6' 11" | 25 |
| 15 | Norchad Omier | C | 6' 7" | 25 |
| 9 | Craig Porter Jr. | G | 6' 1" | 26 |
| 24 | Tyrese Proctor | G | 6' 4" | 22 |
| 15 | Meleek Thomas | G | 6' 3" | 20 |
| 20 | Jaylon Tyson | G | 6' 6" | 23 |
| 88 | Ernest Udeh Jr. | C | 6' 9" | 22 |
| 8 | Peyton Watson | G | 6' 8" | 24 |
Heat starters
- F Giannis Antetokounmpo
- C Bam Adebayo
- G Klay Thompson
- G Davion Mitchell
- G Pelle Larsson
The starting five comes from the Nov 10 game. Confirmed lineups are posted about 30 minutes before tip.
Full Heat roster (17)
| No. | Player | Pos | Height | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Bam Adebayo | C | 6' 9" | 29 |
| 7 | Giannis Antetokounmpo | F | 6' 11" | 31 |
| 4 | Ryan Conwell | G | 6' 3" | 22 |
| 24 | Tre Donaldson | G | 6' 2" | 22 |
| 0 | Simone Fontecchio | F | 6' 7" | 30 |
| 15 | Myron Gardner | F | 6' 5" | 25 |
| 50 | Vladislav Goldin | C | 7' 0" | 25 |
| 10 | Tim Hardaway Jr. | G | 6' 5" | 34 |
| 16 | Keshad Johnson | F | 6' 6" | 25 |
| 5 | Nikola Jovic | F | 6' 10" | 23 |
| 9 | Pelle Larsson | G | 6' 5" | 25 |
| 2 | Davion Mitchell | G | 6' 0" | 28 |
| 95 | Bobby Portis | F | 6' 9" | 31 |
| 8 | Nick Richards | C | 6' 11" | 28 |
| 12 | Dru Smith | G | 6' 2" | 28 |
| 11 | Klay Thompson | G | 6' 5" | 36 |
| 22 | Andrew Wiggins | F | 6' 7" | 31 |
This season's meetings and latest five games
Matchups during the season
- Nov 13 Cavaliers at Heat, prediction
2025-26 meetings
- Regular season
- Cavaliers 2, Heat 2
- Points per game
- Cavaliers 130.0, Heat 126.0
| Date | Game | Matchup | Score | Winner and margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2026 | Regular season | Heat at Cavaliers | 128-149 | Cavaliers by 21 |
| Mar 25, 2026 | Regular season | Heat at Cavaliers | 120-103 | Heat by 17 |
| Nov 12, 2025 | Regular season | Cavaliers at Heat | 130-116 | Cavaliers by 14 |
| Nov 10, 2025 | Regular season | Cavaliers at Heat | 138-140OT | Heat by 2 |
Cavaliers last five
| Date | Opponent | Result | Closing spread | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11 | @ Knicks | W 115-107 | +4.5 | W |
| Nov 9 | @ Hornets | L 112-124 | −8.5 | L |
| Nov 7 | vs Knicks | L 97-109 | +4.5 | L |
| Nov 6 | vs 76ers | W 119-95 | +2.5 | W |
| Nov 4 | @ Thunder | L 116-124 | +3.5 | L |
Heat last five
| Date | Opponent | Result | Closing spread | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10 | @ Jazz | W 115-109 | −8.5 | L |
| Nov 8 | @ Kings | W 114-108 | −11.5 | L |
| Nov 5 | @ Warriors | L 100-120 | +3.5 | L |
| Nov 4 | @ Clippers | W 117-116 | −6.5 | L |
| Nov 2 | @ Lakers | L 117-138 | +1.5 | L |